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Trend Lines and Analysis

  • #241
  • Sep 23, 2015 2:53am Sep 23, 2015 2:53am
Quoting Matts Micro
#12 My stop is a bit tighter than would have liked due to a miscalculation but should hold. {image}
Stopped by a couple of pips.

-1 net trades (rebalance).

#13
Re-entered. (Starting to look like topping pattern as I type... sigh.)
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #242
  • Sep 23, 2015 2:56am Sep 23, 2015 2:56am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Stopped by a couple of pips. -1 net trades (rebalance). #13 Re-entered. (Starting to look like topping pattern as I type... sigh.) {image}
out.

-1 (rebalance)

Bs whipsaw so far today. Going to give it a break for an hour or 2.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #243
  • Sep 23, 2015 4:35am Sep 23, 2015 4:35am
#14
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #244
  • Sep 23, 2015 6:22am Sep 23, 2015 6:22am
Quoting Matts Micro
#14 {image}
#14
Stop out
-1

All I can say is ...wow.
There were so many strong signals on all currencies including EA, AN, GA and prob more if I was looking, including negative news out of China today.
The BO happened, then it was reversed viciously. It's in these cases that I wonder about manipulation. It always happens with obvious signals and then mysteriously the exact opposite happens.... feels like bs. Feels like a Wednesday.....

It could be a good place to long AU but I feel a little trust in the market today evaporating.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #245
  • Sep 23, 2015 6:42am Sep 23, 2015 6:42am
#15
If this trade fails I will really hang my hat for the day. It is correlated with different TF reversal patterns, Order Flow, it is a harmonic move and it is correlated with UJ and UCad (though cad is still trying to confirm the move... actually confirming as I type).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #246
  • Sep 23, 2015 7:47am Sep 23, 2015 7:47am
#16
I am risking level 2 R:R before level 1 has been completed. Trade #15 is about 10 pips from TP which is on CJ and Cad has just had news that weakened it. I think it could be the catalyst I have been waiting for to break it out of the range. However if CJ pulls back and so does UC then I could find my margin in a spot of bother
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #247
  • Sep 23, 2015 8:17am Sep 23, 2015 8:17am
Quoting Matts Micro
#15 If this trade fails I will really hang my hat for the day. It is correlated with different TF reversal patterns, Order Flow, it is a harmonic move and it is correlated with UJ and UCad (though cad is still trying to confirm the move... actually confirming as I type). {image}
I have removed the TP from this trade for now. It's not a usual practice but it seems ridiculous to TP just before the daily/weekly TL is broken. UC broke the line and I saw some large orders coming through on the ticks which should eventually bring it up and CJ should follow. Just need to survive any DD.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #248
  • Sep 23, 2015 9:15am Sep 23, 2015 9:15am
Quoting Matts Micro
#15 If this trade fails I will really hang my hat for the day. It is correlated with different TF reversal patterns, Order Flow, it is a harmonic move and it is correlated with UJ and UCad (though cad is still trying to confirm the move... actually confirming as I type). {image}
CJ B.E. (took partial but it's not worth +1 net trade in my system)

Well as a usual thing to say when one removes the TP.. shoulda taken profit. Nah not too worried. It was a close call with both trades going into DD but they recovered. Then something happened that I hadn't taken into consideration. UJ broke out.... It left UCad (cad) standing and CJ flew up killing my TS of my trade.

Still not certain UC going to fly, that resistance is really something. It may need a NFP to punch a permanent hole.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #249
  • Edited 9:52am Sep 23, 2015 9:40am | Edited 9:52am
Quoting Matts Micro
#16 I am risking level 2 R:R before level 1 has been completed. Trade #15 is about 10 pips from TP which is on CJ and Cad has just had news that weakened it. I think it could be the catalyst I have been waiting for to break it out of the range. However if CJ pulls back and so does UC then I could find my margin in a spot of bother {image}
Stoped out
-1 (rebalance)

What a fked up day I'm having.
don't how this can be so retraced after breaking the top....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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and this is where AU ended up after stopping me out...
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #250
  • Sep 23, 2015 9:52am Sep 23, 2015 9:52am
#16
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #251
  • Sep 23, 2015 10:02am Sep 23, 2015 10:02am
Quoting Matts Micro
#16 {image}
#16
Stopped -1 (rebalance)
Prob CAD coming back now it has taken my stops..
and that about sums up my day...
AU
Attached Image
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #252
  • Sep 23, 2015 10:12am Sep 23, 2015 10:12am
#17
Prob over trading now but have being waiting for this move on EA.
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #253
  • Sep 23, 2015 11:05am Sep 23, 2015 11:05am
#18

#17 still running but 80% complete.
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #254
  • Sep 23, 2015 12:43pm Sep 23, 2015 12:43pm
Quoting Matts Micro
#17 Prob over trading now but have being waiting for this move on EA. {image}
TP +1 net trade (finally.......)
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #255
  • Sep 23, 2015 9:27pm Sep 23, 2015 9:27pm
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} TP +1 net trade (finally.......)
Sent PM
  • #256
  • Sep 24, 2015 12:20am Sep 24, 2015 12:20am
Quoting directxxx
{quote} Sent PM
Hey directxxx, will respond soon.


Had a trade on EG #18 but didn't post because was too busy, out at B.E.

#19
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #257
  • Sep 24, 2015 2:32am Sep 24, 2015 2:32am
#20
I am trying my level 3 trade before level 2 is closed (currently 3/4 in profit) due to what I believe is a high probability setup. If only the margin stays in control
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #258
  • Sep 24, 2015 2:40am Sep 24, 2015 2:40am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Had a trade on EG #18 but didn't post because was too busy, out at B.E. #19 {image}
TP. +2 net trades. have the level 3 trade running as posted.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #259
  • Sep 24, 2015 3:41am Sep 24, 2015 3:41am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} TP. +2 net trades. have the level 3 trade running as posted.
I was impatient with this trade. My TA is good but I didn't wait for confirmation and hence my timing is out. As can be seen the break triggered a stop hunt (also coincides with Euro news (that headed wrong way lol), but fundamental releases and TA are often related). I was thinking I hadn't seen the stop hunt yet when I opened but did it anyway. I need to pullback my discipline and be patient, don't be pre-emptive and wait for the charts. It is currently dealing with strong resistance so looking for my SL to hold.

As can be seen by the small head fake it reacted off the level, meaning with confirmation the trade is there.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #260
  • Sep 24, 2015 4:33am Sep 24, 2015 4:33am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} I was impatient with this trade. My TA is good but I didn't wait for confirmation and hence my timing is out. As can be seen the break triggered a stop hunt (also coincides with Euro news (that headed wrong way lol), but fundamental releases and TA are often related). I was thinking I hadn't seen the stop hunt yet when I opened but did it anyway. I need to pullback my discipline and be patient, don't be pre-emptive and wait for the charts. It is currently dealing with strong resistance so looking for my SL to hold. As can be seen by the...
I beat myself up a bit last post so I decided to take the good with the bad...

At least I know my stop levels are good, regardless of which way it goes
(that's the SL just above PA)
Attached Image
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
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