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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #19,581
  • Sep 15, 2015 5:27pm Sep 15, 2015 5:27pm
See Why the Fed's Interest Rate Decision Will NOT be "Pivotal" for Stocks >> http://bit.ly/1FL2c11
  • #19,582
  • Sep 15, 2015 5:37pm Sep 15, 2015 5:37pm
Explosive Allegation: Citigroup Leaked Central Bank Trading Activity

  • #19,583
  • Sep 15, 2015 6:00pm Sep 15, 2015 6:00pm
Quoting infinitus
Amen! This upfront rant had to be, because some people are trampling on my nerves even when I am not so much here LOL{image}
Amen. Wish you enjoyed your summer vacation

Me neither I'm not so much here. They dont even wait that a kid's dead body is burried to spit their hatred
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #19,584
  • Sep 16, 2015 1:39am Sep 16, 2015 1:39am
Quoting maximinus
{quote} Amen. Wish you enjoyed your summer vacation Me neither I'm not so much here. They dont even wait that a kid's dead body is burried to spit their hatred



Hi my friend,

how are things going? Hope all is well........
  • #19,585
  • Sep 16, 2015 1:53am Sep 16, 2015 1:53am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} 440 B seems good, charts tell me the same atm. 350 as first aim. Currently long from 305, if revisits it will hit BE.

Hi Jan,

how are things running? Have you enjoyed the summer-time?

Many thanks for your PM a few weeks ago hinting me to the EM currencies // commodity currencies. Sorry for not replying so long

EM currencies are not what I am trading, but commodity currencies seem to be interesting right now. Have to rework my EW counts first in the next days before drawing a decision

Kiwi monthly TF
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_NZD_USD_Monthly_snapshot.png Size: 48 KB
  • #19,586
  • Sep 16, 2015 4:00am Sep 16, 2015 4:00am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi Jan, how are things running? Have you enjoyed the summer-time? Many thanks for your PM a few weeks ago hinting me to the EM currencies // commodity currencies. Sorry for not replying so long EM currencies are not what I am trading, but commodity currencies seem to be interesting right now. Have to rework my EW counts first in the next days before drawing a decision Kiwi monthly TF {image}
Hm monthly is too high for me to trade.
For short term i have this, gona short if gives entry:
http://prntscr.com/8gwufa
  • #19,587
  • Sep 16, 2015 6:07am Sep 16, 2015 6:07am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi my friend, how are things going? Hope all is well........

Good to see you back
  • #19,588
  • Sep 16, 2015 6:30am Sep 16, 2015 6:30am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Hm monthly is too high for me to trade. For short term i have this, gona short if gives entry: http://prntscr.com/8gwufa
Target 2 hit, +20.

For EU now downside is opened, H4 downwards.
Looking for this atm:
http://prntscr.com/8gy1w0
  • #19,589
  • Sep 16, 2015 10:16am Sep 16, 2015 10:16am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Target 2 hit, +20. For EU now downside is opened, H4 downwards. Looking for this atm: http://prntscr.com/8gy1w0
No short was taken obviously, retrace is rampaging. Until tomorrow FOMC EU should stay in upperish/range.
  • #19,590
  • Sep 16, 2015 1:19pm Sep 16, 2015 1:19pm
http://www.boerse-frankfurt.de/de/na...einungen+88608


sorry, only in German, try Google translate
  • #19,591
  • Sep 16, 2015 1:44pm Sep 16, 2015 1:44pm
Obama's Recovery In Just 9 Charts


but but but........

people tell me all is sooo fine with the US economy.......
  • #19,592
  • Sep 16, 2015 1:46pm Sep 16, 2015 1:46pm
The Only Thing That Matters For The Rate-Hike Decision
  • #19,593
  • Sep 16, 2015 2:21pm Sep 16, 2015 2:21pm
Quoting infinitus
The Only Thing That Matters For The Rate-Hike Decision
I think that this should be looked rather instead of posted link:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-0...and-euros-sell

That is in my opinion why FED wants to hike. Strenghten USD, push EMs trough cliff especially China, sell reserves, run out of reserves, currency debases, economy goes downhill, grab back sitting USDs since 2008, by weaking China they weaken Petrodollar 2020+ setup as Russia without it cannot supply to it, all EMs are then forced to be pushed back into Petrodollar - thus plan completed. Think of it like plan in 20 AD when Celtic tribes revolted against Romans in cunning plan, but then...it backfired.
Lets see if its right they should hike within next several months.
But then again i have said that before already and i am repeating myself so lets wait it out and see what is going on.
  • #19,594
  • Sep 16, 2015 7:14pm Sep 16, 2015 7:14pm
Will They Or Won't They? Five Fed Scenarios & The Market Impact
  • #19,595
  • Sep 17, 2015 2:07am Sep 17, 2015 2:07am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} I think that this should be looked rather instead of posted link: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-0...and-euros-sell That is in my opinion why FED wants to hike. Strenghten USD, push EMs trough cliff especially China, sell reserves, run out of reserves, currency debases, economy goes downhill, grab back sitting USDs since 2008, by weaking China they weaken Petrodollar 2020+ setup as Russia without it cannot supply to it, all EMs are then forced to be pushed back into...

and this:

The Real Reasons Why The Fed Will Hike Interest Rates
  • #19,596
  • Sep 17, 2015 3:49am Sep 17, 2015 3:49am
Quoting infinitus
EU 2min TF shows POSSIBLE impulse down: {image}

The structure of the waves down from the 1373 high is open to multiple interpretations.

When we look down from this high, we can see 5 waves down, but the wave 3 would be the shortest in this case.

Multiple 1-2's are invalidated with the recent move up too high.

For the intermediate bearish case we can note, that yesterdays decline lead to an overlap with the 1230 high from last week. With the recent PA sharply up, we can make the case for an ending diagonal. Yesterdays low was the wave 4 low, today we are eventually in wave 5 up. I do say eventually, because we can not know if wave 4 is already finished or if it is tracing out a more complex correction.

Is it possible, that the 1373 high of Sep 14th is already the wave 2 high? Maybe. Maybe the wave 1 of 3 starts with a leading diagonal. But in my view, the structure of this leading diagonal would have to trace out some really complex moves now (because of the recent movement so high).

So my highest priority is, that in the wake of the FED decision we may see a new high today.

Notice on the chart, which shows the ending diagonal count, that price is flirting with a nice fitting trendline, which has been tested over and over on the way up

EU 2h TF
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_EUR_USD_2 Hours_snapshot.png Size: 58 KB
  • #19,597
  • Sep 17, 2015 5:02am Sep 17, 2015 5:02am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} and this: The Real Reasons Why The Fed Will Hike Interest Rates
Indeed.
  • #19,598
  • Sep 17, 2015 5:56am Sep 17, 2015 5:56am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} The structure of the waves down from the 1373 high is open to multiple interpretations. When we look down from this high, we can see 5 waves down, but the wave 3 would be the shortest in this case. Multiple 1-2's are invalidated with the recent move up too high. For the intermediate bearish case we can note, that yesterdays decline lead to an overlap with the 1230 high from last week. With the recent PA sharply up, we can make the case for an ending diagonal. Yesterdays low was the wave 4 low, today we are eventually in wave 5 up. I do say...
Ye i have similar. 312 is important flop for bears.
http://prntscr.com/8hb545
  • #19,599
  • Sep 17, 2015 12:44pm Sep 17, 2015 12:44pm
The Complete FOMC Cheat Sheet: All You Need To Know
  • #19,600
  • Sep 17, 2015 1:45pm Sep 17, 2015 1:45pm
EU

2h TF

1430-1440 would be ideal to reverse
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_EUR_USD_2 Hours_snapshot.png Size: 42 KB
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