Ginkle: Dawn of the DAX Predator Algorithm

This project is now closed and Ginkle DAX is available in the MQL5 market.

For more information on Ginkle please read my last post on this thread.

Thanks.

http://ginkle.com

Introducing Ginkle DAX - an Expert Advisor for trading the German DAX CFD.

This EA is optimized for each individual broker because of differences in spreads, swaps, commissions and trading hours.

I have now completed calibration for the following brokers:

AGM Markets
Alpha Capital Markets
Forex Broker Inc
FX Choice
FXCM (UK)
FXDD
IC Markets
Oanda
Varengold Bank AG
XM.COM

The following brokers are now certified for Ginkle DAX LIVE:
FXCM
OANDA

This means that at this point Live versions can be acquired for Oanda and FXCM.

The EA runs on a 15 minute time frame and only for the broker's DAX instrument. You can trade side-by-side with the EA without interference, but do keep your margin levels in check. I would recommend having the EA running in a separate MT4 account with its own equity.

Resulting behaviour for all brokers:
Drawdown: < 35%
Carry-overs: yes
Equity rise at least 120% per year - with much more potential upside during breakout periods. (check the results yourself)
volume: one trade open at a time with an average of 3 trades a day, depending on volatility.
Holding time: hours, days or even weeks depending on market movements.
Stateless operations: End-user can abort and restart without duplicate trades. automatic re-sync after e.g. power failures.
Can start with micro accounts as little as 500EUR (not recommended). I will help you with installation at no extra charge until you are comfortable with the product.

About the algorithm and the resulting signals:
Find the median ranges of the instrument using a modified ATR methodology, MA and a few other calculations based on among other things volume. Keep a holding pattern around the median range (hide in the bushes) and determine breakouts on price movement. Agressively follow breakouts and go back to the holding pattern once a new median is identified. Very tedious to do manually so I am glad I no longer have to. The key to success here is the usage of the 15 minute timeframe on this mid-term strategy in combination with accurate breakout predictions. Hint: Signals auto adapt according to market conditions. This is something that may already have been invented (I doubt it), but certainly not available to the average trader. It is a whole new way of looking at mid-term price action.

The live version of the robot is connected to your live MT4 account AND to one demo account and can only be traded on those accounts. I recommend you give the demo a thorough look before judging. Want to trade demo first for a couple of months before you decide to get the live version? No problem. Want to backtest every tick since the birth of the DAX first? No problem. Want a free demo version made for your broker first? No problem.

Pricing available on demand.

Please contact me if you would like to review a free unlimited demo version for your broker or, if your broker is not listed, and your broker supports MT4 and offers a DAX instrument you can request a free demo for your broker. It takes about a day for me to tailor make the algorithm for a new broker. If I find for whatever reason your broker is not suited I will tell you so.

Bottomline is I am offering full access to these demos to whoever wants to back AND forward test. You can contact me via my blog http://spikesurfer.svbtle.com so we can exchange via email. I would not recommend disclosing your email address in public here.

Finally I encourage you to post your own findings (good OR bad) in this thread.

Thank you for your interest in Ginkle DAX.

Sincerely,

Eric (Spike Surfer)

Attachments: Full tick equity graphs for all available ticks I have for these brokers.
Oanda (Max DD 32,64%)
IC Markets (Max DD 30.96%)
FXCM UK (Max DD 22,14%)

You can easily generate more detailed reports yourselves using the demo version.

FXDD analysis started per request.

Any more brokers just post - don't be shy.

FXDD does not offer any DAX instrument via MT4 (like GER30). It looks like FXCM recently acquired a large chunk of FXDD and are now routing retail download requests directly to their FXCM site.

So short answer: FXDD: Nope.

Next please.

XM MT4: NO

Only offers Gold and Silver through MT4.

Next.

AGM Markets: NO. Offer nothing but 4 major pairs through MT4.

Maybe I should pose the question differently?

If you are not a MetaTrader4 user or your broker does not offer MT4 goto END
If you cannot select a chart in your MT4 Terminal that has a DAX instrument on it (LIKE DE30 or GER30) goto END
Is your broker not listed ask for a demo else goto END
Post message: "Hi Spike my broker is blabla can you please check?"

END:
Bye - thanks for your attention!

New broker added - Yay!

Varengold Bank AG

Thank you for the tip Olaf.

Graph added - do not get too exited, only ticks from Dec 3 till today were available.

Support for new broker added

FX Choice

Ticks 11-2014 to today attached.

So not all instruments are shown by default. Well thanks for telling me FXDD support, now I can reinstall the ones I already discarded lol.

Calibration for FXDD, done.

New broker supported: FXDD

Calibrated for XM GER30Cash instrument

New broker added: XM (TPFI)

Graph is not very helpful - not enough ticks.

Added Alpha Capital Markets.

Only one month of ticks unfortunatly.

Broker not listed? PLEASE ASK.

Want to play with a demo? PLEASE ASK.

AGM Markets added for $DAX.

It is worth mentioning I can work with end-users to tailor to their needs.

The default Ginkle DAX goal is to make as much profit on breakouts as possible with no more than 35% DD, certainly no more than 40%.

One trader using Varengold bank wanted this lower and so I helped with that resulting in a more conservative version of Ginkle DAX.

Results: 65% profit in less than four months with 18.80% drawdown.

Report attached.

If you want a tailored version yourself to try out (any) just let me know.

Ginkle DAX is now certified for Oanda and FXCM, Live versions will NOT go out without certification, demo versions yes.

Results for FXCM:
340% return in under 11 months with a relative drawdown of 21.68% and a maximum drawdown of 18.79%

Results for Oanda
398% return in under 8 months with a relative drawdown of 28.18% and a maximum drawdown of 19.38%

Now those are serious results. I would like to see if anyone can point to a CFD strategy that has a better risk/reward ratios than that.

Reports attached. If you wish to verify ask me for a demo for your broker.

Three demos are now running - much less than anticipated.

It seems not many traders are trading the German DAX. At least not in here. This is a pity, because even though CFD's are in general considered to be "riskier" than regular currencies, the Reward/Risk ratio is much better IF you have a good strategy.

In any case I will continue to add brokers that are requested.

No Live versions will go out until I have seen and verified performance of at least 5 months of 1m and 10 months of 15m DAX ticks for your broker.

Support for new broker added with thanks to Bill.

Forex Broker Inc.

Please be aware that Forex Broker Inc. aka Noble Services Ltd. is NOT regulated.

Demo running on VPS.

Quote: " It doesn’t look like you are gridding or martingaling but trading higher lots based on percent risk or something like that "

Finally someone gets it! Thank you.

This is like nothing you have seen before and there is nothing out there like it.

To the demo runners: yesterday was a small profit move. You can see on the simplified graphic attached what that means.

See also http://ginkle.com - I am not finished with that website yet but you can see the progress on the brokers.

Next certification will most likely be Varengold followed by Forex Brokers Inc. I am getting a huge database from Ducascopy soon.

http://ginkle.com/w/wp-content/uploa...le-market1.png

It is official: the MQL5 community market has accepted Ginkle DAX for distribution.

This means you can try demo's for free, lease and purchase Ginkle DAX directly in your MetaTrader4 terminal (version 4 only for now). Thanks to a lot of volunteers Ginkle DAX comes with a list of pre-defined parameters for selected brokers and can also be further optimized according to end user specifications.

There are two versions:

 

1. Ginkle DAX Predator Retail
2. Ginkle DAX Predator Professional

You can get the PRO version via the MQL5 market here and the Retail version via http://ginkle.com

Currently listed prices are a 50% introduction offer valid through March 31, 2015.

All current demo runners (you know who you are) will receive an additional 20% discount on the PRO version if they go ahead and purchase Ginkle DAX PRO before March 31, 2015. For more information on pricing please visit http://ginkle.com

Thanks again to all who participated.

Can I run a demo on my Activtrades demo account?