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  • #1,601
  • Jul 13, 2015 3:27am Jul 13, 2015 3:27am
Quoting Exodus
I am a firm believer in time-repeat patterns, kprsa, however here is some fundamental affect.... The talks with Iran have been reported, in the last hour, to be nearing an agreement. The result will be the removal of sanctions in return for <sarcasm> some platitudes </sarcasm> about not pursuing the wrong kind of goals with the Iranian nuclear program. So..... confirmation of this news will cause a sharp drop in WTI pricing, followed by a rebound when the market discovers that the sanctions remain until the end of the month, or something.....
In this strategy I do not look at fundamentals at all, so you can very well be right (and the low tf PA does look suspicious).
Time will show.

Green pips and thanks for your advice,
k
  • #1,602
  • Jul 13, 2015 3:55am Jul 13, 2015 3:55am
I think you should keep an eye on the nuclear deal with Iran. If I remember correctly, even if an agreement is made it needs to go through the US congress and I am not sure it will pass there. So maybe after the selling crude oil could see some recovery.
  • #1,603
  • Jul 13, 2015 11:19am Jul 13, 2015 11:19am
oh well, now oils trying to test resistence..
i put short too early..
and now it's underwater
Forex as Leverage
  • #1,604
  • Jul 13, 2015 11:21am Jul 13, 2015 11:21am
Quoting Chanlie
oh well, now oils trying to test resistence.. i put short too early.. and now it's underwater
Keep shorting this mother, it will come back...I shorted at 53.5 and before that at 52.76
  • #1,605
  • Jul 13, 2015 11:42am Jul 13, 2015 11:42am
Quoting ash1485
{quote} Keep shorting this mother, it will come back...I shorted at 53.5 and before that at 52.76
Sure, i will let my short open and watch it..
When this things back to 51 i will closed my short..
Forex as Leverage
  • #1,606
  • Jul 13, 2015 5:31pm Jul 13, 2015 5:31pm
crude 1H fork looking up!
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Learn THEN Unlearn
  • #1,607
  • Jul 14, 2015 8:04am Jul 14, 2015 8:04am
How low will it go now the usa open for trade, I cant see it bouncing this time off of 50.60
  • #1,608
  • Jul 14, 2015 8:40am Jul 14, 2015 8:40am
Wow, NAT made me nervous since long time. had 1 short contract from 2.875. opened another two 2.925.
Man thanks god i got out with good profit but that was not one of these comfort trading days.

WTI all planned. Bought 1 contract at 50.95 ( i bought since long time ) out 51.85.

Further trading days. I think 50.90 will not hold so long. iran talks maby will slap that WTI Bitch down. If Embargos will be closed more oil on the market and we are maby able to see the 4X.XX Numbers again.

Good news for us Daytraders, Bad News for Soros and Oil-Fonds.
Nice US Session all!
  • #1,609
  • Jul 14, 2015 9:01am Jul 14, 2015 9:01am
Another chance to short oils again
hope to see 49.xx soon..
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Forex as Leverage
  • #1,610
  • Jul 14, 2015 9:15am Jul 14, 2015 9:15am
not understanding what just happened here, on its way down it jumped up again ...
putting more shorts with target 51
  • #1,611
  • Jul 14, 2015 9:28am Jul 14, 2015 9:28am
true ash1485 , very strange behaviour its spending longer aaround 52.30 ( rebound on open ) than I thought it would.
maybe its waiting for tomorows inventories ?
  • #1,612
  • Jul 14, 2015 9:48am Jul 14, 2015 9:48am
Quoting ash1485
not understanding what just happened here, on its way down it jumped up again ... putting more shorts with target 51
Lol, I know your feel
The big boys clean some shorts from retail trader and build their short from high..
Let's see what will happen next..
I bet we will see 49.xx soon(Not today, maybe next week)
Forex as Leverage
  • #1,613
  • Jul 14, 2015 9:53am Jul 14, 2015 9:53am
Quoting Chanlie
{quote} Lol, Agree with you.. The big boys clean some shorts from retail trader and build their short from high.. Let's see what will happen next.. I bet we will see 49.xx soon(Not today, maybe next week)
totally agree . just gone short 52.20 t/p 51.20 , will re enter or keep open depending on strength
  • #1,614
  • Jul 14, 2015 9:59am Jul 14, 2015 9:59am
Quoting nutts
{quote} totally agree . just gone short 52.20 t/p 51.20 , will re enter or keep open depending on strength
As Long 54 Defended by bears, we could short oil but not in the support..
time will tell..
Good Luck
Forex as Leverage
  • #1,615
  • Jul 14, 2015 10:05am Jul 14, 2015 10:05am
Quoting Chanlie
{quote} As Long 54 Defended by bears, we could short oil but not in the support.. time will tell.. Good Luck
thank you chanlie
  • #1,616
  • Jul 14, 2015 10:11am Jul 14, 2015 10:11am
Quoting nutts
{quote} thank you chanlie
Your Welcome nutts
Forex as Leverage
  • #1,617
  • Jul 14, 2015 10:44am Jul 14, 2015 10:44am
Oh my, and now my shorts underwater..
Really disappointed with this things
It seems Euro has better movement than this..
Once my short turns out green, i'll avoid to trade oil for a while
Forex as Leverage
  • #1,618
  • Jul 14, 2015 1:33pm Jul 14, 2015 1:33pm
Hmmmm that did not turn out well at all ... Will still keep my shorts.
Any one to explain that sudden long movement?
  • #1,619
  • Jul 14, 2015 1:46pm Jul 14, 2015 1:46pm
Quoting ash1485
Hmmmm that did not turn out well at all ... Will still keep my shorts. Any one to explain that sudden long movement?
Two possibilities:
First: large scale stop hunting, after everybody starts selling - fueled by good news about the nuclear deal (analogous to what happened after the deal with Greece in EURUSD). Consequence: Price will make a new low after this finishes.
Second, my pet theory, the reversal is happening. Consequence: Price will make a pullback and then make a new high.

k
  • #1,620
  • Jul 14, 2015 1:51pm Jul 14, 2015 1:51pm
I think it's not a bad risk to try a short here but a small one
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