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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #19,381
  • Jun 5, 2015 10:55am Jun 5, 2015 10:55am
Quoting MarianneOslo
{quote} Picture is not so easy now Techically one could think higher bottoms 1,046 1,08, 1,017 and higher tops 1,1 1,13 1,14.... The Swiss nationalbank looks to be buying euros do they think the euro bottom is there. Fundamentally Europe is improving Rates in the eurosone are rising. The greek drama is over to the 30 june. On the other side Dreagi still wants the rates down with QE and the US data not too good.
Draghi has no intent to rise rates for next several years. Swiss are not buying EUR becouse of technicals, they do it due to their balance sheet and CHF strenght impacts on whole markets (same as past several years). I think you are explaining your facts wrong which can lead to wrong investment. NFP was largely bullish. I dont care manipulated data or not, FED will use this as excuse on their decission. It is very dangerous go against them. Your risk if they hike is massive, unless you know where to cut. Additionally technicals on chart points down, in my opinion (excluding retraces minus plus 100-150 pips). I know you invest long term Marianne but i would do it oposite of you. I would look for EU shorts on savings acc from h4 structural entries (1400, 1300) and ride it to downside instead of doing oposite and look for buys and the facts are on short side not long unless they are not anymore. If you think Draghi will raise rates then you are most likely very much wrong in near future. And to bet on Greek drama to end is also one very unprobable bet. You are betting on trades where odds are very much against you.
  • #19,382
  • Jun 5, 2015 11:22am Jun 5, 2015 11:22am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Draghi has no intent to rise rates for next several years. Swiss are not buying EUR becouse of technicals, they do it due to their balance sheet and CHF strenght impacts on whole markets (same as past several years). I think you are explaining your facts wrong which can lead to wrong investment. NFP was largely bullish. I dont care manipulated data or not, FED will use this as excuse on their decission. It is very dangerous go against them. Your risk if they hike is massive, unless you know where to cut. Additionally technicals on chart...
I have been bearish due to the QE and the low rates. I have and will still been riding the downsides. It is safer. BUT I think it is time to discuss that we might have seen a bottom. It can also be. One day the euro will return quickly back to 1,2 and might newer come back to 1,04 again never ever.

He has one intention and that is to improve the European economy. When the euro/USD were at 1,0460 Draghi said he dident need lower rates which made the euro og up. It made the market speculate that he would end QE earleier.
At 1,14 he said the euro is getting to strong. So on Draghis intension the euro should be somewhere between 1.14 and 1,05.This is what he has said on rates.

So then it is the rate hike. To me it looks strange that US will hike rates and they still keep saying it. Could this be part of an agreement that exist between the Central banks and at the moment the agreement is to lower the euro. US are starting to suffer. Two days ago I read that US will not hike rates before 2016 due to the inflation figures. We also know how quickly think can change. Europe can also r aise rates not now but maybe in one year the market rates are rising.

The Swiss national bank needed also a lower CHF at 1,2 and need it even more at 1,05. It cost too much to buy euro at 1,2 but it doesnt cost that much they think to buy at 1,05. They slipped the peg due to the high cost of buying a sinking ship the euro but now maybe they think is is not sinking that much any more
  • #19,383
  • Jun 5, 2015 11:39am Jun 5, 2015 11:39am
Quoting MarianneOslo
{quote} I have been bearish due to the QE and the low rates. I have and will still been riding the downsides. It is safer. BUT I think it is time to discuss that we might have seen a bottom. It can also be. One day the euro will return quickly back to 1,2 and might newer come back to 1,04 again never ever. He has one intention and that is to improve the European economy. When the euro/USD were at 1,0460 Draghi said he dident need lower rates which made the euro og up. It made the market speculate that he would end QE earleier. At 1,14 he said the...
Now you have reexplained it better. Peg cut was defenetly due to EUR slipping lower, but they still need to buy it no matter what, otherwise CHF will strenghten (+fact that SNB is buying toxic assets from around the world not just EU but also US, including stocks and bonds). Balance sheet has tolerance, its loaded big already, but there is still a lot of room, even with EUR slipping lower (10%+).
I see what you mean on rates, rates of exchange, not rates of currency interest %. Yes EU lower for Draghi.
1.2 EU can easily happen if FED doesnt hike June for long term it all depends how and where you are positioned just as any other trade, including MM and RR. Same goes for FED hike. If one would sell EUR for FED hike it would be 1400ish area, to buy you would need 1000 or lower. Otherwise RR is just not good. And if you do go against the market and buy, you need SL, becouse if there is hike your position will not see green for years to come if you can afford few thousands pips of DD.
  • #19,384
  • Jun 5, 2015 11:46am Jun 5, 2015 11:46am
The euro/CHF will rise With the rates. One day not too long it will be safer to trade the euro up than downwards.

If US hike rates the European rates will rise too and the Euro/CHF will rise. This we have been waiting for since 2008 .
  • #19,385
  • Jun 5, 2015 12:26pm Jun 5, 2015 12:26pm
Quoting priceaction1
{quote} yes it is if you miss than have a look this one too. http://www.dawnnews.tv/news/1021007/...hdi-bukhari-bm http://www.dawnnews.tv/news/1020508/...hdi-bukhari-bm http://www.dawnnews.tv/news/1020162/...hdi-bukhari-bm...
Thanks. The pictures are very beautiful. It is unbelivable that there are such places alive.

Best
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #19,386
  • Jun 6, 2015 8:08am Jun 6, 2015 8:08am
Super Samurai: Robot beats Japanese master swordsman (VIDEO)
  • #19,387
  • Jun 6, 2015 8:08am Jun 6, 2015 8:08am
Russia would attack NATO only in mad person’s dream’ – Putin
  • #19,388
  • Jun 6, 2015 8:46am Jun 6, 2015 8:46am
Quoting infinitus
Super Samurai: Robot beats Japanese master swordsman (VIDEO)
Amazing, reminded me on movie Chappie. We arent much far away from using full robots in warefare probably, the AI bit is atm the main limitation. Even katana fighting robot would be deadly considering armor advantage.
  • #19,389
  • Jun 6, 2015 9:05am Jun 6, 2015 9:05am
Watching some epic stuff on youtube.

Inserted Video


Inserted Video


Inserted Video
  • #19,390
  • Jun 6, 2015 9:55am Jun 6, 2015 9:55am
Quoting janpec1000
Watching some epic stuff on youtube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7nS_aR8XX_U https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rnvvsjstveM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xlXk49Mh7go

crazy, isn't it?

Have you seen the list of passed away wing suit flyers at the end of the video? Scary.....

Watching this and getting wet hands LOL
  • #19,391
  • Jun 6, 2015 10:14am Jun 6, 2015 10:14am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} crazy, isn't it? Have you seen the list of passed away wing suit flyers at the end of the video? Scary..... Watching this and getting wet hands LOL
No i only noticed now. Damn . One can imagine things to wrong quickly if you hit something becouse you are probably eaither blacked out, or break something or you disturb windflow and lift and it can quikly go bad and even turning on parachute could become trouble. But to be honest i find freestyle skiing much more dangerous, it takes serious skill to have chance there, unskilled person probably has much better chances to pass trough on wingsuiting.
  • #19,392
  • Jun 6, 2015 10:24am Jun 6, 2015 10:24am
Some higher TF charts i am looking for entry next week:

http://prntscr.com/7dtn1x
http://prntscr.com/7dtnl8
http://prntscr.com/7dto1a
  • #19,393
  • Edited 12:16pm Jun 6, 2015 11:04am | Edited 12:16pm
Quoting janpec1000
Some higher TF charts i am looking for entry next week: http://prntscr.com/7dtn1x http://prntscr.com/7dtnl8 http://prntscr.com/7dto1a
GER30.
This is 3rd try to break 11190 area. on daily chart. often 3rd try is decisive either it make or break. if clear break of this area is occur than this area will be act as resistance in future. till now it is resistance I will Waite till confirmation or long with protection usdjpy
I can't use 5M chart at weekend, 5m charts are good when we are in between trading day not at the end of week I use to see 4H charts.
CAD I short usdcad.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 3rd.png Size: 40 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: position.png Size: 33 KB
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #19,394
  • Jun 6, 2015 11:18am Jun 6, 2015 11:18am
@Markus

I did use some time MML with 32 setting for finding market stable conduction, and looking for sitting ducks when all time frame are align, the old Indicator did not work with new mt4. did you have any other one.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #19,395
  • Jun 6, 2015 11:55am Jun 6, 2015 11:55am
Quoting priceaction1
@Markus I did use some time MML with 32 setting for finding market stable conduction, and looking for sitting ducks when all time frame are align, the old Indicator did not work with new mt4. did you have any other one.

I work since years with this one. It was also once approved by a mathematician on the basis of the work of Murrey (some Murrey indicators for MT4 do not work properly)
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 MML_Multi_Option_v1.24 He.mq4   28 KB | 406 downloads
  • #19,396
  • Jun 6, 2015 12:10pm Jun 6, 2015 12:10pm
Quoting priceaction1
{quote} GER30. This is 3rd try to break 11190 area. on daily chart. often 3rd try is decisive either it make or break. if clear break of this are is occur than this area will be act as resistance in future. till now it is resistance I will Waite till confirmation or long with protection usdjpy I can't use 5M chart at weekend, 5m charts are good when we are in between trading day not at the end of week I use to see 4H charts. CAD I short usdcad. {image} {image}
Nice chart, i like your UCAD short and reasons behind it, would have shorted same, but missed couse dont follow higher TFs often.
Agree with whats said regarding m5 weekend stuff.
  • #19,397
  • Jun 6, 2015 12:14pm Jun 6, 2015 12:14pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} I work since years with this one. It was also once approved by a mathematician on the basis of the work of Murrey (some Murrey indicators for MT4 do not work properly) {file}
I use this one when I was start posting in Shangri-La (my introduction to Forx) recently I try to use it but unable to do. let I download it again and try to fix. I still remember the location of it i.e http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...202012%2016:13

thank you for prompt reply.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #19,398
  • Jun 6, 2015 12:20pm Jun 6, 2015 12:20pm
It feel like come home after some time
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #19,399
  • Jun 6, 2015 12:42pm Jun 6, 2015 12:42pm
Quoting priceaction1
{quote} I use this one when I was start posting in Shangri-La (my introduction to Forx) recently I try to use it but unable to do. let I download it again and try to fix. I still remember the location of it i.e http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...202012%2016:13 thank you for prompt reply.

tempore furat - time is running


here is the compiled file, in case you do not get it to run - worth a try
Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 MML_Multi_Option_v1.24 He.ex4   30 KB | 459 downloads
  • #19,400
  • Jun 6, 2015 12:43pm Jun 6, 2015 12:43pm
Quoting priceaction1
It feel like come home after some time

the lost son is back home
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