EUR views with Greece in the limelight | Forex Factory

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EUR views with Greece in the limelight

  • #1
  • First Post: Edited Nov 3, 2016 10:29am May 30, 2015 1:36pm | Edited Nov 3, 2016 10:29am
nil
  • #2
  • May 30, 2015 1:37pm May 30, 2015 1:37pm
I think both the EUR is Bullish. If Greece leave, then the shitty apple of the EUR is gone and if Greece stay with help, then the EUR will be stable and the investors too.
  • #3
  • May 30, 2015 1:41pm May 30, 2015 1:41pm
Quoting Bicarus
Hi all, with greece coming into the limelight next week. what are your views? a)if greece were to leave? - bearish/bullish for euro b)if greece were to stay? - bearish/bullish for euro substantiate claim with reasoning, so we can make this little debate/exchangeof ideas more meaningful - cheers
My guess:

a) bearish
b) bullish
Learn to like losses
  • #4
  • May 30, 2015 1:53pm May 30, 2015 1:53pm
Quoting Ziaf
I think both the EUR is Bullish. If Greece leave, then the shitty apple of the EUR is gone and if Greece stay with help, then the EUR will be stable and the investors too.
thanks for your insights, but i beg to defer. with either scenarios. im guessing the the eur will be net negative. if A were to occur, yes the ECB will be done with this country, but the sovereign debt/bonds held by the other EU nations will have to now be considered bad debt and someone, mainly the ECB will have to wipe it off the balance sheet.

and if B were to occur, it would mean that ECB's QE would now be extended to cover greece. not only that, but by receiving more aid from the ECB, it simply means kicking the can down the road again.

A few weeks ago ECB did say they were going to front load their bond buying programme, and im guessing this would be the main primary reason to cover both bases
  • #5
  • May 30, 2015 11:29pm May 30, 2015 11:29pm
could we see what happened to usdchf happening to the EURO???????????? or something worse this week???????????
I am what Many Dream to be but only a few can achieve, im a part of the 1%
  • #6
  • May 30, 2015 11:39pm May 30, 2015 11:39pm
Quoting Bicarus
{quote} thanks for your insights, but i beg to defer. with either scenarios. im guessing the the eur will be net negative. if A were to occur, yes the ECB will be done with this country, but the sovereign debt/bonds held by the other EU nations will have to now be considered bad debt and someone, mainly the ECB will have to wipe it off the balance sheet. and if B were to occur, it would mean that ECB's QE would now be extended to cover greece. not only that, but by receiving more aid from the ECB, it simply means kicking the can down the road again....
Then C occurs and all your wrote becomes meaningless. :nerd:
  • #7
  • May 31, 2015 12:00am May 31, 2015 12:00am
Quoting Bicarus
{quote} thanks for your insights, but i beg to defer. with either scenarios. im guessing the the eur will be net negative. if A were to occur, yes the ECB will be done with this country, but the sovereign debt/bonds held by the other EU nations will have to now be considered bad debt and someone, mainly the ECB will have to wipe it off the balance sheet. and if B were to occur, it would mean that ECB's QE would now be extended to cover greece. not only that, but by receiving more aid from the ECB, it simply means kicking the can down the road again....
....Sorry to but in here, if Greece will leave the euro zone and default, that will be very good for the euro and the investors, but real life is not like this, real life is used to more bail outs and more kicking the can as you put it, so if Greece will leave, it will be disastrous for the euro, me think...
The Chonchy
  • #8
  • Last Post: May 31, 2015 3:51am May 31, 2015 3:51am
I hear allways about Grexit and i dont understand why people believe when Greece is bankrot then must leave from the eurozone!!! To leave eurozone is a suicide for Greece.
If the big "wolfes" from eurozone doesnt help Greece like a partner and Greece is unable to pay the loans (loans what never recieved) then Greece is bankrot in eurozone and will "stay there" This means the END of EU and EURO. All the negotiations till now were to save EU and not to begging for money.
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