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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #19,001
  • May 14, 2015 9:32am May 14, 2015 9:32am
must read

Marc Faber Macro Views and Investments. US Bonds, Currencies and Gold Miners
  • #19,002
  • May 14, 2015 9:38am May 14, 2015 9:38am
Quoting infinitus
today's sentiment index for EUR is at 75% bulls

BTW

DXY showed only 10% Dollar bulls
  • #19,003
  • May 14, 2015 9:40am May 14, 2015 9:40am
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
Why There Has Been No Recovery (In One Simple Chart): A Harvest Of Corruption
  • #19,004
  • May 14, 2015 12:46pm May 14, 2015 12:46pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} LVN and HVN Why Do They Work
Great post,

I love the MarketDelta Texts. I learned from they much.



D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #19,005
  • May 14, 2015 2:29pm May 14, 2015 2:29pm
Quoting infinitus
must read Marc Faber Macro Views and Investments. US Bonds, Currencies and Gold Miners
Why is USD strong but 30Y 10Y is low? QE and relation to currency/bonds, also investment flows into Y but still positive USD flows that go into USD as safe heaven currency in 2014-15 as ECB hammers its only oposition currency. Again ECB buying bonds a pure madness? He doesnt seem to comprihend how significant ECB QE is for political stability of EU that is tied into economical situation. Market doesnt need yields pushed down, but goverments do in countries like Spain, Italy and France, so that economical situation of current goverments doesnt go heavier into tightening of belt, increasing taxes and filling expensiver bonds that state has to deliver trough market to market rating instead of "ECB rating". Anti EU parties are gaining heavy strenght that is mostly based on EUR exit and worsening economical situation, spilling further fire (which would happen without QE) into it only gains them strenght. Globalists completly know what play are they playing in Japan, EU and USA, he doesnt seem to get it. I dont understand why investors with so many proves out there that markets are completly manipulated, still look for corelation ties between assets that dont exist in manipulated markets. Go look for 30Y and USD correlation in gold standard, but dont do it on fiat standard that is in its final phase.
  • #19,006
  • May 14, 2015 6:02pm May 14, 2015 6:02pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
Flash Crash Scapegoat Nav Sarao Complained More Than 100 Times About The Real Market Manipulators
  • #19,007
  • May 14, 2015 7:25pm May 14, 2015 7:25pm
Hi D.P.,

have reactivated Thinkorswim. Have access with this platform to futures data. Also they do offer Volume profiles.

Attached chart shows the difference between Dukascopy real volume volume profile (blue) and the volume profile of the /6E (FX EU future) (green)


Interesting differences

Pictured are the Data from the 399x top

It seems, that the traders at Dukascopy tend to build their huge positions later (skewed to the downside) than the futures trader
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mm2.png Size: 111 KB
  • #19,008
  • May 14, 2015 7:33pm May 14, 2015 7:33pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
The Greatest Water Crisis In The History Of The United States


...what a disaster
  • #19,009
  • Edited May 15, 2015 3:17am May 14, 2015 11:22pm | Edited May 15, 2015 3:17am
Quoting infinitus
{image} The Greatest Water Crisis In The History Of The United States ...what a disaster
Ups...

D.P.

P.S. We were talking about it.
Hunting High and Low
  • #19,010
  • May 15, 2015 3:35am May 15, 2015 3:35am
Quoting infinitus
Hi D.P., have reactivated Thinkorswim. Have access with this platform to futures data. Also they do offer Volume profiles. Attached chart shows the difference between Dukascopy real volume volume profile (blue) and the volume profile of the /6E (FX EU future) (green) Interesting differences Pictured are the Data from the 399x top It seems, that the traders at Dukascopy tend to build their huge positions later (skewed to the downside) than the futures trader {image}
Hi, Markus.

it seems to be two reasons on this topic.

1/ Volumes traded at a futures stock are shifted relative to those traded at FOREX because of contango. So the profiles you see should be shifted relative to each other as well, they do not be at the same axis.

2/ Yes you are right that we have lager positions traded at FOREX because of absence of the authority regulations. Those traders, who operate at both markets at the same time, move market at the futures stocks, and then gain profit at FOREX, as these markets are sinchronious most time.

Best,
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #19,011
  • May 15, 2015 3:36am May 15, 2015 3:36am
Quoting infinitus
Hi D.P., have reactivated Thinkorswim. Have access with this platform to futures data. Also they do offer Volume profiles. Attached chart shows the difference between Dukascopy real volume volume profile (blue) and the volume profile of the /6E (FX EU future) (green) Interesting differences Pictured are the Data from the 399x top It seems, that the traders at Dukascopy tend to build their huge positions later (skewed to the downside) than the futures trader {image}

ups, had some scaling issues without noticing it


here is the correct overlay


does not look so bad now
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mm2.png Size: 111 KB
  • #19,012
  • May 15, 2015 3:40am May 15, 2015 3:40am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} does not look so bad now {image}

See point one above. Maybe that was the reason.

D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #19,013
  • May 15, 2015 3:42am May 15, 2015 3:42am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Hi, Markus. it seems to be two reasons on this topic. 1/ Volumes traded at a futures stock are shifted relative to those traded at FOREX because of contango. So the profiles you see should be shifted relative to each other as well, they do not be at the same axis. 2/ Yes you are right that we have lager positions traded at FOREX because of absence of the authority regulations. Those traders, who operate at both markets at the same time, move market at the futures stocks, and then gain profit at FOREX, as these markets are sinchronious...


sorry for confusion
  • #19,014
  • May 15, 2015 3:43am May 15, 2015 3:43am
....BUT

take a note that the green profile is wider than the blue one at the same moments.

Best,
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #19,015
  • May 15, 2015 3:49am May 15, 2015 3:49am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
....BUT take a note that the green profile is wider than the blue one at the same moments. Best, D.P.


you mean the length of the peaks?

if yes:

I do not know by now the value of the length of the green profiles, because I have not found the function in Thinkorswim to show me the aggregated ammount of volume at each price level as value.

So look only at the positions of the peaks, not at their length.
  • #19,016
  • May 15, 2015 3:52am May 15, 2015 3:52am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} See point one above. Maybe that was the reason. D.P.

hmmm, hard to imagine such reasoning, because there is not only contango, but also backwardation possible


but think it is irrelevant in /6E
  • #19,017
  • May 15, 2015 3:54am May 15, 2015 3:54am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} hmmm, hard to imagine such reasoning, because there is not only contango, but also backwardation possible but think it is irrelevant in /6E

The fault was:

a) the starting period was not exactly the top at 399x on the futures data

and


b) something unknown went wrong in the thinkorswim platform



shit happens
  • #19,018
  • May 15, 2015 3:59am May 15, 2015 3:59am
if someone of you is interested in very good options analysis

you may be interested in this tools (some are free, most have to be bought, but surly worth the money)

I used some of them in the past, and just remembered, when Ireactivated my Thinkorswim yesterday


http://www.hoadley.net/options/options.htm
  • #19,019
  • May 15, 2015 4:01am May 15, 2015 4:01am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} you mean the length of the peaks? if yes: I do not know by now the value of the length of the green profiles, because I have not found the function in Thinkorswim to show me the aggregated ammount of volume at each price level as value. So look only at the positions of the peaks, not at their length.
No, that is volumes, I meant it was in prices. The green normal distribution has the larger variance.

D.P.

P.S. Sorry for confusion.
Hunting High and Low
  • #19,020
  • May 15, 2015 4:04am May 15, 2015 4:04am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} hmmm, hard to imagine such reasoning, because there is not only contango, but also backwardation possible but think it is irrelevant in /6E
Yes, of course, my friend.

They are the PAIR.

D.P.
Hunting High and Low
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