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  • #8,641
  • May 11, 2015 7:23pm May 11, 2015 7:23pm
Be Afraid!
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/almost...184542443.html
“I’m not sure if it’s the biggest trade ever, but it’s certainly one of them,” said Tyrrell, who works for Group One Trading LP, the primary market maker for VIX options. “Someone is interested in owning a lot of protection, but not in the near-term.”
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,642
  • May 11, 2015 7:49pm May 11, 2015 7:49pm
Quoting StrayDog
{quote} Idk, TF... Because /ES futures options ties A LOT of margin on Reg-T account... and SPX options are larger... SPY --> /ES ---> SPX... that is gradation in options size / margin req and accounts. I looked to sell some /ES options, but margin requirements are too high for me, meaning like $4-5k for a single option, which I don't find appealing. So, I think, without PM account, it is really hard to do naked selling on SPX options.
That's kinda what I also figured ... .
Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
  • #8,643
  • May 12, 2015 12:27am May 12, 2015 12:27am
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102668671?par...l%25257Cusnews
"This is starting to become a bad omen. This is not good. There's enough leverage out there in different forms, where if this is the end of the 'easy money, low long-term rates' story and the Fed is not going to be able to hike, the long-term interest rates market is going to do the tightening for the Fed, and this will be bad for most financial assets," said George Goncalves, head of rate strategy at Nomura.

"If this move is really a referendum on central bankers providing too much liquidity and if this is the hangover part, it could go much further," said Goncalves."

-----

/ZB is red overnight, TLT should gap down into $118.xx overnight. I have been watching this epic move like an imbecile, unable to do anything to capitalize. If the upcoming UST auctions bomb out on low volume, US equities will match the fall in UST's. Credit anticipates, equity confirms. If I repeat it enough, it will come true...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,644
  • May 12, 2015 4:05am May 12, 2015 4:05am
Closed out my spot forex accounts, which were, at any rate, quickly becoming train wrecks with protracted Greenback weakness ... . Once the brokers disgorge the funds, I'll fund an TOS account, so that I can quit piddling around ... . Trading paper's fine for a bit, but nothing beats the real thing ... . The real thing pays the bills.
Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
  • #8,645
  • May 12, 2015 5:59am May 12, 2015 5:59am
Quoting Cecil Gee
so interesting area in currencies now USD/Y just sitting at 119.85 level if it can't move up from here then we have a real potential ton see a start of a bear trend starting only in my opinion which could result in US equities being at it tops plus we have been in a 40 week cycle of a bull move and normally a correction resumes
another test on USD/Y 119.85 bounced a little again, pull up your monthly charts on this currency and you may see why
  • #8,646
  • May 12, 2015 7:55am May 12, 2015 7:55am
Quoting ZebraSquirl
Closed out my spot forex accounts, which were, at any rate, quickly becoming train wrecks with protracted Greenback weakness ... . Once the brokers disgorge the funds, I'll fund an TOS account, so that I can quit piddling around ... . Trading paper's fine for a bit, but nothing beats the real thing ... . The real thing pays the bills.
Good luck with it, ZS. ToS is great and I show my trades here pretty much only for my TDA/ToS account, but pricing is much better elsewhere - check out IB, for instance...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,647
  • May 12, 2015 8:09am May 12, 2015 8:09am
SPY set to gap down a buck at the open....SnP looking at the old 2080 zone again...if it bounces 30 pts again there into opex I will run myself thru a wood chipper.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,648
  • May 12, 2015 9:02am May 12, 2015 9:02am
Breeeeaak, one-nine ... you got the Super Bear, c'mon?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,649
  • May 12, 2015 9:30am May 12, 2015 9:30am
Another Oil "prediction" from GS...

Get ready for another oil price dip: Goldman Sachs

I would like to have "ignore" option for them and Mr. Gartman, since they are both wrong all the time.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #8,650
  • May 12, 2015 11:58am May 12, 2015 11:58am
Quoting The Fool
...if it bounces 30 pts again there into opex I will run myself thru a wood chipper.
I am going to put the vid on youtube, just my arm shoving the last of me through the wood chipper will be pretty impressive....at last I will get the 10 sec of respect I deserve...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,651
  • May 12, 2015 1:26pm May 12, 2015 1:26pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I am going to put the vid on youtube, just my arm shoving the last of me through the wood chipper will be pretty impressive....at last I will get the 10 sec of respect I deserve...
I am going to loop the vid so it runs for 8 hours, give ya'll something to watch during the endless sideways market of 2015...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,652
  • May 12, 2015 1:47pm May 12, 2015 1:47pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I am going to loop the vid so it runs for 8 hours, give ya'll something to watch during the endless sideways market of 2015...
You plan to get an Oscar for documentary film?
Working title: "How I got inside a wood chipper by trading the SnP"...
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #8,653
  • May 12, 2015 2:15pm May 12, 2015 2:15pm
SDog. I authorize you to accept any awards for me, if I receive them posthumously. Really, I feel like I have let you down, hanging on in these short SPY verticals for so long. So it's the least I can do.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,654
  • May 12, 2015 2:24pm May 12, 2015 2:24pm
Quoting The Fool
SDog. I authorize you to accept any awards for me, if I receive them posthumously. Really, I feel like I have let you down, hanging on in these short SPY verticals for so long. So it's the least I can do.

Anything for a friend! I will be honored to accept a reward for you.

I must work on a new song, working title -> Sideways is OK...
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #8,655
  • May 12, 2015 4:30pm May 12, 2015 4:30pm
This is the feeling I get when I trade sideways markets...............not.
http://www.sbnation.com/lookit/2015/...bai-yves-rossy
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,656
  • May 12, 2015 11:11pm May 12, 2015 11:11pm
/ES pointing up overnight, but CNY data out in a bit, we'll see if that has an impact. Quite bullish close for the day, relentless BTFD, heading into May opex, just trying to hang in dicey trades down the stretch.

/CL motoring up overnight on the weak $, we could see USO $21 passed tomorrow, I am holding $20, $21, and $23 May calendars, gonna make some money there, looking at other USO trade for a little more Summer runup...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,657
  • May 12, 2015 11:23pm May 12, 2015 11:23pm
I have this odd combo diagonal, I musta been high when I set this up, but it could jack up my account if USO will go on a tear into July (USO $28 is what, /CL $82+...?)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2015-05-12_uso.png Size: 64 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,658
  • May 13, 2015 9:22am May 13, 2015 9:22am
crude storage, UST 10yr bond auction what I am tuning in for today, ruminating on selling SPY call verts out into June, like $215/217 for $0.54....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,659
  • May 13, 2015 10:24am May 13, 2015 10:24am
Quoting The Fool
crude storage, UST 10yr bond auction what I am tuning in for today, ruminating on selling SPY call verts out into June, like $215/217 for $0.54....
missed that $0.54 as SPY dropped like a turd, trying $.52, about 5c off, will get in on another bounce maybe, but if 10yr auction bombs, bears could make a run for it
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,660
  • May 13, 2015 11:15am May 13, 2015 11:15am
Quoting The Fool
I have this odd combo diagonal, I musta been high when I set this up, but it could jack up my account if USO will go on a tear into July (USO $28 is what, /CL $82+...?) {image}
In July you will have August CL contract, which expires on July 21st...
August contract is now $62.64, with USO at exactly $21... so that is the current relationship, almost 3 : 1.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
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