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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #18,921
  • May 5, 2015 9:03pm May 5, 2015 9:03pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
The Mistake Everyone Is Making About Fed Rate Hikes
  • #18,922
  • Edited 10:27am May 6, 2015 10:07am | Edited 10:27am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} exactly, that is the reason I stayed away from Murrey math for some times now, because we had a very strong unidirectional move. Murrey works best in strong ranging markets But it can not hurt to research some methods or develop new ones
Small short position at 13,57. Let's see. It suits for your POC and gaps have been fullfilled.

Edit: s/l at be.
  • #18,923
  • May 6, 2015 10:59am May 6, 2015 10:59am
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} Small short position at 13,57. Let's see. It suits for your POC and gaps have been fullfilled. Edit: s/l at be.
1.1240 ST ... I think that can be done..
  • #18,924
  • May 6, 2015 11:35am May 6, 2015 11:35am
Quoting chess king
{quote} 1.1240 ST ... I think that can be done..
Thanks. I do not know very well where to put the TP.
  • #18,925
  • May 6, 2015 11:44am May 6, 2015 11:44am
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} Thanks. I do not know very well where to put the TP.
like everything in life... there are no certainties for the future...
  • #18,926
  • May 6, 2015 11:48am May 6, 2015 11:48am
Quoting chess king
{quote} like everything in life... there are no certainties for the future...
Where to put a TP is the most beatifull uncertainty for a trader...
  • #18,927
  • May 6, 2015 4:32pm May 6, 2015 4:32pm
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} Thanks. I do not know very well where to put the TP.
TPs are relative, depending on timeframe, likelihood, risk tolerance, ...&...&...&
FXcube
  • #18,928
  • May 6, 2015 4:53pm May 6, 2015 4:53pm
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} Where to put a TP is the most beatifull uncertainty for a trader...
It depends on the trading style (system) that each uses ... and M/M...and...and...and...!!!!

but I agree it will not be the easiest task...but also is not the most difficult
  • #18,929
  • May 6, 2015 4:58pm May 6, 2015 4:58pm
1.1240...this example'm not inventing any TP...
It is what I see as reasonable...

2H..chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Captura de ecra de 2015-05-06 22:55:36.png Size: 139 KB
  • #18,930
  • May 7, 2015 12:21am May 7, 2015 12:21am
Sentiment

CHF and Crude at 82% bulls
  • #18,931
  • May 7, 2015 9:23am May 7, 2015 9:23am
Quoting chess king
1.1240...this example'm not inventing any TP... It is what I see as reasonable... 2H..chart {image}
hit
  • #18,932
  • May 7, 2015 1:05pm May 7, 2015 1:05pm
isn't it nice how levels get tested?

EU
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  • #18,933
  • May 7, 2015 1:09pm May 7, 2015 1:09pm
EU

Elliott wave


for me it looks very likely, that an ABC-flat from the very bottom has finished today with a nice impulsive movement


Question now is(if true):

is this the wave 4, or is this only the wave A of 4?

Looking at a daily, weekly, monthly chart, I would rather bet that this is the wave A of wave 4.


What do you think?
  • #18,934
  • May 7, 2015 1:53pm May 7, 2015 1:53pm
For an outright bearish move, there are too many Euro bears left across various broker data



example:


http://www.dailyfx.com/technical_ana...timent=EUR/USD
  • #18,935
  • May 7, 2015 2:33pm May 7, 2015 2:33pm
Volume-adjusted moving averages
(for educational purposes only)

Best,
D.P.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf VOLADJ.pdf   120 KB | 3,074 downloads
Hunting High and Low
  • #18,936
  • May 7, 2015 3:59pm May 7, 2015 3:59pm
This chart explains itself nicely why central planners are manipulating markets the way they are for past 3 decades and when it started. JPM invents derivates at about 80-81 in circulation as fiat system begins to hits its ceiling and this chart shows nicely how derivates offloaded "risk" from system with pushing yields inversely even though system kept going. The point of this chart is that calling bubble explosion is rather risky call becouse derivates are doing such great job, even though being added exponentially along with the risk system remains stable as long as it is fully 100% controled-non capitalistic markets way to go. There is no price discovery for bonds really, no need to go further beyond this chart, so bubble cannot burst until central banks decide so. Even excessive risk into system as 2000 or 2008 or 89 crisis do not dissmantle it with bonds leading its way for system base or countries economy.

http://www.sprottmoney.com/news/bond...ott-money-news
  • #18,937
  • Edited May 8, 2015 12:04am May 7, 2015 11:52pm | Edited May 8, 2015 12:04am
Quoting infinitus
For an outright bearish move, there are too many Euro bears left across various broker data example: http://www.dailyfx.com/technical_ana...timent=EUR/USD

I wouldn't dare to say EU is bearish,

My speculative view for EU is bullish and probably is in preparation for another breakout to the Upside, but its not yet ready imo.

Well I'm waiting how this weekend/today close to confirm/disconfirm this view.
  • #18,938
  • May 8, 2015 4:19am May 8, 2015 4:19am
Quoting andexQ
{quote} I wouldn't dare to say EU is bearish, My speculative view for EU is bullish and probably is in preparation for another breakout to the Upside, but its not yet ready imo. Well I'm waiting how this weekend/today close to confirm/disconfirm this view.
Infinitus meant that EU should be bullish becouse retailers are short. As for myself speaking h1-h4 is in neutral zone at the moment can go either ways thus i am following step by step lower tf charts only. For bearish view on EU, bears need hard test of 1135, this then seals current high as top and we can move lower, without it all upper levels are opened. Slow-weak retest of 1350 would be bearish for me however and i would short that.
  • #18,939
  • May 8, 2015 5:11am May 8, 2015 5:11am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Infinitus meant that EU should be bullish becouse retailers are short. As for myself speaking h1-h4 is in neutral zone at the moment can go either ways thus i am following step by step lower tf charts only. For bearish view on EU, bears need hard test of 1135, this then seals current high as top and we can move lower, without it all upper levels are opened. Slow-weak retest of 1350 would be bearish for me however and i would short that.
Ok thanks
  • #18,940
  • May 8, 2015 11:15am May 8, 2015 11:15am
Sentiment Index

Euro had 69% bulls yesterday
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