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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #18,841
  • Edited 9:35am Apr 29, 2015 8:50am | Edited 9:35am
Quoting infinitus
Chernobyl forest fires may result in large scale re-release of radiation Holy shit......
Yeah...

From me to Chernobyl is the same distance as from me to Moscow - too close for me to be concerned.

http://cs624128.vk.me/v624128690/2838d/NAd_Xc_PBQg.jpg

I remember that story of Chernobyl in 1986. it was nervous.

D.P.

P.S. The wind is south-west. Below I would like to give you some medical advices (in Russian, please, translate with google), if needed.

- следующую неделю не попадать ни под какие осадки,
- свести к минимуму нахождение на солнце,
- при северном ветре не выходить на улицу,
- постараться в ближайшие дни не проветривать квартиру или проветривать только ночью, когда нет ветра.

Признаки радиационного отравления: ожоги на коже (как обгореть на солнце), легкое покашливание (першит в горле). Самый первый и явный признак присутствия радиации - ком в горле который не получается ни проглотить, ни откашлять.

Если у вас есть эти симптомы:
- взять обычный медицинский йод, разводить в воде 1 капля на стакан воды и пить 2-3 раза в день.
- пить 20-30 мл водки пару раз в день. Алкоголь замедляет всасывание минералов, в т.ч. радиоактивных изотопов.

Hope you won,t get it.


***

Good news now.

I congratulate everyone to have a breakout upwards.

Best,
D.P.

A picture of the 4H EU pair is below.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Hunting High and Low
  • #18,842
  • Apr 29, 2015 10:26am Apr 29, 2015 10:26am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Yeah... From me to Chernobyl is the same distance as from me to Moscow - too close for me to be concerned. {image} I remember that story of Chernobyl in 1986. it was nervous. D.P. P.S. The wind is south-west. Below I would like to give you some medical advices (in Russian, please, translate with google), if needed. - следующую неделю не попадать ни под какие...

regarding breakout:

was right and wrong

was right in my EW analysis so far with my main count (alternative 3) (should have stick to it, regardles of the overlapping structure of the move)

was wrong with closing shop @ 1001
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  • #18,843
  • Apr 29, 2015 10:31am Apr 29, 2015 10:31am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} regarding breakout: was right and wrong {image}
actually I was thinking we would go lower to the 1.0 area. now I do not even know...

D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #18,844
  • Apr 29, 2015 10:48am Apr 29, 2015 10:48am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} actually I was thinking we would go lower to the 1.0 area. now I do not even know... D.P.

That was something I warned about weeks ago:

that price inflicts pain to most of the traders most of the time.

1.00 was so near, and all started to believe parity or sub-parity was a given. As most thought, that above 1.40, 1.50 etc. was a given, when we were at 399x.


Even so the firm believers in perfect fib-ratios got a kick in their butts, because so far, the move down from the 399x top has no good fib-relationship to anything.

All we know by now, that priice hit the lower side of a very long term channel


And that alone leaves us with very much question marks for the next moves. Add to that, that the move down from the 399x can be already counted a completed impulse, as shown a few days back (although with poor fib-relationships)


Now trading for bigger swings has become relatively dangerous

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  • #18,845
  • Apr 29, 2015 10:58am Apr 29, 2015 10:58am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} That was something I warned about weeks ago: that price inflicts pain to most of the traders most of the time. 1.00 was so near, and all started to believe parity or sub-parity was a given. As most thought, that above 1.40, 1.50 etc. was a given, when we were at 399x. Even so the firm believers in perfect fib-ratios got a kick in their butts, because so far, the move down from the 399x top has no good fib-relationship to anything. All we know by now, that priice hit the lower side of a very long term channel And that alone leaves us with...

the overlapping nature of the move up from the 05x low may be counted as multiple 1-2 moves in the end


looking at the volume distribution, price today simply overjumped several no-business zones. That means oftentimes, that price is about to test the last high/very high volume zone. The POC of such a zone would be around 1330-1340
  • #18,846
  • Apr 29, 2015 11:00am Apr 29, 2015 11:00am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} the overlapping nature of the move up from the 05x low may be counted as multiple 1-2 moves in the end looking at the volume distribution, price today simply overjumped several no-business zones. That means oftentimes, that price is about to test the last high/very high volume zone. The POC of such a zone would be around 1330-1340

EU
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  • #18,847
  • Apr 29, 2015 11:13am Apr 29, 2015 11:13am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Yeah... From me to Chernobyl is the same distance as from me to Moscow - too close for me to be concerned. {image} I remember that story of Chernobyl in 1986. it was nervous. D.P. P.S. The wind is south-west. Below I would like to give you some medical advices (in Russian, please, translate with google), if needed. - следующую неделю не попадать ни под какие...
Just as we discussed 2 weeks ago all went along the plan, with reaching up to initial target of 1.1000 h4 zone. Very interesting thing is going to happen now on FOMC. If there is rate hike hint (or similar hawkish stance) and USD goes berserk this is gona be massive EU bear trap and its gona be very bearish for further days to come. If there is dowish FOMC EU has no ceiling, 1.2, 1.3 no problem and it actually locks down h4 as bottoming structure which is rather very important and opens further level of 1.5 supply as possible test. In either case i dont want to guess direction ill just wait for move and trade afterwards. Green pips to all.
  • #18,848
  • Edited 11:54am Apr 29, 2015 11:41am | Edited 11:54am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} EU {image}
Why do not you think of what would be doing business in non-business zones, say 1,11 - 1,12?

D.P.

Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Just as we discussed 2 weeks ago all went along the plan, with reaching up to initial target of 1.1000 h4 zone. Very interesting thing is going to happen now on FOMC. If there is rate hike hint (or similar hawkish stance) and USD goes berserk this is gona be massive EU bear trap and its gona be very bearish for further days to come. If there is dowish FOMC EU has no ceiling, 1.2, 1.3 no problem and it actually locks down h4 as bottoming structure which is rather very important and opens further level of 1.5 supply as possible test. In either...
Technically you are right - there are the only two ways to follow.

I personally think we should go higher after the stage of accumulating buyers, but do not forget it is only Wednesday today, and major movements happen on Thursdays and Fridays - so this week has not been ended yet.

D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #18,849
  • Apr 29, 2015 1:12pm Apr 29, 2015 1:12pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Why do not you think of what would be doing business in non-business zones, say 1,11 - 1,12? D.P. {quote} Technically you are right - there are the only two ways to follow. I personally think we should go higher after the stage of accumulating buyers, but do not forget it is only Wednesday today, and major movements happen on Thursdays and Fridays - so this week has not been ended yet. D.P.

Hi DP,

yes, no-business-zones may be volume filled over-time. But when you have such a strong momentum move up like today, it may need good supply from a high volume level in order to act as resistance.

When inside the no-business zone, it would either need bears who are willing to sell from what they bought higher, or it needs bulls who will like to take profit.

In the first case, the bulls, which should turn bears are looking at current upmove and might have the hope, that price will reach the level.

In the second case, the bulls from the lows may feel the need to not go the extra mile to supply and try to sell their positions. In this case price may collapse fairly fast inside of the no-business zone
  • #18,850
  • Apr 29, 2015 6:17pm Apr 29, 2015 6:17pm
Documentation about Fukushima

sorry, only German

Inserted Video
  • #18,851
  • Apr 29, 2015 7:08pm Apr 29, 2015 7:08pm
Now it gets really funny


http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
Texas Governor Calls Up State Guard To Counter Jade Helm "Federal Invasion" Fears
  • #18,852
  • Apr 29, 2015 7:52pm Apr 29, 2015 7:52pm
DX

EURUSD

EURUSD


nice counts


when one looks at the positioning of the retail traders at the various brokers, price may really go up more


http://singulorum001.blogspot.de/p/sentiment.html
  • #18,853
  • Apr 29, 2015 8:11pm Apr 29, 2015 8:11pm
Litvinenko Wasn't Poisoned by Putin. He Was Likely Smuggling the Polonium That Killed Him


  • #18,854
  • Apr 30, 2015 2:59am Apr 30, 2015 2:59am
Careful guys now with shorts, EU bull target 1.1360, bottom is set in, pre rally leg is set in.
  • #18,855
  • Apr 30, 2015 4:28am Apr 30, 2015 4:28am
Quoting janpec1000
Careful guys now with shorts, EU bull target 1.1360, bottom is set in, pre rally leg is set in.

exactly, like I said yesterday: when such a huge no-business zone is fought with such high momentum, the target is a high-volume zone. The POC of that is 1338



damn it, such a nice move and I closed position yesterday right before train started
  • #18,856
  • Apr 30, 2015 12:23pm Apr 30, 2015 12:23pm
260 high to be attacked and broken tomorrow.
  • #18,857
  • Apr 30, 2015 1:41pm Apr 30, 2015 1:41pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi DP, yes, no-business-zones may be volume filled over-time. But when you have such a strong momentum move up like today, it may need good supply from a high volume level in order to act as resistance. When inside the no-business zone, it would either need bears who are willing to sell from what they bought higher, or it needs bulls who will like to take profit. In the first case, the bulls, which should turn bears are looking at current upmove and might have the hope, that price will reach the level. In the second case, the bulls from...
So, I would like to ask the same question.

Why do not you think of what would be doing business in non-business zones, say 1,11 - 1,12?

I think we are about to turn the non-business zones into the doing business zones.

D.P.

P.S. Just intersting. Momentum of breaking out is decaying.
Hunting High and Low
  • #18,858
  • Apr 30, 2015 2:01pm Apr 30, 2015 2:01pm
Quoting janpec1000
260 high to be attacked and broken tomorrow.
And here we are, with break a bit ahead of schudule though, missed long entry
  • #18,859
  • Apr 30, 2015 3:04pm Apr 30, 2015 3:04pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
Guess Who Predicted The Failure Of QE



  • #18,860
  • Apr 30, 2015 3:16pm Apr 30, 2015 3:16pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} So, I would like to ask the same question. Why do not you think of what would be doing business in non-business zones, say 1,11 - 1,12? I think we are about to turn the non-business zones into the doing business zones. D.P. P.S. Just intersting. Momentum of breaking out is decaying.

Hmm, looking at the following chart:

it shows the volume profile of the last 32 days vs the profile of the last 32 weeks


Now one can see, that the fresh money is running on tiny volume relentlessly in the current high volume zone. Now it consolidates there.


Out of my view/theory/observation, it is more likely, that price fills volume gaps inside of a high volume distribution, than doing volume fill business in a larger low-volume area.

Maybe it is because in the high volume areas there are the hands that would like to get rid of the stuff.

A no-business zone (or low volume area) was created for some reason: there were either no/little buyers or sellers in the first place. Why should they chose now to do business there all of a sudden?

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YMO

Have to watch such things for a longer time
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