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  • #8,341
  • Apr 22, 2015 1:14pm Apr 22, 2015 1:14pm
SnP looking bullish. All the press re: expectations for a lackluster earnings season was just bear trap bs. Something like 80% of companies reporting so far have beat eps estimates. If we don't get some big misses (FB, AMZN, etc) soon, SnP will break out to new highs....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,342
  • Apr 22, 2015 1:46pm Apr 22, 2015 1:46pm
Quoting The Fool
bought the USO weekly $19 put for $0.09. Earlier did a FXI May/May4 $58 call calendar for $0.10 and a SDS May $21/$21.5 call vertical for $0.14
I have made $0.03 on the USO puts, not likely I will hold them for another day. USO is no vehicle for scalping, but I knew that already.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,343
  • Apr 22, 2015 2:31pm Apr 22, 2015 2:31pm
and of course, on the day I finally gave up trying to short TLT, after watching it bounce sideways for more than a month, it breaks down....

we'll see if PBR can do the same in the next day, with my luck, not likely. Will be watching FB AH, a big miss there is what I need to help push down on SPY tomorrow.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,344
  • Apr 22, 2015 3:42pm Apr 22, 2015 3:42pm
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102609954?__s...&doc=102609954

So, PBR expected to expose the amount of money the company lost to FRAUD and THEFT - estimates run from $5bio to $30bio. If that is not enough to sink the share price then I just don't know what would...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,345
  • Edited 9:29pm Apr 22, 2015 8:20pm | Edited 9:29pm
PBR REPORTS $15 bio writeoff, including $2+ bio lost to graft....shares finish the AH session completely unchanged. Unbefuckinglievable....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,346
  • Apr 23, 2015 2:10am Apr 23, 2015 2:10am
PMI day, France misses, likely the rest of the Ezone and the US will, too. Quick tell the Central Bankers to pile money on the bonfires.

USD catching that wind, pushing down on /CL, like to see that, looking for a good dip to buy - sub $55 today?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,347
  • Apr 23, 2015 5:58am Apr 23, 2015 5:58am
Quoting The Fool
PMI day, France misses, likely the rest of the Ezone and the US will, too. Quick tell the Central Bankers to pile money on the bonfires. USD catching that wind, pushing down on /CL, like to see that, looking for a good dip to buy - sub $55 today?
$54 is a buy, IMO. Former strong resistance, acting as support now.

About SnP... next time when I do debit spreads on it, I will try to do them with /ES futures options. Comms are the same, risk is the same... Just to see how that works. Hey... I could do that with /CL also... multiplier of 1,000 is not very apealing on smaller accounts though. But if I can enter some half a buck spreads for $100 risk to potentialy make $500, why the hell not?
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #8,348
  • Apr 23, 2015 9:34am Apr 23, 2015 9:34am
Quoting StrayDog
{quote} $54 is a buy, IMO. Former strong resistance, acting as support now.
blink & miss it for the BTFD moments re: WTI, I was hoping for a little deeper dip....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,349
  • Apr 23, 2015 9:38am Apr 23, 2015 9:38am
just shorted USD/Y from here 119.83 with s/l at 120.07 and T.P 119.40 FOR STARTERS, Still in my call DIA vertical spread, seeing if this DOW reverses again
  • #8,350
  • Apr 23, 2015 9:47am Apr 23, 2015 9:47am
hey Cecil,

I am watching SPY, we may set up for a hefty sell-off Friday.

Otherwise, a sideways grind at $211, how many times have we been there...?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,351
  • Apr 23, 2015 10:02am Apr 23, 2015 10:02am
Quoting The Fool
hey Cecil, I am watching SPY, we may set up for a hefty sell-off Friday. Otherwise, a sideways grind at $211, how many times have we been there...?
if we bounce and finish positive then I can't see it, but I'm prepare if we do, tracking the VIX today to show some clues
  • #8,352
  • Apr 23, 2015 11:17am Apr 23, 2015 11:17am
Quoting Cecil Gee
just shorted USD/Y from here 119.83 with s/l at 120.07 and T.P 119.40 FOR STARTERS, Still in my call DIA vertical spread, seeing if this DOW reverses again
at 119.58 and s/l moved to 119.74, just see if anything can transpire
  • #8,353
  • Apr 23, 2015 11:19am Apr 23, 2015 11:19am
Quoting The Fool
hey Cecil, I am watching SPY, we may set up for a hefty sell-off Friday. Otherwise, a sideways grind at $211, how many times have we been there...?
Oh mon, me like sell-offs...

But mofo SnP is in break-out mode today. Crude is just wild... no dip in sight.
Well, at least there I have some bullish positions. That put I sold yesterday, already lost 20%+ of value.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #8,354
  • Apr 23, 2015 11:32am Apr 23, 2015 11:32am
Quoting StrayDog
{quote} Oh mon, me like sell-offs... But mofo SnP is in break-out mode today. Crude is just wild... no dip in sight. Well, at least there I have some bullish positions. That put I sold yesterday, already lost 20%+ of value.
like to see the DOLLAR INDEX break the 50 day MA at 97.23, it may be tough to do today, I'm at 97.49 at the minute
  • #8,355
  • Apr 23, 2015 11:48am Apr 23, 2015 11:48am
Quoting StrayDog
But mofo SnP is in break-out mode today. Crude is just wild... no dip in sight. Well, at least there I have some bullish positions.
Boom, about time we got a set of new highs...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,356
  • Apr 23, 2015 11:56am Apr 23, 2015 11:56am
sub $10 UVXY any minute, when will they rev-split it?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #8,357
  • Apr 23, 2015 12:12pm Apr 23, 2015 12:12pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} like to see the DOLLAR INDEX break the 50 day MA at 97.23, it may be tough to do today, I'm at 97.49 at the minute
97.37, if you guys can get the DOLLAR INDEX chart check out the daily chart the compare it to the cash settled and things get a little clearer
  • #8,358
  • Apr 23, 2015 12:31pm Apr 23, 2015 12:31pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} closed when we got back up above the 50 day and entered a long vertical call spread 181.50 buy and write 182 for net 1c plus comms, a good risk worthy trade DIA Apr 2015 181.500 call (DIA150424C00181500) -OPR 0.07 {image} 0.02(22.22%) 17:35 DIA Apr 2015 182.000 call (DIA150424C00182000) -OPR 0.06 {image} 0.02(50.00%) 17:35
I was 14c up that's 14x, closed half


DIA Apr 2015 181.500 call (DIA150424C00181500)
-OPR
0.27 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/up_g.gif 0.18(200.00%) 18:06

DIA Apr 2015 182.000 call (DIA150424C00182000)
-OPR
0.13 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/up_g.gif 0.07(116.67%) 18:06
  • #8,359
  • Apr 23, 2015 12:43pm Apr 23, 2015 12:43pm
SnP rejected when re-tested ATH... just 3 ponts so far (ah be fast buy tha dip mon )
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #8,360
  • Apr 23, 2015 1:23pm Apr 23, 2015 1:23pm
MY last hope for May SPY $212 short calls is "sell in May, go away". I will hold into next week anyway....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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