The Club!

sorry, I interpreted the last pic in that posting wrong

look here:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...68#post8158168

I will call it "the count that satisfied Schickeria"

Just to make it again clear, so that nobody is confused who is interested in Elliottwave:


Schickeria often refers to hard rules etc., like an impulse can have 61.8%, 100% or 161.8% extension and so on.


Just to be clear: The Elliott Wave Principle has only a few hard rules, like wave 3 can never be the shortest, a triangle can only occur in wave B, wave 4 or wave X position and so on. No rules are given for fib-retracements and fib-expansions.

What EWP gives in this area are guidelines, which often enough are very loose

Please find attached examples of some guidelines and how they are formulated. I have highlighted the expressions.




As you can see: far away from hard rules.

My opinion is, that running after hard rules, which are not evidence based but stemming eventually from an idealized Elliott Wave is a dangerous game.





As Schickeria often noted: using his idealized EW he is only very seldomly able to find real impulsive moves (motive waves).

So he has to count all waves/most waves as WXY(xZ).

Problem with this approach is: you will never get a high probability for the end of an movement, because wxy can more and more subdivide.


How will you be able to determine where you are standing, when your Elliott wave lacks the impulsive waves?

Or other framed: when you think, that the waves/fib-sequences are in all of us, in nature and so on, when you really believe this, how can you think that there are no motive waves which are the drivers for progress?

In motive waves we have other measurements, like

wave 2 and wave 4 alternation, the right look, channelling and so on.


WXY have to follow no specific guidelines





This is not about ridiculing or humiliating Schickeria. I think he is doing fine with his method and we had often times this discussion. And also I like to stay open minded.

But his approach is not traditional Elliott Wave. It is, like I call it, Schickeria Wave.


There are several approaches to EW, or call it bastardized versions:

Neowave
Harmonic Elliott Wave
Wolfe Wave
Schickeria Wave
the method of Elliottwave Forecast

and maybe a few more


All claim to be superior to traditional EW, but I can find nowhere proof of it.


But as ever: whatever floats your boat

03.25.2014 USDJPY short term count


enjoy

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
Some Folks At The Fed Are Lost - No Juice To The Macros, Part 1

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
Fed Now Sees Only 0.2% GDP Growth In Q1
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 03/25/2015 - 12:21

From almost 2.5% GDP growth expectations in February, The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has now collapsed its estimates of Q1 GDP growth to just 0.2% - plunging from +1.4% just 2 weeks ago.



what a Muppet's show

Heh indeed.

Nice count there on UJ i see the same, lets see if both of us are wrong

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
Putin Security Council Slams Obama Attempts At "New World Order"

1.1024 area is interesting
https://charts.mql5.com/7/366/eurusd...g-point-of.png

03.25.2015 EURGBP short term count


enjoy

as expected US going slower and Europe getting better

Thanks, Markus

It was taken into consideration by ZH fast enough !

That news were in yesterday's TV.

Best,
D.P.

Look at DXY


structure wise, chance is extremly high, that we are in


either

1-2-(1-2-3-now 4

or A-B-(1-2-3-now 4


The first calls for much more upside,

the second calls for more upside

(and all in all that means downside for Euro)


But for now Euro may rise a bit more. Am looking into the 1180-1400 area.

BTW: good morning Marianne

Bye, off to the mountains

Crimea: The Way Home (Way Back Home) - EN Subtitles - Full Documentary Video

This is Andrey Kondrashov's documentary on the return of Crimea to Russia, available with English subtitles. It has been a year since Crimeans took to the polls to vote for returning to their Motherland and leaving wretched Ukraine behind. The Western powers - led, as ever, by the US and UK - are determined to portray this momentous historic event as an imperial land-grab by Russia, and that it caused the subsequent civil war between Kiev and the breakaway provinces in the country's East.

However, as this excellent documentary shows, the Russian government could see that the violent manner in which the elected Ukrainian leader Yanukovich had been ousted from power - with American fingerprints all over it - meant chaos would soon spread throughout Ukraine, and that the majority ethnic Russian population in Crimea would be among the worst hit by neo-Nazi militias terrorizing anyone whom they considered 'insufficiently loyal' to the US-selected regime. When President Yanukovich fled the capital on February 22nd 2014, President Putin set in motion a series of responses that would present the first real (and successful) challenge to American imperial hegemony

From this video you will learn:

1. how Russia saved President Yanukovich of Ukraine
2. how Crimeans returning from revolution in Kiev tasted the the rage of the Right Sektor 'Maidan orcs'
3. how members of the Berkut police force escaped to Crimea and helped set up people's militias to defend the peninsula, not least by preventing Kiev military jets from landing at Sevastopol's airport
4. how these civilian militias defended against an organized takeover of the Crimean Parliament in Sevastopol
5. that most Crimean Tatars sided with the ethnic Russian population, despite efforts by the coup organizers to generate an ethnic split between them
6. how the militias came together to blockade repeated efforts by the 'Maidan orcs' (Right Sektor fascists) to enter the peninsula - by road, train and air
7. how the Crimean Referendum was enacted following near unanimous support from the people's representatives in the Crimean Parliament
8. how Berkut forces were joined by Kuban Cossacks from across the Black Sea region, including veterans of Russia's Afghan War, to defend Crimea from efforts by the new regime to send in weapons and explosives
9. how, having prevented Kiev from deploying 'Maidan orcs' via air, rail and road, Russia's Black Sea Fleet blockaded the Ukrainian navy from leaving its home port
10. how the Russian military placed the brand new Coastal Defence System 'Bastion-P' at locations along Crimea's southern coast. Once activated, the approaching USS Donald Cook Destroyer turned around at full-speed before Russian military jets chased the American warship south
11. how the 'Night Wolves' biker gang joined in the defence of Crimea in Yalta by kidnapping Ukrainian General Mikhail Koval and uncovering weapons caches left by the Ukies prior to the coup
12. how the Crimean citizen militias and Russian soldiers stationed in Sevastopol peacefully neutralized 20,000 Ukrainian forces stationed on the peninsula, many of whom then defected to Russia

Source link - https://vimeo.com/123194285

For more information - http://www.sott.net/article/294197-C...ack-Home-VIDEO

Best,
D.P.

Russian Propaganda

Kreml-Propaganda gegen Bezahlung ---> http://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/netzwe...aganda100.html

Dem Propaganda-Apparat geht das Geld aus
http://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2...a-medien-krise

http://www.ukrinform.ua/deu/news/rus...___video_14750

http://www.welt.de/politik/deutschla...e-stoppen.html

http://www.welt.de/wirtschaft/articl...utschland.html

http://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/i...-13489238.html

May I answer to your post?

Of course you are right that we are all (I mean everybody in the Net) under conditions of the information war between different interests of different people and different countries.

However people must do and have their own conclusions upon the subjects they are trying to understand - the only time will show what has been happening the last years - there were and are some facts that no propaganda can bring to us from nowhere.

Best,
D.P.

P.S. http://top.rbc.ru/politics/25/03/201...794708245b954f

P.P.S. The best way to be out of these problems is to be apolitical at all.

The USA has begun shipping weaponry in support of "democracy".

Show must go on.

'Colonel Cassad' is a Russian blog (reportedly from the pen of Boris Rozhin of Sevastopol, Crimea) that does not attempt to hide its pro-rebel sympaties, thus the referrences to Kiev government as "junta" etc. Its value is in that it has sources on the ground and its reports frequently turn out to be more accurate than the reporting of the other side. Also unlike most pro-rebel and pro-government blogs covering the conflict it does not tend toward sensationalism, but on the contrary tends to provide sober and reserved analysis.

http://cassad-eng.livejournal.com/151726.html

Best,
D.P.

Unfortunately this article is in Russian only (Google should help to understand the subject).
However it might be helpful for us to see some things to possibly happen.

3 charts Janet Yellen must see

http://www.vestifinance.ru/articles/55076?page=1

Best.
D.P.

Thank you D.P, will read through it, keep it up