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  • #10,541
  • Mar 18, 2015 5:55pm Mar 18, 2015 5:55pm
Alien,what do you think of CAD/JPY weekly tf?
Too good to be true?
I'm planning to short it but monthly tf has all adx speeds on for a long.
X cross it seems developing on daily tf...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CADJPYmicroWeekly.png Size: 53 KB
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  • #10,542
  • Mar 18, 2015 5:59pm Mar 18, 2015 5:59pm
Quoting randika10010
{quote} Hi Zo, Thanks heaps for this explanation. I am also a newbie and trying hard to learn this amazing system. This is what I understood from your post and please correct me if I'm wrong. Weekly , Daily , H4 and H1 clearly shows a strong short. So did you wait for M5 to go long to enter on the top? Because M5 RSIOMA crossed 80 showing it could create a long . But I also saw our beloved master posted once saying lower time frames drive higher time frames. Shouldn't we be bit worried if a lower time frame shows a counter trend? I am slightly confused...
Hello RAndika10010,

No problem just ask,we are all here to learn and share our knowledge...and many great souls are on this thread to help you out...

Your question is good...Well I watch market in 3 segments long trend (monthly,weekly,daily).....medium term (daily h4 h1)...and short term (from M30 to M1).....

First you need to detect trend,lets say that longer and and medium trend are clearly short and you see that short term are changing direction in long....

Think of it like this:
1.You wont get chance to enter in short again if smaller periods showing you buy only,that means that not all tf are aligned and maybe changing directions is near....but for changing direction first you must see changing medium trend which will change the larger trend and for that it takes time,much more than we humans may believe sometimes....

2.If lower tf changes direction this can be only retracement for PA to create new power to push in general longer term trend (than we see creation of DS or slingshot in medium tf which give us more hints that general trend will continue)...if lower tf goes down again we have medium hints what PA may do ,we have larger tf down and smaller pushing again down....You enter...

3.When lower tf are going down,medium are ligned for up and daily and weekly are down than it is time to sit on hands as PA is in transitions phase and probably range market

....Thats why master Alien said it is important to be patientce and take trade only when all are aligned to have a bunch of pips...

Now this FOMC situations is great to confirm thoughts...on many pairs General trend is down but FOMC news create strong move in opposite direction....now small are up medium are start to go up but this could be only larger retracement (time and indies will tell) or will change directions in long term trend.....

It is important to look currency pairs on all tf together to get picture where pair will go and the safest way is to wait all in one situation....

Master Alien can give you more hints about this,my english sometimes is not good enought...

Hope this helps,

Regards!
  • #10,543
  • Mar 18, 2015 6:01pm Mar 18, 2015 6:01pm
Quoting connect_ananth
traderbola , thanks much , wonderful analysis .... need to verify if my chart are the same ( is your template Same as marco's or , have u uploaded before ) will help to compare my chart with yours ... EDIT: I got your template u have just posted yesterday :-) Thanks again. {quote}
You are always welcome....
Journey is more important than destination
  • #10,544
  • Mar 18, 2015 6:02pm Mar 18, 2015 6:02pm
Quoting traderbola
Hello Master What do you think, May be from next week we start to dive again? EU...... {image}
More then likely, the H4 sto's are up there already but give it a day or so and look for sling shots back down............
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #10,545
  • Mar 18, 2015 6:03pm Mar 18, 2015 6:03pm
Quoting marcof91
{quote} Flew to the moon. Divergence on 21 sto and RSIOMA was there. {image}
Thanks , my MT4 doesn't have gold, notice all 3 sto's were already under the 20 level......
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #10,546
  • Mar 18, 2015 6:05pm Mar 18, 2015 6:05pm
Quoting traderbola
{quote} Thank you Master.... May be a few more pips up then dive again..... Gold daily..... {image}
yes , that blue 100 sto could stay down there for awhile so keep an eye on it with lower TF's.................thanks
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #10,547
  • Mar 18, 2015 6:09pm Mar 18, 2015 6:09pm
Quoting marcof91
Alien,what do you think of CAD/JPY weekly tf? Too good to be true? I'm planning to short it but monthly tf has all adx speeds on for a long. X cross it seems developing on daily tf... {image}
There is a change in the air..............

With the CAD and JPY getting stronger together CAD/JPY should stay flat, like it has the last 5 weeks on your chart., but when the 8,3,3 tops out, down it will go again, it is just resting for now. open your pockets up..!
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #10,548
  • Mar 18, 2015 6:14pm Mar 18, 2015 6:14pm
Quoting forexalien
{quote} There is a change in the air.............. With the CAD and JPY getting stronger together CAD/JPY should stay flat, like it has the last 5 weeks on your chart., but when the 8,3,3 tops out, down it will go again, it is just resting for now. open your pockets up..!
Thanks,i will!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: brace-your-wallets---steam-summer-sale-will-most-likely-start-tomorrow_o_1821955.jpg Size: 225 KB
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  • #10,549
  • Mar 18, 2015 6:14pm Mar 18, 2015 6:14pm
I will be back in a couple hours if there are any questions...............Thanks
Attached Images
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #10,550
  • Mar 18, 2015 6:17pm Mar 18, 2015 6:17pm
Look for a AUDUSD M15 DS trade in the next hours................
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #10,551
  • Mar 18, 2015 6:48pm Mar 18, 2015 6:48pm
Just went long on AU & NU based on 8.3.3 STO on M15 / H4 & looking at DS..
Be the change that you want to change
  • #10,552
  • Mar 18, 2015 8:04pm Mar 18, 2015 8:04pm
Quoting forexalien
Look for a AUDUSD M15 DS trade in the next hours................
thanks, alien .. wasn't around to take that one, but wanted to see what you were thinking based on MTF..

You made the call based on a 15m DS setup during ADX expansion and the 8,3,3 stoch doing a rubberband with the 100 stoch. Green stoch was still turning down, but...

H1 had all stochs going above 80 with ADX expansion + RSIoma and DDS entering 80 zone too

H4 had all 3 stochs bottoming out? (still not sure how to interpret when they are bottoming/topping or entering the 20/80 zones for a long ride) + adx powered down showing no momentum left in the recent down move?

So, higher timeframes are looking good (H1 with the direction + power and H4 with the potential reversal), now we look at lower timeframes for entry...

5m all stochs + RSIoma breaking 50 and blue stoch pointing up with 8,3,3 already in the 80 zone, ADX confirms shortly after...

1m gave the earliest entry confirmation about 20 minutes after your post with DS + Green Stoch showing Rubber band setups and ADX expanding out of a squeeze.

I think we got a smooth push of about 40 pips before finally getting a little rest/pullback.. will keep an eye or two on it to see how it plays out from here.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: alien audusd 15m ds.png Size: 106 KB


Attached chart for visual feedback and to ask if that was what you were seeing to make the call? And, if there's anything I missed or overlooked?

Galactic thanks
  • #10,553
  • Mar 18, 2015 8:12pm Mar 18, 2015 8:12pm
Quoting jpadvisor
{quote} Nice catch FxKabab. We missed you.

Thanks, jp lol Had to leave FF for awhile, but will try and stick around this time

Hope you're doing well! Looks like you had a nice trip
  • #10,554
  • Mar 18, 2015 8:19pm Mar 18, 2015 8:19pm
Quoting marcof91
{quote} Stop loss is your friend! Depending on the setup tf,i always looking to gather 20 pips (1% return),40 pips (2% return) or 100 (5% return) pips. Lost 20 pips on AU but won 40 pips on UJ,done for today (at least positive). {image} {image}
Interesting approach.. do you use 1:1 SL for these? ie. Risk 1% to make 1%? or.. ?

And do your 20/40/100 pip targets depend on timeframe, setup, pair volatility... or something else?

But then.. what about riding trades on higher timeframes and using ADX 89 + 144 and/or 100 Stoch as an exit? As Traderbola has recently shown, a couple 500+ pip trades like this ain't bad for doubling the account
  • #10,555
  • Mar 18, 2015 10:42pm Mar 18, 2015 10:42pm
Quoting FXKabab
{quote} thanks, alien .. wasn't around to take that one, but wanted to see what you were thinking based on MTF.. You made the call based on a 15m DS setup during ADX expansion and the 8,3,3 stoch doing a rubberband with the 100 stoch. Green stoch was still turning down, but... H1 had all stochs going above 80 with ADX expansion + RSIoma and DDS entering 80 zone too H4 had all 3 stochs bottoming out? (still not sure how to interpret when they are bottoming/topping or entering the 20/80 zones for a long ride) + adx powered down showing no momentum...
I only was putting a watch on this DS trade, it did make an attempt and move 20 pips, but it didn't really materialize.

You did a much better job using MTF.

Thanks
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #10,556
  • Mar 18, 2015 10:43pm Mar 18, 2015 10:43pm
Quoting FXKabab
{quote} thanks, alien .. wasn't around to take that one, but wanted to see what you were thinking based on MTF.. You made the call based on a 15m DS setup during ADX expansion and the 8,3,3 stoch doing a rubberband with the 100 stoch. Green stoch was still turning down, but... H1 had all stochs going above 80 with ADX expansion + RSIoma and DDS entering 80 zone too H4 had all 3 stochs bottoming out? (still not sure how to interpret when they are bottoming/topping or entering the 20/80 zones for a long ride) + adx powered down showing no momentum...
I made the call only by looking at the M15 DS only, thanks
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #10,557
  • Mar 18, 2015 10:44pm Mar 18, 2015 10:44pm
Quoting FXKabab
{quote} thanks, alien .. wasn't around to take that one, but wanted to see what you were thinking based on MTF.. You made the call based on a 15m DS setup during ADX expansion and the 8,3,3 stoch doing a rubberband with the 100 stoch. Green stoch was still turning down, but... H1 had all stochs going above 80 with ADX expansion + RSIoma and DDS entering 80 zone too H4 had all 3 stochs bottoming out? (still not sure how to interpret when they are bottoming/topping or entering the 20/80 zones for a long ride) + adx powered down showing no momentum...
Also thanks for marking the call and posting !
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #10,558
  • Edited 2:29am Mar 19, 2015 12:30am | Edited 2:29am
GJ 60M.... BE protected now.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2015-03-19_14-24-06.png Size: 51 KB


Edit: BE out...
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #10,559
  • Mar 19, 2015 3:18am Mar 19, 2015 3:18am
Yesterday's FED outcome was in some way predictable, after beginning of ECB QE, but all those spikes were stops hunting from Big Boys.
Per aspera ad astra
  • #10,560
  • Mar 19, 2015 3:23am Mar 19, 2015 3:23am
Quoting FXKabab
{quote} Interesting approach.. do you use 1:1 SL for these? ie. Risk 1% to make 1%? or.. ? And do your 20/40/100 pip targets depend on timeframe, setup, pair volatility... or something else? But then.. what about riding trades on higher timeframes and using ADX 89 + 144 and/or 100 Stoch as an exit? As Traderbola has recently shown, a couple 500+ pip trades like this ain't bad for doubling the account
yes, i use 1:1 SL for some of these. 1% return is not much but hey,at least i'm okay losing that amount.
But now i see a setup on cad/jpy weekly tf (see my post before on page 527) i will plan to short it with 200 pips each position.
I will ride H4 tf maybe exit on adx 89/144 or 100 sto.
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