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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #17,841
  • Feb 27, 2015 1:27pm Feb 27, 2015 1:27pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} OK, main count got invalidated have not closed the position yet, because I would cover my short position in support. Have to work out my count analysis over the weekend in order to come to a conclusion as what to look for and expectancy. In the following count you can see the 1-2-3-4 up, which I have alternatively labelled as ABC-X- and ABC (that is the pink 1-2-3 So we may face much deeper prices in the future Either the pink 1-2-3, which is ABC has finished the upwards move, or this ABC was only a subset of a bigger ABC Have to check out...
A great one, as usual.

Keep doing, my friend,
I am awaiting.

D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #17,842
  • Feb 27, 2015 2:05pm Feb 27, 2015 2:05pm
Some reading: Courtesy of US Imperialism Rise of Fascism Is Again the Issue in our Time

http://russia-insider.com/en/2015/02/27/3947

Best,
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #17,843
  • Feb 27, 2015 2:17pm Feb 27, 2015 2:17pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
Some reading: Courtesy of US Imperialism Rise of Fascism Is Again the Issue in our Time http://russia-insider.com/en/2015/02/27/3947 Best, D.P.
Fascism is just tool of policy brought up by imperial rulers by what is in general considered passive intervention. Looking strictly there is no difference between fascism and imperialism becouse structure of goverment tied into economic structure is in both cases the same, its just that leaders on fascism structure appear to have more power, but its just facade becouse it is recycle way to look at it. Just like petrodollar, if you look at it from left angle it will be the same as it is from right angle, its just assets that are different but not structure. If you dont have imperialism you dont have fascism becouse you need imperialism to create it, otherwise its general attention that dismantles second one, proven by history. The point i am making is, whenever you have imperialism, it is common to expect fascism is already there, it might be hidden in the place you would look for it the less.

But lets not finish week on such heavy subjects. Made nice profits today, heavy position scalping, all done alright. Maybe in next 2 months getting big account from fellow investitors, fingers crossed. Will try to make 10% each day next week, generally risking 3-5 pips on those scalps only looking for best levels, 3-10 trades daily.
  • #17,844
  • Edited 3:05pm Feb 27, 2015 2:40pm | Edited 3:05pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} But lets not finish week on such heavy subjects. Made nice profits today, heavy position scalping, all done alright. Maybe in next 2 months getting big account from fellow investitors, fingers crossed. Will try to make 10% each day next week, generally risking 3-5 pips on those scalps only looking for best levels, 3-10 trades daily.
Agreed. +8,2% today and still in.

11850 Long added. T/P is still at 12120.

Edited. Reanalysed. T/Ps are switched to 12020. Awaiting.

D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #17,845
  • Edited 4:32pm Feb 27, 2015 3:54pm | Edited 4:32pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} OK, main count got invalidated have not closed the position yet, because I would cover my short position in support. Have to work out my count analysis over the weekend in order to come to a conclusion as what to look for and expectancy. In the following count you can see the 1-2-3-4 up, which I have alternatively labelled as ABC-X- and ABC (that is the pink 1-2-3 So we may face much deeper prices in the future Either the pink 1-2-3, which is ABC has finished the upwards move, or this ABC was only a subset of a bigger ABC Have to check out...
Dear Infinitus,

There are many silent followers like myself on this thread. You guys are doing an amazing job and I can with all honesty say, this is the best thread on FF. The value you are bringing can not be compared to any other thread on this site.

I hope you guys keep doing what you have been doing. Amazing source of information. I sincerely thank you Sir/Mein Herr

I simply love people putting science and proper analysis on the table. It is great to be able to read this thread.

Thank you.
  • #17,846
  • Feb 27, 2015 4:11pm Feb 27, 2015 4:11pm
Quoting maldegnegi
{quote} Dear Infinitus, There are many silent followers like myself on this thread. You guys are doing an amazing job and I can with all honesty say, this is the best thread on FF. The value you are bringing can not be compared to any other thread on this site. I hope you guys keep doing what you have been doing. Amazing sourrce of information. I sincerely thank you Sir/Mein Herr I simply love people putting science and proper analysis on the table. It is great to be able to read this thread. Thank you.

That's why I enjoy staying here..
  • #17,847
  • Feb 28, 2015 7:24am Feb 28, 2015 7:24am
http://ewptoday.ru/2015/02/28/ew-variation/


great overview
Attached Image
  • #17,848
  • Feb 28, 2015 7:29am Feb 28, 2015 7:29am
COT data
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2015-02-28 14_28_01-.jpg Size: 138 KB
  • #17,849
  • Feb 28, 2015 7:37am Feb 28, 2015 7:37am
Quoting maldegnegi
{quote} Dear Infinitus, There are many silent followers like myself on this thread. You guys are doing an amazing job and I can with all honesty say, this is the best thread on FF. The value you are bringing can not be compared to any other thread on this site. I hope you guys keep doing what you have been doing. Amazing source of information. I sincerely thank you Sir/Mein Herr I simply love people putting science and proper analysis on the table. It is great to be able to read this thread. Thank you.

Hi my friend,

thank you very much, well appreciated. And many thanks to all the traders here, who contribute and make this place to what it is.
  • #17,850
  • Feb 28, 2015 10:50am Feb 28, 2015 10:50am
Quoting infinitus
COT data {image}

So specs going long. But Infinitus how many times in past months have specs been right. Too many times, its what makes this data not reliable. If data cant get over 60% in relaibility its worthless as it makes no strategy info-signal profitable. Specs are going long here, actually i dont see it that bad longing as long as there is leaning on 1100 or some other levels. I would say make sure you can prove yourself that COT data is highly trusted as counter signal to begin use it, i havent found it, i might have done sloppy job but i still wait to be proven otherwise.
  • #17,851
  • Feb 28, 2015 11:16am Feb 28, 2015 11:16am
Some reading:

Breaking news: FALSE FLAG IN MOSCOW!

http://thesaker.is/breaking-news-false-flag-in-moscow/

Best,
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #17,852
  • Feb 28, 2015 11:38am Feb 28, 2015 11:38am
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
Some reading: Breaking news: FALSE FLAG IN MOSCOW! http://thesaker.is/breaking-news-false-flag-in-moscow/ Best, D.P.
Yeh very likely. It could be work of liberation army, Putins "order" but most likely false flag. It doesnt matter really, all it matters is Russia is close to civil war every day that passes more and more. If citizens lose trust in Putin, Russia will be swallowed in civil war (or color revolution how you want to call it) as fifth column will gain control, and it will be very bloody (as globalists secure their position by removing oponents). One can imagine extremely blody such war as anti intervention would be hardly possible by west forces. So no matter who dies of oposition really plays not much role, as long as people dont buy it on protests, but if they do it is extremely dangerous. And let me point again by no means i am praising current Russian goverment, but Russia stands between several hundred deaths from "cistka" of political oposition ------ OR 10.000s or 100.000s of death from civil war, that will bring no good to Russia, just as it didnt to any country that was parted by imperialism into smaller state to be swallowed easy.
  • #17,853
  • Feb 28, 2015 11:40am Feb 28, 2015 11:40am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Yeh very likely. It could be work of liberation army, Putins "order" but most likely false flag. It doesnt matter really, all it matters is Russia is close to civil war every day that passes more and more. If citizens lose trust in Putin, Russia will be swallowed in civil war (or color revolution how you want to call it) as fifth column will gain control, and it will be very bloody (as globalists secure their position by removing oponents). One can imagine extremely blody such war as anti intervention would be hardly possible by west forces....
But

Nemtsov Murder: Putin Warned 3 Years Ago That This False Flag Might Happen

http://russia-insider.com/en/2015/02/28/3962

D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #17,854
  • Edited 12:13pm Feb 28, 2015 11:52am | Edited 12:13pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote}And let me point again by no means i am praising current Russian goverment, but Russia stands between several hundred deaths from "cistka" of political oposition ------ OR 10.000s or 100.000s of death from civil war, that will bring no good to Russia, just as it didnt to any country that was parted by imperialism into smaller state to be swallowed easy.
I understand your point of view very clearly, but you can see I am not arguing with you mostly because your point of view can reflect a possible reality to happen. Time will show (I think, ... soon enough).

Best,
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #17,855
  • Feb 28, 2015 12:02pm Feb 28, 2015 12:02pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} But Nemtsov Murder: Putin Warned 3 Years Ago That This False Flag Might Happen http://russia-insider.com/en/2015/02/28/3962 D.P.
Putin has studied Cold war enough to know what the moves are ahead. If you track all geo-political moves especially from milatary sight you can see that (2011-12) has it all printed in before pieces started to move in 2013 November as Russia abandoms Petrodollar/Ukraine EU. Anyone can do so, you dont need super insider info to do that. Thats why all unexpected moves that happen in Ukraine-Russian front are not likely to happen from Putin side itself. When globalists are on move, and everything seems to point to one person on paper one needs to think otherwise, becouse thats where usually moves come from, completly oposite dirrection. Thats why has been proven so far to work the best to confirm the truth. Difference between globalists moves and moves of everyone elses oposition is that globalists moves are child like. Reason is simple, becouse trught media propaganda you dont need people to think. If you try to counter them with logic you go into same position every time. They seem like child moves, can be countered by 100s of logicial explanations.. If you want to pick apart oposition movements you usually cant do so, becouse they are protected by secrecy overall. If you go in history just 300 years back globalists moves are copy paste program. They dont even change code at all. They dont have to thats why, even if it would be open source, thats the sadest part.
  • #17,856
  • Feb 28, 2015 12:27pm Feb 28, 2015 12:27pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Putin has studied Cold war enough to know what the moves are ahead. If you track all geo-political moves especially from milatary sight you can see that (2011-12) has it all printed in before pieces started to move in 2013 November as Russia abandoms Petrodollar/Ukraine EU. Anyone can do so, you dont need super insider info to do that. Thats why all unexpected moves that happen in Ukraine-Russian front are not likely to happen from Putin side itself. When globalists are on move, and everything seems to point to one person on paper one needs...
That means the impact tools are running out.

D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #17,857
  • Feb 28, 2015 12:36pm Feb 28, 2015 12:36pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} That means the impact tools are running out. D.P.
Yep. Time and tools are running out, its like dynamite loose, both explosion and loose (counter) are running out but in any case its all timed out before moves happen as long as you are the one who supplies dynamite. Tic tac.
  • #17,858
  • Feb 28, 2015 12:38pm Feb 28, 2015 12:38pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} So specs going long. But Infinitus how many times in past months have specs been right. Too many times, its what makes this data not reliable. If data cant get over 60% in relaibility its worthless as it makes no strategy info-signal profitable. Specs are going long here, actually i dont see it that bad longing as long as there is leaning on 1100 or some other levels. I would say make sure you can prove yourself that COT data is highly trusted as counter signal to begin use it, i havent found it, i might have done sloppy job but i still...

Hi Jan,

as I pointed out last week (or week before), the Comms are so heavy long, and the Large Specs are so heavy short,over a sustained period of time, that any small change in position will reflect in a good jump/dive in the COT index.

The meaning generally is, that the Comms are the ones they know best what they do. Record holdings oftentimes signal that a change in direction may happen sooner or later.

COT Data are a fairly good gauge for sentiment, but one can NOT use it as timing tool alone.
  • #17,859
  • Feb 28, 2015 12:50pm Feb 28, 2015 12:50pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi Jan, as I pointed out last week (or week before), the Comms are so heavy long, and the Large Specs are so heavy short,over a sustained period of time, that any small change in position will reflect in a good jump/dive in the COT index. The meaning generally is, that the Comms are the ones they know best what they do. Record holdings oftentimes signal that a change in direction may happen sooner or later. COT Data are a fairly good gauge for sentiment, but one can NOT use it as timing tool alone.
Thanks Infinitus for your input i appretiate it. I am aware of what to look in COT index, the thing is can you prove your view by com view if they are 60%+ correct? Can you give 30 chart examples giving them right side at that sample. I am chart man myself i dont believe in theories just beoucuse common knowledge accepts them if they can be proven or unproven by real historical data. Not asking you to give me that examples, but to get me on such theory i will have to see them in examples, and in what i have been doing work, i have proven myself otherwise. I will believe COT data as long as coms are 60-70% rigt, otherwise it servers no quallity signal.
  • #17,860
  • Feb 28, 2015 2:20pm Feb 28, 2015 2:20pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Thanks Infinitus for your input i appretiate it. I am aware of what to look in COT index, the thing is can you prove your view by com view if they are 60%+ correct? Can you give 30 chart examples giving them right side at that sample. I am chart man myself i dont believe in theories just beoucuse common knowledge accepts them if they can be proven or unproven by real historical data. Not asking you to give me that examples, but to get me on such theory i will have to see them in examples, and in what i have been doing work, i have proven...

Rule is:

near 100 buy
near 0 sell

chart 1:

11 opportunities
7 OK
2 failed
1 OK, but bad R:R
1 OK but very early with draw down

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU COT.png Size: 113 KB



chart 2:

30 opportunities
24 OK
5 failed
1 OK but very early

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU COT 2.png Size: 143 KB




chart 3:

18 opportunities
12 OK
5 failed
1 indecisive

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU COT3.png Size: 100 KB
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