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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #51,641
  • Edited 3:40am Jan 23, 2015 3:16am | Edited 3:40am
Quoting fti
yeah ray, top one looks like the terrain to me. the bottom one, is may be where the eu heading. I best stop killing my own book. just wait they die and bucket their corpses. looks like snb on the money. Some peeps not worth investing in. I just need stay off until the big crash or some turning events. then will be queue to pick up the book again. This decade seems we have the worst managers on watch. regards
Yup,,.. thats how I feel as well

someone is messing the market right now.. damage contorl before GBP .. getting hot.
yen strong, buying?? /
clueless what they trying to do.../
oh well, will see how to ride this out, very messy
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #51,642
  • Edited 4:40am Jan 23, 2015 4:20am | Edited 4:40am
No, i think if euro goes 1.0000 its will be the doghouse.
But i not think they so stupid allow the manager take em there.
we see how.
In world nothing is impossible. isn't it?
For now nothing else seems have the potential for that kinda depth.
Maybe euro only.

These sort of manager, i hope after his term he can find job.
Normally black sheep noone wants.
Who want jinx his house meh.

I think if comes , won't be a swift death.
Lingering type possible.
I thought man of vision took over.
seems black as darkest night.
So much for bias.

Take the pain fool, take the pain.

One of my friend was telling.
the chaps chopping you up with the blunt blunt blade.
pray for fast death is futile.
I was telling, ya not know i regrouping reserves.
My blade will be very shape, but i waiting right timing.



regards
  • #51,643
  • Jan 23, 2015 4:29am Jan 23, 2015 4:29am
Quoting fti
No, i think if euro goes 1.0000 its will be the doghouse. But i not think they so stupid allow the manager take em there. we see how. In world nothing is impossible. isn't it? For now nothing else seems have the potential for that kinda depth. Maybe euro only. regards


Its times like these, that is the most testing... trying to feel
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #51,644
  • Jan 23, 2015 4:35am Jan 23, 2015 4:35am
Quoting RelaxRay
{quote} Its times like these, that is the most testing... trying to feel

Scary days

http://wolfstreet.com/2012/07/12/cla...we-explain-qe/
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #51,645
  • Jan 23, 2015 4:46am Jan 23, 2015 4:46am
Quoting RelaxRay
{quote} Its times like these, that is the most testing... trying to feel

yes difficult to feel.
need see how evil debtors become to devalue the debt.
unless you know how evil this, one can only wait the poison takes effect.

regards
  • #51,646
  • Jan 23, 2015 4:48am Jan 23, 2015 4:48am
Quoting alexandria
{quote} Scary days http://wolfstreet.com/2012/07/12/cla...we-explain-qe/
becareful the exposures.
they can't make 3rd world swollow the pill, may make ambitious do it instead.
I already got black feets, hope it not spread to other organs.

2 things i thinking now.
1. isolate the black sheeps and build fence around em.
or
2. regroup resources and hope the sheeps not all diseased.

problem is hope is a dangerous word.
if choose hope , timing is of essense.


regards
  • #51,647
  • Jan 23, 2015 4:52am Jan 23, 2015 4:52am
Quoting alexandria
{quote} Scary days http://wolfstreet.com/2012/07/12/cla...we-explain-qe/
Thanks for the link Alexandria,
Tho I was referring to the feel of the markets awhile back, just before GBP news release.
Saw and found my err that caused my errors now, and have worked on it...
Thanks buddy
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #51,648
  • Jan 23, 2015 4:54am Jan 23, 2015 4:54am
Quoting fti
{quote} becareful the exposures. they can't make 3rd world swollow the pill, may make ambitious do it instead. I already got black feets, hope it not spread to other organs. regards

Too cold today to expose myself here - no sauna handy
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #51,649
  • Jan 23, 2015 5:00am Jan 23, 2015 5:00am
very cunning fellow... still cannot tell if he is buyer or seller... i think i am setting BE and run for safety
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #51,650
  • Edited 5:18am Jan 23, 2015 5:03am | Edited 5:18am
Quoting alexandria
{quote} Too cold today to expose myself here - no sauna handy
always very careful, with my bias.
This time got the balls caught in a vice.

Need think make collect choice.

regards

Inserted Video
  • #51,651
  • Jan 23, 2015 5:11am Jan 23, 2015 5:11am
Quoting fti
{quote} always very careful, with my bias. This time got the balls caught in a vice. regards

Ay yai yai

Inserted Video
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #51,652
  • Jan 23, 2015 5:19am Jan 23, 2015 5:19am
Quoting alexandria
{quote} Ay yai yai https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ztuyG5sZq0


regards
  • #51,653
  • Jan 23, 2015 5:36am Jan 23, 2015 5:36am
ok decided.

1.cannot send more money to broking until the fog clears.
need credit environment clean up first, see who survives.

2.move in cash base, see who cracks first.
steel balls or term balls.

regroup all exposures and wait correct timing is best option.
This too deep to turn. too late, take the pain for not focused.




regards
  • #51,654
  • Jan 23, 2015 5:38am Jan 23, 2015 5:38am
Quoting fti
ok decided. 1.cannot send more money to broking until the fog clears. need credit environment clean up first, see who survives. 2.move in cash base, see who cracks first. steel balls or term balls. regards
Excuse me - may I ask which pair?
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #51,655
  • Jan 23, 2015 5:39am Jan 23, 2015 5:39am
Quoting alexandria
{quote} Excuse me - may I ask which pair?
euro and cable.
why?

cable is within tolerance, euro is pain in the no sunshine place.
Small wounds , won't ka put, but hate the start, still have whole 2015 kick their asses.(unless i expiry first)
euro from 2014 dec



regards
  • #51,656
  • Jan 23, 2015 6:06am Jan 23, 2015 6:06am
Quoting fti
{quote} euro and cable. why? cable is within tolerance, euro is pain in the no sunshine place. Small wounds , won't ka put, but hate the start, still have whole 2015 kick their asses.(unless i expiry first) euro from 2014 dec regards

Me eurusd too - with the world. Thank you ECB. When it bobbles along like it just has and then it bursts out big - how do we know volatility is low so it is running out of steam or vol low as just getting ready to explode. I need to watch more about volatility (candle/leg)

Regards
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #51,657
  • Jan 23, 2015 6:29am Jan 23, 2015 6:29am
Quoting fti
ok decided. 1.cannot send more money to broking until the fog clears. need credit environment clean up first, see who survives. 2.move in cash base, see who cracks first. steel balls or term balls. regroup all exposures and wait correct timing is best option. This too deep to turn. too late, take the pain for not focused. regards
my troops covered in blood.
going to have to take it for distance
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #51,658
  • Jan 23, 2015 6:51am Jan 23, 2015 6:51am
Quoting RelaxRay
{quote} my troops covered in blood. going to have to take it for distance
distance will need logistics planning hor.

my euros if they was margined would had busted.(50X) would had died 2X
need becareful, if does what chf did can be very painful.
Even cash position i also feeling very agitated with the manager.

Anyways i still not find energy to focus.
Let see how after CNY.


regards

looks like fire to me.
but of course its never obvious until feels it.


Inserted Video
  • #51,659
  • Jan 23, 2015 6:54am Jan 23, 2015 6:54am
Quoting fti
{quote} distance will need logistics planning hor. my euros if they was margined would had busted.(50X) would had died 2X need becareful, if does what chf did can be very painful. Anyways i still not find energy to focus. Let see how after CNY. regards
noted, probably scaling out some to fight another day... see how NY reacts...
help me kick their ass in 2015 too.. slash them deep .. :@
its this gbp/aud thats affecting me .. i still cant understand why
/probably the cascade of stops in aud/usd amplifying it
"Citi technicals have put out a trade recommendation and have gone short at $0.7961, targeting $0.7300 initially and then $0.6000, with a stop in place at $0.8300. Citi add this trade utilises 20% of capital. Rate last $0.7888."
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #51,660
  • Jan 23, 2015 7:03am Jan 23, 2015 7:03am
Quoting RelaxRay
{quote} noted, probably scaling out some to fight another day... see how NY reacts... help me kick their ass in 2015 too.. slash them deep .. :@ its this gbp/aud thats affecting me .. i still cant understand why /probably the cascade of stops in aud/usd amplifying it "Citi technicals have put out a trade recommendation and have gone short at $0.7961, targeting $0.7300 initially and then $0.6000, with a stop in place at $0.8300. Citi add this trade utilises 20% of capital. Rate last $0.7888."
noted.
looks like all the girls will be selling at discount.60 cents is too cheap way too cheap.
but what do i know.

I never believes anyone, only uses my eyes.
i not very into biases.
ears left side in right side out.
They can say anything they like.

by the way what was the reasons they gave for that expectations?

maybe is time i invested in 3d printers than 3d walking with 2 legs?


regards
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