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Let's Trade Options

  • #6,661
  • Jan 14, 2015 9:26am Jan 14, 2015 9:26am
C ER's bmo Thur, has a big ivr stack, will drop 10%, but I haven't found a trade on it I like....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,662
  • Jan 14, 2015 11:08am Jan 14, 2015 11:08am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I'm a little shy about a atm diagonal like that - INTC has em of $1.5, it has popped $3 at times, there's gonna be a 5-10% iv drop & that is gonna bring in the b/e on that diagonal to about $37.5 - if we get the em to the upside, you will have to cover. Hope I'm wrong and/or INTC drops, good luck.
Yeah, I understand your concerns on this one. Trade is also from a bit bearish view, should've added that to my posting. Tnx for the feedback

I'm really interested in how the market will react on SLB.
  • #6,663
  • Jan 14, 2015 11:15am Jan 14, 2015 11:15am
Quoting The Fool
C ER's bmo Thur, has a big ivr stack, will drop 10%, but I haven't found a trade on it I like....
Nothing on my side also. Will skip all banks. Didn't done any ER's plays since MU... but there wasn't much to do anyway.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #6,664
  • Jan 14, 2015 11:30am Jan 14, 2015 11:30am
What a bounce in /CL... +6%
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #6,665
  • Jan 14, 2015 12:15pm Jan 14, 2015 12:15pm
Quoting StrayDog
What a bounce in /CL... +6%
yup, /NG almost 10% up. I made good money on paper w/ UNG today...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,666
  • Jan 14, 2015 12:55pm Jan 14, 2015 12:55pm
Could be just short covering rally.

Crude Oil Options Calendar
Settlement today, for Feb contracts.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #6,667
  • Jan 14, 2015 1:22pm Jan 14, 2015 1:22pm
Quoting StrayDog
Could be just short covering rally. Crude Oil Options Calendar Settlement today, for Feb contracts.
yeah, crude spike was incongruous with the inventory data release

http://247wallst.com/energy-economy/...-80-year-high/
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,668
  • Jan 14, 2015 2:59pm Jan 14, 2015 2:59pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} yeah, crude spike was incongruous with the inventory data release http://247wallst.com/energy-economy/...-80-year-high/
in fact, that crude spike will likely be a gift if it carries up some more, & I will be looking to sell calls
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,669
  • Jan 14, 2015 8:17pm Jan 14, 2015 8:17pm
AAPL now at IVR 100%, I may look to put on a DD to play up to the 1/27 ER
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,670
  • Jan 14, 2015 9:13pm Jan 14, 2015 9:13pm
Quoting The Fool
One side effect of plunging bond yields is to make gold more attractive as an alternative investment. Since gold does not pay a return, an opportunity cost for holding it is the yield forgone on safe-haven bonds. Now, that cost has diminished to the point where buying gold offers the same return as lending money to Germany for five years."
right, Vermeer, that idea was a little flash of light - gold should be supported - a floor perhaps around GLD $112. I am looking to do these short term diagonals regularly, 1, 2 no more than 3 weeks out - the higher the IVR, the shorter you can play them. I am looking to get in for near $0.00 debit or small credit. The wider you place the strikes, the lower the midzone dip will be, but in any case place them so that the dip is still a net profit. I might move the strikes north on this one, but a near $10 profit zone is pretty good (i.e., same as $100 width in gold)
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,671
  • Jan 14, 2015 9:32pm Jan 14, 2015 9:32pm
CREE ER 1/20, big iv drop cued up, might take a chance on a dc if I can get it for near free
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,672
  • Jan 14, 2015 9:52pm Jan 14, 2015 9:52pm
EBAY ER 1/21
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,673
  • Jan 14, 2015 10:05pm Jan 14, 2015 10:05pm
Futures say good bounce coming to the indices tomorrow NY. What else is new? Gold slipping overnight, though, that helps me some...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,674
  • Jan 14, 2015 10:15pm Jan 14, 2015 10:15pm
SBUX ER 1/22
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,675
  • Jan 14, 2015 10:36pm Jan 14, 2015 10:36pm
YHOO 1/27
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,676
  • Jan 14, 2015 10:41pm Jan 14, 2015 10:41pm
look 1/28 AMZN, BA, FB; 1/29 BABA, GOOGL
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,677
  • Jan 14, 2015 11:12pm Jan 14, 2015 11:12pm
Still looking at these /CL BrkWB
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #6,678
  • Jan 15, 2015 3:57am Jan 15, 2015 3:57am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} yeah, crude spike was incongruous with the inventory data release http://247wallst.com/energy-economy/...-80-year-high/
Man, I had to google that word...
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #6,679
  • Jan 15, 2015 3:59am Jan 15, 2015 3:59am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} right, Vermeer, that idea was a little flash of light - gold should be supported - a floor perhaps around GLD $112. .......
Gold turns higher after Swiss National Bank cuts rates

"Lower interest rates can give gold a lift, as it decreases the relative cost of holding on to the metal, which doesn't offer investors any similar guaranteed payout. "
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #6,680
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:08am Jan 15, 2015 4:08am
Quoting The Fool
Futures say good bounce coming to the indices tomorrow NY. ...
We will know more after BAC and C ER's in premarket... Also PPI today, Philly Fed...
Market looks vulnerable - make it or break it. /ES stopped yesterday around 1980... if it breaks that, we could see 1900.
Than we have ECB Press Conference in a week...


Add-on
BAC is tanking... miss on EPS.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
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