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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #51,381
  • Edited 7:03pm Jan 12, 2015 6:38pm | Edited 7:03pm
yeeeeha, book starts 2015.
slow and steady.

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regards

remember? ready the mindset.

http://tyoudouin-ko.blogspot.jp/2014/12/2014-12-18.html

good fortune everyone......yeeeeeha
  • #51,382
  • Edited Jan 13, 2015 12:46am Jan 12, 2015 11:22pm | Edited Jan 13, 2015 12:46am
wow, seems have enemies monitoring me.
any of you managed escape?
I only have some small scouts and 2014 tinys still in market.
Thank God i not greedy and know how to pees.
Everytime have positions run backwards peeing shooting at own army advance.
but is ok for me. i used to the wild wild west environment.

ok so please every one watch your own behinds.
Following me may turn dangerous already.
I didn't even tell which direction i was going.
But of course peeps can see, if they already trained eyes.
Is ok, today is first only. Lost viginity for 2015, but never will allow lose honour.

Is ok they play me. I just let the authorities manage em.
Prefer send them to jail then fine em billions. Not seem deterrent.
Is ok make billions and pay millions in fines anually.
Just write off as tax.
looks like mafia model., remember the youtube. clip. The story of your enslavement?
I best prepare be slave.

regards

By the way , anyone have floated rates loans, i think you should convert em to fixed rates loans already.
I waiting see which one moves first.
Whether the one said he raising rates in 2015 will try redeem his face.
Anyway the figs not show he has leeway do it yet. But i think everyone will move before the Feds can.
Thats all i think I can say. Otherwise may need make sandbag hill already.

Well hell sure is the imposibility of reason.
yeah, new adventures.

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  • #51,383
  • Edited 1:25am Jan 13, 2015 12:15am | Edited 1:25am
This the toughest parts, need get foreign risk cap.
after that is all cheeze cake.

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regards
  • #51,384
  • Jan 13, 2015 12:27am Jan 13, 2015 12:27am
Quoting fti
This the toughest parts, need get foreign risk cap. after that is all cheeze cake. regards

i agree chief,

playing safe early to gain some foreign cap...that is the key....lets see how we perform..already 1.5% down .....

V
  • #51,385
  • Jan 13, 2015 2:05am Jan 13, 2015 2:05am
AOW.

7. It is only one who is thoroughly acquainted with the evils of war that can
thoroughly understand the profitable way of carrying it on.

8. The skillful soldier does not raise a second levy, neither are his supplywagons
loaded more than twice.

9. Bring war material with you from home, but forage on the enemy. Thus
the army will have food enough for its needs.



couple of mine already been snatched at .... think i will wait until the gbp cpi is released before trying anything there though.

regards

Phil.

Attached Image
-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #51,386
  • Jan 13, 2015 2:40am Jan 13, 2015 2:40am
Quoting phil13
AOW. 7. It is only one who is thoroughly acquainted with the evils of war that can thoroughly understand the profitable way of carrying it on. 8. The skillful soldier does not raise a second levy, neither are his supplywagons loaded more than twice. 9. Bring war material with you from home, but forage on the enemy. Thus the army will have food enough for its needs. couple of mine already been snatched at .... think i will wait until the gbp cpi is released before trying anything there though. regards Phil. {image}

Thanks to alexandria, brought happy song.
happy, is one of my dogs.
was just happiest puppy i ever seen.

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regards
  • #51,387
  • Jan 13, 2015 2:54am Jan 13, 2015 2:54am
Quoting fti
{quote} Thanks to alexandria, brought happy song. happy, is one of my dogs. was just happiest puppy i ever seen. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y6Sxv-sUYtM regards

Hi fti

i like the song too.

looking to deploy some now in my remaining two pairs, had to kill my U/C scout, i will teach these new recruit what it is all about....

regards

Phil.

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-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #51,388
  • Jan 13, 2015 3:10am Jan 13, 2015 3:10am
Quoting phil13
{quote} Hi fti i like the song too. looking to deploy some now in my remaining two pairs, had to kill my U/C scout, i will teach these new recruit what it is all about.... regards Phil. {image}

I waiting for the chances teach these BIG money how not be arrogant.
May need wait a while. pull their teeth out.

First i need feel the happy, then will be easier.Mindset still rusty.
Now only dare do skirmishes here and there. no f cap yet.

regards
  • #51,389
  • Jan 13, 2015 3:21am Jan 13, 2015 3:21am
Quoting phil13
AOW. 7. It is only one who is thoroughly acquainted with the evils of war that can thoroughly understand the profitable way of carrying it on. 8. The skillful soldier does not raise a second levy, neither are his supplywagons loaded more than twice. 9. Bring war material with you from home, but forage on the enemy. Thus the army will have food enough for its needs. couple of mine already been snatched at .... think i will wait until the gbp cpi is released before trying anything there though. regards Phil. {image}
wah makes sun bing proud.

i skermish here there still near BE.
I moving heavy artelery behind, until my mind ready.
mostly checking if pocket ready.



regards
  • #51,390
  • Jan 13, 2015 3:51am Jan 13, 2015 3:51am
Quoting fti
{quote} wah makes sun bing proud. i skermish here there still near BE. I moving heavy artelery behind, until my mind ready. mostly checking if pocket ready. regards

Hi fti

same here my friend, no hero's or uphill battles for my troops and only fighting close to enemy in small groups for now allowed, i was lucky yesterday managed to get some f/cap in G/U but that could go at any point.

just pulled out of U/J with some very small pips (paid for U/C scout loss). one left lets see what that brings but it is currently not going my way with just 2x scouts so may flip .

seems i picked wrong direction for now.

regards

Phil.
-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #51,391
  • Jan 13, 2015 5:18am Jan 13, 2015 5:18am
my elite chickens are coming out now and spreading out, there real tasty...... (my F/cap)

regards

Phil.

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-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #51,392
  • Jan 13, 2015 5:47am Jan 13, 2015 5:47am
Quoting phil13
my elite chickens are coming out now and spreading out, there real tasty...... (my F/cap) regards Phil. {image}
wah you have elite kfc, i only have foot soldiers.tryng steal rations.
Just now they was rushed. scared the chicken out of em.
maybe i need buy tiger balm for em.



regards
  • #51,393
  • Jan 13, 2015 5:58am Jan 13, 2015 5:58am
Quoting phil13
{quote} Hi fti same here my friend, no hero's or uphill battles for my troops and only fighting close to enemy in small groups for now allowed, i was lucky yesterday managed to get some f/cap in G/U but that could go at any point. just pulled out of U/J with some very small pips (paid for U/C scout loss). one left lets see what that brings but it is currently not going my way with just 2x scouts so may flip . seems i picked wrong direction for now. regards Phil.
what direction you talking about?
i only seeing headless chickens running around. all over the place.
some my scouts in the valley , some on the hill.
and some growing very very old.
may be they want be retarded like me.



regards
  • #51,394
  • Edited 6:32am Jan 13, 2015 6:05am | Edited 6:32am
Quoting fti
{quote} what direction you talking about? i only seeing headless chickens running around. all over the place. some my scouts in the valley , some on the hill. and some growing very very old. regards

hi fti

short USD...... A/U from earlier adding some kfc now (did not flip)...now G/U is full of kfc and testing U/C (near 1.2000)



regards

Phil.
-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #51,395
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:12am Jan 13, 2015 6:12am
hi all, happy new year and good trading.

after posting on the blitzkrieg lesson, it made it wonder, sometimes, if not used correctly or not used skillfully enough, primarily to turn on wind, the blitzkrieg can induce a bias in the mindset, and we may sometimes get too entrenched in the fundamentals which is not unlike using indicators and having a crystal ball. this question popped up, how can i make countertrend rescues? well, if there is only spot, it is impossible. but what if we bring in options?

this springs up a question, what if our original position was a long straddle? say with the ratio of 4 puts to 1 long spot. if price were to go against us, we can let price move against us all the way, and we would profit, but if the counter trend move seems temporary, we could go 3x long spot and lock in the profits of the 4x puts and then sell 4x calls to defray our 4x puts cost. if price ranges, we can convert it into a butterfly, or keep range scalping by going 3x long spot at turning points in the range, while being immune to sudden counter impulse waves against us. if price were to go in our spots direction, we can unleash our attack skew, and the attack skew might be slightly higher, say 1-4-15 or the like, and then when the attack is over, we can take out our spots and leave 4 long spot and sell 4x calls to defray the put's cost and go flat. with this, it seems possible for us to dance the market as both a bull and bear at the same time.
  • #51,396
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:16am Jan 13, 2015 6:16am
Quoting fti
{quote} what direction you talking about? i only seeing headless chickens running around. all over the place. some my scouts in the valley , some on the hill. and some growing very very old. may be they want be retarded like me. regards
Historically- 1.1844 has seen many battles.
  • #51,397
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:31am Jan 13, 2015 6:31am
leaving G/U now, wow nice move iron lady

helped top up my F/cap a bit.

regards

Phil.

Attached Image
-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #51,398
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:51am Jan 13, 2015 6:51am
ok out of the other two pairs now with some small pips .

regards

Phil.
-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #51,399
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:59am Jan 13, 2015 6:59am
Quoting fti
{quote} what direction you talking about? i only seeing headless chickens running around. all over the place. some my scouts in the valley , some on the hill. and some growing very very old. may be they want be retarded like me. regards

Hi fti

You are far from being retarded my friend, all the great things you have achieved and you are the only one who has been able to show me and many others the way to make this work .

that is a feat in itself considering i hardly ever went to school. .

regards

Phil.
-be careful about what you allow to be put in your mind-
  • #51,400
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:01am Jan 13, 2015 7:01am
Quoting CookieMonsta
hi all, happy new year and good trading. after posting on the blitzkrieg lesson, it made it wonder, sometimes, if not used correctly or not used skillfully enough, primarily to turn on wind, the blitzkrieg can induce a bias in the mindset, and we may sometimes get too entrenched in the fundamentals which is not unlike using indicators and having a crystal ball. this question popped up, how can i make countertrend rescues? well, if there is only spot, it is impossible. but what if we bring in options? this springs up a question, what if our original...
what? plan b stuff were never discussed?

anyway options positions cannot be bias, only user can become if they chose to.
The options held is not reflect of the real exposure.
The delta is.

regards
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