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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #17,121
  • Edited 12:56pm Jan 11, 2015 12:44pm | Edited 12:56pm
Quoting infinitus
Long and intermediate term count of USDJPY

Not that this was any serious analysis, but I ve made an attempt to shove that UJ timeserie into throat of my EU wave script and tried to match waves with the ones choosed by you. Thought you might like the numbers.
So from the long term view we are still in correction, but about 95% and possibly about to break top of wave 4 of previous cycle. So if we start trending we may mark it as wave 1.

Second look is on midterm 2011 - now, where we appear to a) have alraedy finished wave 5 and now in abc consolidation. b)since on major scale we are breaking high and about to trend, think wave 5 top is fake and are just about in little abc correction. Funny thing, see those numbers in red circles? Accident, i know, but I like such accidents . Btw, regarding Oil, thats heavy boost for Japan economy. For better orientation in midterm numbers, 1,3,i,iii,5 peaks are selected in orange.

T
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #17,122
  • Edited 5:05pm Jan 11, 2015 4:21pm | Edited 5:05pm
So, this is my start of the week. Scenario 1 - weekly open @1,184 cracks right away and I enter on retest overshoot with SL above 1,187. Scenario 2 - 1,187 gets retested first, in which case I load some more, taking partial at weekly open to stay at BE.
edit: actually SL of scenario 2 is on 1,1891, that one on chart is from Friday, forgot to change it.
edit2: Also, GU approaching 1,52.
edit3: Ah cmon, it got stuck 2 pips below my entry and now it will for sure cut through SL or fall without me . My favourite.
edit4: Well so I have entered manually with leverage lower than planned, that beeing 1:1 . EntryH1 close, SL 1,1891. Now comes my favourite part: Cya later, gl.
T
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #17,123
  • Jan 11, 2015 4:49pm Jan 11, 2015 4:49pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Uj this whole wave up structure to me says more up, but the question is where should retracement on downside end before more up comes. Gatorinla sees deep down to 114, and looking on weekly chart that defenetly seems very possible. I am at moment bear on it h1 and down but i have no idea how much further down, lower tfs tell me when to step aside. GU this riding line should tell where to go next week break on upside should open up move, but significant bounce eg 40 pips would seriously mess up view. http://prntscr.com/5r6jwj Pepperoni...

Regarding UJ:

the recent wave 4 seems to trace out an ABC-flat, now in wave C.


If A = C we can see the 114.6 area
  • #17,124
  • Jan 11, 2015 5:10pm Jan 11, 2015 5:10pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Not that this was any serious analysis, but I ve made an attempt to shove that UJ timeserie into throat of my EU wave script and tried to match waves with the ones choosed by you. Thought you might like the numbers. So from the long term view we are still in correction, but about 95% and possibly about to break top of wave 4 of previous cycle. So if we start trending we may mark it as wave 1. Second look is on midterm 2011 - now, where we appear to a) have alraedy finished wave 5 and now in abc consolidation. b)since on major scale we are...

Interesting analysis
  • #17,125
  • Jan 11, 2015 5:26pm Jan 11, 2015 5:26pm
if u don't mind,here is my view ,the first is active,waiting to the second scenario :
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  • #17,126
  • Jan 11, 2015 5:28pm Jan 11, 2015 5:28pm
Am not much into these candles and stuff, but can be hammer - unconfirmed doji and now m15 either confirms or rejets hammer. Maybe.
Edit: And looks like reject so far. I should be off screen , getting on my nerves.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #17,127
  • Jan 11, 2015 5:59pm Jan 11, 2015 5:59pm
1875 may offer short opportunity in EU
  • #17,128
  • Edited 7:57pm Jan 11, 2015 6:33pm | Edited 7:57pm
Quoting infinitus
1875 may offer short opportunity in EU
...
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Gotta wall at 87. That green is start of monthly dropzone for this leg - made by 06/2010 low. Grey rectangle is consolidation area @ 87. Nice zone, if you ask me, hope my SL will be fine . edit: ah, your in totally different zoom , thats 87 i m talkin bout. edit: Need to watch you more, am pretty bad in intraday, though trying hard to improve. {image}
Edit:
And loading and loading. Now 3:1 .....3,3:1.
Also think good GU short opportunity here @ 1,52.
Well, Final SL is set at 1,1878, where I take +0,31%.
But , to please the gods, this time I dedicate this song to EU, so it should fall.
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAOJ_azIvus
Edit: See, song worked. Am rich. For a second .
Btw, here is my EU portfolio. Those targets will change, i definitely wont take everything at ,177. Low of monthly drop is 1,164, so targets are on the way to this number. And while I am writing - hihihiiii.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #17,129
  • Jan 11, 2015 6:54pm Jan 11, 2015 6:54pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
Caption Contest: "Where's Obama?" Edition

read the whole article to the end for a very good laugh, wouldn't it be so sad.......
  • #17,130
  • Jan 11, 2015 7:07pm Jan 11, 2015 7:07pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
Saudi Prince Warns "We Will Not See $100 Oil Again", Calls Anti-Russia Conspiracy "Baloney"


OK, oversupply while low-demand


Problem seems:

there are to many Oil producing countries in dire need for hard cash......
  • #17,131
  • Jan 11, 2015 7:17pm Jan 11, 2015 7:17pm
holy moly


that's a firework


http://fox17online.com/2015/01/09/vi...mat-situation/
  • #17,132
  • Jan 11, 2015 7:29pm Jan 11, 2015 7:29pm
Quoting infinitus
{image} Saudi Prince Warns "We Will Not See $100 Oil Again", Calls Anti-Russia Conspiracy "Baloney" OK, oversupply while low-demand Problem seems: there are to many Oil producing countries in dire need for hard cash......
this saudi prince has nothing to say with these issues,he knows nothing, may be media stars,tv shows eat travel some thing similar ,nothing else
  • #17,133
  • Jan 11, 2015 7:44pm Jan 11, 2015 7:44pm
long term and near term a messy count, me thinks

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  • #17,134
  • Jan 11, 2015 7:58pm Jan 11, 2015 7:58pm
Quoting tahshoon
{quote} this saudi prince has nothing to say with these issues,he knows nothing, may be media stars,tv shows eat travel some thing similar ,nothing else
l-Waleed bin Talal bin Abdulaziz al Saud (Arabic: الوليد بن طلال بن عبدالعزيز آل سعود‎, born 7 March 1955)[citation needed] is a Saudi business magnate, investor, and philanthropist. He is a member of the Saudi royal family. Waleed was listed as one of Time magazine's Time 100, an annual list of the hundred most influential people in the world in 2008.[4] Waleed is a nephew of Saudi King Abdullah, a grandson of Ibn Saud, the first Saudi king, and a grandson of Riad Al Solh, Lebanon's first Prime Minister

n March 2013, Forbes listed Al-Waleed as the 26th-richest man in the world, with an estimated net worth of US$20 billion. Al-Waleed disputes the Forbes valuation and believes his wealth to be $26 billion.[2] Bloomberg later estimated his wealth as $30 billion.[11] In December 2013, Arabian Business estimated his wealth at $31.2 billion, while it also ranked him as the most influential Arab in the world[12][13]


source: wikipedia


Don't know, but he seems quiet influential
  • #17,135
  • Edited 9:35pm Jan 11, 2015 9:06pm | Edited 9:35pm
You can use my TPs as supports - 1,1842 1,18185 1,1785 1,1765 - thats heavy - dotted green is mid of dropzone.
edit: deleted lots, am ninja.
edit: Ofc suppose we break first TP which is weekly open. Would prefere bearish week.
1 last edit: Well, wanted to go to sleep already covered, but am tired, everything set. either +0,31% or +lots. Take care, I need to sleep.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #17,136
  • Jan 12, 2015 1:35am Jan 12, 2015 1:35am
ElliottwaveForex on EU

http://www.elliottwaveforex.com/2015...15/#more-52692

Edit: I see a fault in hourly chart

green 3 of pink 5 of blue 3 in hourly chart is the shortest
  • #17,137
  • Jan 12, 2015 1:44am Jan 12, 2015 1:44am
And EWF on GU

http://www.elliottwaveforex.com/2015...-january-2015/
  • #17,138
  • Jan 12, 2015 3:20am Jan 12, 2015 3:20am
Looks like everyone in this thread has been right for calling 1850 shorts , good job everyone.

I am shorting Brent again, target 40.
GJ has to break lower, no bottoming structure, looking for m1 low risk entry with 30 pip TP.
  • #17,139
  • Jan 12, 2015 4:45am Jan 12, 2015 4:45am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} l-Waleed bin Talal bin Abdulaziz al Saud (Arabic: الوليد بن طلال بن عبدالعزيز آل سعود‎, born 7 March 1955)[citation needed] is a Saudi business...
ha ha ha ha,we don't need a wiki -anything *pedia *leaks to know who is it,his father had an agreement with the rest of the royal family to leave the choice to be a king with money,so his father get a very big sum of money,now,his son is a millionaire or a billionaire SO WHAT ?,he has nothing to say in oil saudi politics,he has no influence in the political arena in the saudi kingdom
  • #17,140
  • Jan 12, 2015 5:32am Jan 12, 2015 5:32am
Quoting tahshoon
{quote} ha ha ha ha,we don't need a wiki -anything *pedia *leaks to know who is it,his father had an agreement with the rest of the royal family to leave the choice to be a king with money,so his father get a very big sum of money,now,his son is a millionaire or a billionaire SO WHAT ?,he has nothing to say in oil saudi politics,he has no influence in the political arena in the saudi kingdom
I'd say no substantial influence as in this country every prince(how many 2000?!) has his part of influence(a negative one unfortunatly) and maybe that's one of the reasons why the saudi boat will sink
better be not enough salt than too much salt
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