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EURUSD MultiTimeFrame

  • #41
  • Dec 15, 2014 3:29am Dec 15, 2014 3:29am
EU 4H + Intraday
EU testing the 200 EMA, which is an important resistance level. Went short around today's high, managed to catch a position after two small losses. Expecting some congestion at 4H 20 EMA, around 1.242, where I'd be considering switching to long (possible a bear trend channel line test and reversal) for a breakout to a higher high. The bull target would be a double top test with Friday's High (1.2494) or the High of This Month on 1 Dec (1.25).

UPDATE: Just had another sell climax on 5M, straight to the TCL, if no strong bull bars emerge here, revising the short exit to 1.241, which is the likely bear measured move target.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #42
  • Edited 7:35am Dec 15, 2014 7:10am | Edited 7:35am
EU 5M
Reversing to long, as we had a bear trendline break and now a higher low MTR coupled with a double bottom bear flag.
UPDATE: Stopped out and re-entered on the bull spike. Likely switching to always-in long, will start looking to buy only.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #43
  • Dec 22, 2014 8:15am Dec 22, 2014 8:15am
EU 5M
Waiting for a test to 1.244 to consider a long. Might be a trap before bull follow through into the close of the day. 1.244 area is the minimum measured moved target for the bear breakout from the current range. And would be a breakout test on the higher timeframes, where a bull pullback is in progress.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #44
  • Edited 8:58am Dec 22, 2014 8:32am | Edited 8:58am
EU intraday
Meanwhile, added to the short for a scalp to the target area. Stops just up to two pips.
>>Took eight pips at double bottoms, expecting bulls to fail here and still allow a lower low.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #45
  • Dec 22, 2014 9:05am Dec 22, 2014 9:05am
Quoting StopRunFx
EU intraday Meanwhile, added to the short for a scalp to the target area. Stops just up to two pips. >>Took eight pips at double bottoms, expecting bulls to fail here and still allow a lower low. {image} {image}
Faded the bull spike to bear trendline, still seeing this a range and bear channel, tight stop.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #46
  • Dec 22, 2014 9:15am Dec 22, 2014 9:15am
Quoting StopRunFx
{quote} Faded the bull spike to bear trendline, still seeing this a range and bear channel, tight stop. {image}
Took partial small scalp, holding from breakeven position, waiting for bull signals in the target area, if it gets there.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #47
  • Dec 22, 2014 12:59pm Dec 22, 2014 12:59pm
Quoting StopRunFx
{quote} Took partial small scalp, holding from breakeven position, waiting for bull signals in the target area, if it gets there. {image}
Closed the short in profit. Reversed to long for a double bottom trend reversal. Does not look good so far...
>> STopped out
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #48
  • Edited 8:58am Dec 29, 2014 8:02am | Edited 8:58am
EU 5M
Entered short on a two bar reversal signal bar on 5M EURUSD, seeing a lower low intraday trend reversal from the initial bull into trading range. The initial bull spike was strong, but there was a good deal of selling pressure afterwards, and the buying pressure may be merely from profit-taking long-term bears.

UPDATE: Exchanged lower entry to a higher entry at no cost. Holding for a swing from breakeven.
UPDATE: Bull breakout test seems to have failed, expecting a measured move down to 1.2193 as first target.
UPDATE: Stalls at former tight trading range, but if it cuts through without bull reversal bars, may sell off to the low of the day. Added a small scalp at moving average test.
UPDATE: Took the scalps, leaving the swing portion with a BE stop for a low of the day test or even lower.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #49
  • Edited Dec 30, 2014 1:53am Dec 29, 2014 9:05am | Edited Dec 30, 2014 1:53am
EU 5M / Intraday
Seeing the price approaching duelling lines at the higher timeframe bull trendline (crossed by a presumed parallel bear trend channel line). Will consider switching to long there, if a bull setup emerges.
UPDATE: Took profit on the short, switched to long at market.
Still no setup, tights stops and will re-enter after a setup if stopped out.
UPDATE: a Wedge Breakout Failure, a bull signal bar emerges, but not too strong, tail on top, still sellers above, will wait for a second signal buy to add to the long or re-enter.
UPDATE: Seeing a bear Low1 failure, inside-outside-inside bull reversal setup (breakout mode), entering a buy stop above the setup.
UPDATE: Buy stop not triggered, faded the Low1 second entry + small double bottom at TL + potential final flag failure. Stops tight.
UPDATE: Second signal buy below the trendline produced a decent entry, holding for a scalp plus swing from BE.
UPDATE: STopped out of this one. And it was a mistake to exit the short prematurely. Anyway, finished the day in profit.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #50
  • Dec 30, 2014 2:17am Dec 30, 2014 2:17am
EU Intraday
Euro rallied today, took a long scalp and looking to get long again. Seeing this as a higher timeframe (1H) range failed breakout + wedge failed breakout and new trend channel line overshoot and reversal, which has lead to a rally to test the red bear trendline in the bear channel. The bull momentum is very strong, so if the trendline gives way, the bulls may run a measured move all the way up to 1.228. Will be looking for bull setups to buy, while holding the swing long.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #51
  • Dec 30, 2014 2:48am Dec 30, 2014 2:48am
EU 5M
Seeing minimal bull targets as 1.213-1.217, based on the bull spike measured move projection. Currently bulls had three consecutive buy climaxes and a ten-bar two-leg pullback is likely, which would also coincide with the 20 gap bars from the moving average setup. Looking to buy on a moving average test -- a poss first break of the bull trendline + poss double bottom bull flag with bar 1, OR breakout below a DB flag.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #52
  • Dec 30, 2014 3:27am Dec 30, 2014 3:27am
Quoting StopRunFx
EU 5M Seeing minimal bull targets as 1.213-1.217, based on the bull spike measured move projection. Currently bulls had three consecutive buy climaxes and a ten-bar two-leg pullback is likely, which would also coincide with the 20 gap bars from the moving average setup. Looking to buy on a moving average test -- a poss first break of the bull trendline + poss double bottom bull flag with bar 1, OR breakout below a DB flag. {image}
Bought the moving average test for a High 2 second entry. Took a small loss below the moving average on first entry, however, and closed the swing portion to compensate, a bit of emotional trading...
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #53
  • Dec 30, 2014 3:32am Dec 30, 2014 3:32am
Quoting StopRunFx
{quote} Bought the moving average test for a High 2 second entry. Took a small loss below the moving average on first entry, however, and closed the swing portion to compensate, a bit of emotional trading... {image}
Stopped out. Waiting to buy lower.
"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #54
  • Jan 2, 2015 4:39am Jan 2, 2015 4:39am
EU 5M / Intraday
Seeing 1.203 as the bear target from the bear spike after today's open. Will be looking for longs on the way down to that level. Currently seeing an inside bull signal bar at a bull channel trendline, a potential higher low, going long, but with tight stops and part scalp / part swing.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #55
  • Jan 2, 2015 4:56am Jan 2, 2015 4:56am
Quoting StopRunFx
EU 5M / Intraday Seeing 1.203 as the bear target from the bear spike after today's open. Will be looking for longs on the way down to that level. Currently seeing an inside bull signal bar at a bull channel trendline, a potential higher low, going long, but with tight stops and part scalp / part swing. {image}
Added to the long on bar 4, took tiny scalps, tightened stops. Seeing the bear trendline above as magnet. A converging triangle, breakout mode building up. I think a bear breakout to a new low is more likely, but a bull breakout would be more rewarding with multiple higher timeframe pullback targets above.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #56
  • Jan 2, 2015 5:12am Jan 2, 2015 5:12am
Quoting StopRunFx
{quote} Added to the long on bar 4, took tiny scalps, tightened stops. Seeing the bear trendline above as magnet. A converging triangle, breakout mode building up. I think a bear breakout to a new low is more likely, but a bull breakout would be more rewarding with multiple higher timeframe pullback targets above. {image}
>> Bar 9 a strong bear signal bar after bar 8 breakout above the trendline, a poss lower high. Exited part with a +5 pip scalp, still holding the swing. This is a bull tight channel, so the first bear breakout below the bull micro trendline may fail.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #57
  • Jan 2, 2015 5:37am Jan 2, 2015 5:37am
Quoting StopRunFx
{quote} >> Bar 9 a strong bear signal bar after bar 8 breakout above the trendline, a poss lower high. Exited part with a +5 pip scalp, still holding the swing. This is a bull tight channel, so the first bear breakout below the bull micro trendline may fail. {image}
>>14: exited on the scary bear bar emotionally, but re-entered. This could be the start of a grinding bull channel where fresh bears are getting trapped and never getting a decent pullback to exit -- a small pullback bull trend (?).
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #58
  • Jan 2, 2015 6:07am Jan 2, 2015 6:07am
Quoting StopRunFx
{quote} >>14: exited on the scary bear bar emotionally, but re-entered. This could be the start of a grinding bull channel where fresh bears are getting trapped and never getting a decent pullback to exit -- a small pullback bull trend (?). {image}
>>16-20: stopped out, but re-entered long. Seeing a trading range forming, stop at breakeven, as bears still very strong.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #59
  • Jan 2, 2015 6:18am Jan 2, 2015 6:18am
Quoting StopRunFx
{quote} >>16-20: stopped out, but re-entered long. Seeing a trading range forming, stop at breakeven, as bears still very strong. {image}
>>22: stopout again, and again re-entered after the ultimate bull trendline overshoot, but will not argue any more with the bears if this gets stopped out as well. Will wait lower.
>>23: still in, a bull inside body signal bar formed at the presumed bull channel trendline (parallel from 9-15 channel line). Last ditch long. If it breaks lower, will look to buy below 1.203. Also seeing double bottom bull flag 1-23.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
  • #60
  • Jan 2, 2015 7:31am Jan 2, 2015 7:31am
Quoting StopRunFx
{quote} >>22: stopout again, and again re-entered after the ultimate bull trendline overshoot, but will not argue any more with the bears if this gets stopped out as well. Will wait lower. >>23: still in, a bull inside body signal bar formed at the presumed bull channel trendline (parallel from 9-15 channel line). Last ditch long. If it breaks lower, will look to buy below 1.203. Also seeing double bottom bull flag 1-23. {image}
Stopped out. Looking to buy as a poss 1.203 breakout failure. No signal bar yet, looking for breakeven position with tight stop only.
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"To the busy day / To the idle play"
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