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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #16,761
  • Dec 21, 2014 3:53pm Dec 21, 2014 3:53pm
the weather has changed all over the world,in my country we witnessed an unusually heavy rains
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #16,762
  • Edited 7:09pm Dec 21, 2014 4:54pm | Edited 7:09pm
Quoting infinitus
Best wishes from Switzerland. {image}
Have nice days there.
FXcube
  • #16,763
  • Dec 21, 2014 5:51pm Dec 21, 2014 5:51pm
Hallo Jungs und wünschen Ihnen viel Glück
Let me fill my acount wallet then will take Ur advice
  • #16,764
  • Dec 21, 2014 6:23pm Dec 21, 2014 6:23pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} the Chalet is located at around 1600 meters. Good snow conditions starts between 1800 and 2000 meters. But all in all very poor snow conditions. Way to few snow here for this time of the year
There's plenty of snow where I live. And that's just a few metres above sea level! You should come to Niseko, Hokkaido if you want to go skiing. Best powder snow in the world

But seriously, that chalet looks very beautiful. Have a great holiday
You reap what you sow.
  • #16,765
  • Edited 9:58am Dec 22, 2014 4:55am | Edited 9:58am
Pending buy usdchf 0.9790, sell gu 1.5650

Ea view
http://i.imgur.com/lNWNK6T.png

Gold longer term view:
http://prntscr.com/5jpt1q
http://prntscr.com/5jptz9
  • #16,766
  • Edited 1:04pm Dec 22, 2014 10:47am | Edited 1:04pm
AndexQ we failed to break double pins on Brent, i think we go down in next days, especially with addition to Saudi comment that they will further increase supply as long as they "find" additional customer.

Pending sell 58.2 TP 52-54.

EDIT:
Holding GCHF long
http://prntscr.com/5jscm2
  • #16,767
  • Dec 22, 2014 1:27pm Dec 22, 2014 1:27pm
Quoting janpec1000
AndexQ we failed to break double pins on Brent, i think we go down in next days, especially with addition to Saudi comment that they will further increase supply as long as they "find" additional customer. Pending sell 58.2 TP 52-54. EDIT: Holding GCHF long http://prntscr.com/5jscm2

GL my friend..
  • #16,768
  • Dec 22, 2014 3:38pm Dec 22, 2014 3:38pm
I see dollar brekout tomorrow, might be wrong, but thats what charts tell me.
  • #16,769
  • Dec 22, 2014 4:52pm Dec 22, 2014 4:52pm
Hi, I post some forex forecast from BBG and a backtesting for EUR/USD.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FX FORECAST.PNG Size: 98 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: FY 2.PNG Size: 82 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: SIMULATION STRATEGIES EU.PNG Size: 164 KB
Bavarian Trading FX
  • #16,770
  • Dec 23, 2014 9:17am Dec 23, 2014 9:17am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Deutschland do you mind explaianing why you see such strong impulsive up leg. Is it based on EW? Just wondering becouse i dont see in 2015 any reason for such up move, defenetly not before digging down bellow 1700. EDIT: Pending long GCHF 5273 TP 30 no SL atm. EA view: http://prntscr.com/5iji34
it isn't my view, is from skyhok, greets
Bavarian Trading FX
  • #16,771
  • Dec 23, 2014 9:18am Dec 23, 2014 9:18am
Quoting infinitus
I have aclose look for some longs @ 2255 and extended @ 2218
With stop loss?

Bavarian Trading FX
  • #16,772
  • Dec 23, 2014 10:39am Dec 23, 2014 10:39am
Quoting Deutschland
{quote} With stop loss?
Hi my friend,

hope all is well and you are enjoying the summer.

The levels were not badly chosen. Look how price tested and retested them both.

The SL depends on what you are looking for. For bigger swings I never use a tight SL. A tight SL for such trades is all within the daily ATR for me. Once in profit, and profit is bigger than daily ATR I do set the SL most of the time to at least BE.

At this time of the USD ralley I would try to scale into a bigger swing trade long EU. The position size for both levels would have been not so big. Pitty for me at the moment is, that I covered all my remaining long term short EU positions at least around 2375. That was a big fault. My initial idea was to simply hold a core EU short position until around 1.18, 1.14, 1.08, and parity. But I got gready and took the profit.
  • #16,773
  • Dec 23, 2014 10:45am Dec 23, 2014 10:45am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi my friend, hope all is well and you are enjoying the summer. The levels were not badly chosen. Look how price tested and retested them both. The SL depends on what you are looking for. For bigger swings I never use a tight SL. A tight SL for such trades is all within the daily ATR for me. Once in profit, and profit is bigger than daily ATR I do set the SL most of the time to at least BE. At this time of the USD ralley I would try to scale into a bigger swing trade long EU. The position size for both levels would have been not so...
Well, could have done worse. Do you want to know what I did last week? Shorted 1.2517, got in a little draw down, cut the position and then got home looking at the screen ... it happens. Happy holidays everyone and merry christmas!
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #16,774
  • Dec 23, 2014 10:47am Dec 23, 2014 10:47am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi my friend, hope all is well and you are enjoying the summer. The levels were not badly chosen. Look how price tested and retested them both. The SL depends on what you are looking for. For bigger swings I never use a tight SL. A tight SL for such trades is all within the daily ATR for me. Once in profit, and profit is bigger than daily ATR I do set the SL most of the time to at least BE. At this time of the USD ralley I would try to scale into a bigger swing trade long EU. The position size for both levels would have been not so...
The area between 2160 and 2180 is also interesting. Will show charts later, when I am back at my notebook. When I remember correctly, it is the lower channel line of the whole movement from 399x. Since we are at this levels now, take a close look at volume and COT data, especially the COT index. Can you see something? I would be super cautious with short positions right now.

Since I am in the mountains and it is holiday week, I am not trading swings at the moment. Only a scalp here and there on one to five minutes TF. Only watching so far and trying to figure out a good EW count.
  • #16,775
  • Dec 23, 2014 11:26am Dec 23, 2014 11:26am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} The area between 2160 and 2180 is also interesting. Will show charts later, when I am back at my notebook. When I remember correctly, it is the lower channel line of the whole movement from 399x. Since we are at this levels now, take a close look at volume and COT data, especially the COT index. Can you see something? I would be super cautious with short positions right now. Since I am in the mountains and it is holiday week, I am not trading swings at the moment. Only a scalp here and there on one to five minutes TF. Only watching so far...

this maybe

the blue 1 and blue 5 are now round about equal
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_EUR_USD_12 Hours_snapshot.png Size: 70 KB
  • #16,776
  • Dec 23, 2014 11:57am Dec 23, 2014 11:57am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} The area between 2160 and 2180 is also interesting. Will show charts later, when I am back at my notebook. When I remember correctly, it is the lower channel line of the whole movement from 399x. Since we are at this levels now, take a close look at volume and COT data, especially the COT index. Can you see something? I would be super cautious with short positions right now. Since I am in the mountains and it is holiday week, I am not trading swings at the moment. Only a scalp here and there on one to five minutes TF. Only watching so far...

EU COT data
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: mm.jpg Size: 481 KB
  • #16,777
  • Dec 23, 2014 12:01pm Dec 23, 2014 12:01pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} EU COT data {image}
Hi, Markus

It seems to get set to be long.

Best,
D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #16,778
  • Dec 23, 2014 12:18pm Dec 23, 2014 12:18pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} this maybe the blue 1 and blue 5 are now round about equal {image}

ups, had EW base channel not corrected

here it is
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_EUR_USD_12 Hours_snapshot.png Size: 59 KB
  • #16,779
  • Dec 23, 2014 12:20pm Dec 23, 2014 12:20pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
{quote} Hi, Markus It seems to get set to be long. Best, D.P.

Hi DP,

hope you are well

the tricky part with COT data is, that they are not tradeable on its own
  • #16,780
  • Dec 23, 2014 12:34pm Dec 23, 2014 12:34pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
T. Boone Pickens Rages On CNBC: "I Am The Expert, Not You", Says Oil Down Due To "Weak Demand"


watch the video- what a bunch of idiots the anchors of CNBC are. Constantly they invite some experts etc., but when they argument opposite of their view they get ridicolous - what a shame
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