Technical Analysis Fallacy

wow friday was high Gs.
survived.
eeeer can someone pls pass the dry pampers ?










regards

G Loc's a tough one to take for the untrained...

ok , great, now i can fly over someone's house and pee. hahahahahahaha hahahahahahaha hahahahahahaha.
Now i gonna need buy tennis ball projectors. in case any one fly over my house pees i shoot em down. hahahahahahahahaha ha ha ha

Is not that hard once gets used to it.
Don't hold breath, unless you want brain to explode.
Learn proper breathing. chi gong helps. but need bring enough pampers.
Whatever you do, don't force. relax. glide baby glide.
If you like eat lots, good luck , bring bigger bag.


regards

regards

anyone around

Wow the story about the fighter pilot injecting is incredible Fti, I see why you talk about fighter pilots, split second decisions needed live or death completely in your own hands. No time to think.

I have been reading a book recently Malcom Gladwell's Blink, where he talks about the split second decisions our subconscious mind makes. It originates from our fight or flight reaction when we are in danger. There is no time to think. He talks about an experiment where people are asked to choose from 4 sets of cards 2 blue and 2 red. What they dont know is that you can only win with the blue cards. The red cards give very high rewards but high loss where as the blue cards give a slow steady set of $50 rewards. They found that after picking about 50 cards people started to get a hunch that they preferred the blue cards and figure out what was going on. After about 80 cards most people had figured it out and knew pretty much what was going on

What is so interesting is that they had the subjects connected to a machine that measured sweat glands. We tend to sweat in our palms when we get nervous or stressed. They found that after just 10 cards people started to generate a stress responses to the red cards and there behaviour started to change, they began favouring the blue cards over the red cards. The subjects had started making the necessary adjustments long before they were consciously aware of what adjustments they should be making.

He also mentions George Soros and how many of his trades were based on a split second decision a "feeling". Being connected to your subconscious. I think this is the same as your message about "feeling" the market and making quick decisions without to much thinking or over analysis of the charts or situation. There are times when to much thinking is not necessarily helpful.

The video below shows how a chimps working memory is far beyond that of a human. The scientist explanation for this is that the chimp is living completely in the present moment and not thinking about past or future. Our intelligence the ability to make logical deductions may be preventing us from accessing some of this potential in our selves. It is why some people like autistic Savants are able to access incredible potential in there brains because this top level of thinking is not functioning like it does in normal people. A savant Daniel temet can recite the number pi to 18,000 decimal places. incredible.

here here, i am busy with work. not trading now, only investing. hope everyone is doing good

now party time ............

wow, what a find.
Thanks ACS for posting it.
Sorry that i am very very slow already.
The detox putting heavy burden on me.
so i may be very very slow until christmas.

great vids.
wish i had his brains.

Merry christmas early.
i guessing i will be slow wishing any one.
So best i do it early.

lets see if i have what it takes, take on today's fomc.

regards



regards

What a nice, extensive thread. fti i like your wisdom. 大家好!

很好很好道謝你得祝福
聖誕快樂

regards

ACS.
to be very accurate.
The thinking is an ongoing process.
Is just one not stop, interrupt thinking to entertain the irrational logics.
Absolute focus on the task at hand and responding to every necessary detail.
and ignoring the vanities.

wah fomc ejections.
if this craziness continues i can become maimed.

regards

hi,

not sure if this is open for discussion, the 3rd lesson, and jumping the skew and incorporating the fundamental view, is a very interesting thing, i wonder if i have the right idea, can sort of see why it requires huge amount of capitalization, and also i can see why fti always ardently advocates no to having a rigid mm and plotting on a spreadsheet, incorporating the a dynamic skew and jumping the skew to alternate between attack and rescue, requires a really nimble and sharp feel of the markets and visual eyeball of the terrain to quickly calculate an appropriate skew and even jump skews when a good chance comes to commence attacks allows one to jump mm skews and commit attacks where appropriate while snowballing profitable scouts and jumping to higher skews with relation to 1x scout, while maintaining standard skew of 1-x-y of normal attack skews per jump. as for rescue to attack commencement, squaring down some scouts in water rescued by other scouts while improving the average price, can increase scout position size, which increases exposure already profitable, while increasing skew for attack, say i have 1x scout, rescued by 3x units, when possible, i could close off 1x scout and 1x unit on break even, and observe the markets, while im riding profits on the 2x units, and when price moves towards entry, i slowly square down, but if there is a possibility of attack, the skew can be jumped to 1-x-y which is 1*2-x*2-y*2 as an attack jumping the skew for a stronger attack, and squaring down x*2-1 and y*2 positions and leave 1*2 and 1 more scout as a net average scout and jump the skew further more to 1*3-x*3-y*3, transiting from attack to rescue seamlessly.

as for fundamental view, an example would be the audusd pair recently, rba was mentioning 0.7500 as the ideal price for audusd. as we have seen in these 2 days, the flows are also to the down side, save for FOMC, so the strong hold may be at 0.8200, bearishness with a high probability at 0.8200, if it does not break above 0.8200, shorting is a good idea, and incorporating the attack and rescue mo, we could expect to deploy scouts near 0.8200 to feel the markets and attack where possible, and rescue around that area, if market keeps fluctuating 0.8200 and 0.8000, we could keep adding scouts near 0.8200 and then slowly build a strong hold of our own and go on a slightly stronger skew with respect to 1 scout, but the skew is sublinear to the stronghold, at near 0.8175, because if it goes near 0.8200, we might break to the upside, and it might instead be better to square down near 0.8200.

i wonder if i understood the lesson 3, the blitzkrieg.

良好的祝福太

聖誕快樂

Hi all

Got stuff goin on - them docs will just not leave me alone. Looks like lot been goin on in thread.

Just wanted to say thanks to all TAF peeps for all their help over past few weeks - you guys know who you are - I will never forget it. I will be back in New Year and back at it hopefully stronger better managing me- still so much to learn.

Hope everyone has a safe, happy, peaceful holiday season and god bless to all.

I do like FTI santa pussy.

Regards

hi alex,

take care.

Hi - thanks so much.

You too - but mostly have fun

Hi,

I applied and got interviewed by YesFX asked for a sample trade within 24 hours and the decision came the next day of acceptance job offer as a junior prop trader. Initial EUR 1,450 fee required with a EUR 50,000 account with 50/50 profit split. The firm is based in Cyprus and the bank account given is a Dubai based bank in Dubai. I felt little uncomfortable on such a quick decision searched and result was full of scam comments. scamadvisor.com is not opening up. but I don't know why if a firm has a Linkedin page advertises at established job websites including Linkedin how can it be scam. Doesn't Linkedin has a fraud check on who is advertising through its website and can a fraud scam be committed through its website and if a fake company can have a page on Linkedin with several search result for trader at YesFX. The initial fee doesn't sound doubtful as many trading firms charge upfront and monthly fee like Maverick Trading, and many others. Still google result are worrying me if its really a scam. Losing EUR 1,450 is not a big problem as signing an agreement and entering into a contract with a doubtful organization who knows what is their real business.