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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #16,481
  • Nov 28, 2014 5:03pm Nov 28, 2014 5:03pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi CK, do not exactly know of what count you are talking. Can you show a picture or link to one of mine or others count? Keep in mind: maybe the recent wave 5 develops as ending diagonal. Unlike an imbulse, which is 5-3-5-3-5, an ending diagonal is 3-3-3-3-3 so the wave 5 of 5 or better the wave 5 of an ending diagonal is an ABC regarding the B-wave: in a zigzag (5-3-5), the B-wave does not go beyond the starting point of the wave A in a flat (3-3-5), the B-wave can go below the starting point of the wave A. In this case we are speaking...

I think I caught my answer ...
B 138% of wave A ..

my simple counting D..chart..
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  • #16,482
  • Nov 29, 2014 7:59am Nov 29, 2014 7:59am
Quoting chess king
{quote} I think I caught my answer ... B 138% of wave A .. my simple counting D..chart.. {image}

OK, got it

Definitively one of the options.

The scenario I am thinking about is, thatthe movements A and B on your chart are part of the wave 5.

Your wave A would be subwave 4 of wave 5. B would be wave A of subwave 5 of 5 (wave 5 may be an ending diagonal, hence all movements ABC)


Chart later
  • #16,483
  • Edited Nov 30, 2014 3:06am Nov 29, 2014 8:06am | Edited Nov 30, 2014 3:06am
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DAV stands for Deutscher Alpen Verein. So courtesy goes to DAV


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Check it out.....
  • #16,484
  • Nov 29, 2014 11:24am Nov 29, 2014 11:24am
someone with a strong EW opinion regarding US Oil?
  • #16,485
  • Nov 29, 2014 11:38am Nov 29, 2014 11:38am
Quoting infinitus
someone with a strong EW opinion regarding US Oil?

this one is from our friend Seb:

http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.de/2...es-weekly.html


basically same count, only differences:

I think, at the al time high, we had finished 5 waves up


but after that, more or less same thinking. Sorry, not able to access charts right now.

I think we are in a complex correction down.

The wave down from the all time top is wave A

After that we are in an ongoing ABC-flat

In this ABC-flat, we had the wave A up finished

The wave B down is developing

Inside of this wave B we have wave A down, wave B as triangle, and now down in impulsive wave C


The following are my targets for the wave C:


est. max low: around 33

optimal lows:

a) 49.60-52.00

b) 46-43.40

Also opportunity may be seen at 57,34


When we play another scenario:

I think we are down in wave B. This wave B has a subwave B as triangle

When wave C would be equal to wave A, then we should buy now
  • #16,486
  • Nov 29, 2014 12:43pm Nov 29, 2014 12:43pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} this one is from our friend Seb: http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.de/2...es-weekly.html basically same count, only differences: I think, at the al time high, we had finished 5 waves up but after that, more or less same thinking. Sorry, not able to access charts right now. I think we are in a complex correction down. The wave down from the all time top is wave A After that we are in an ongoing ABC-flat In this ABC-flat, we had the wave A up finished The wave B down is developing Inside of this wave B we have wave...
50 seems like decent and very possible target on Brent. Bit weird though, oil is droping on its ass, while gas prices at least in our country stay the same hehe. Someone is sqeezing good profits, and someone is defenetly suffering.
  • #16,487
  • Nov 29, 2014 12:48pm Nov 29, 2014 12:48pm
in General:
Oil sold with $
when $ strength Oil drops.

+ now:
When Oil drops EZ inflation gets lower
when EZ inflation gets lower EU weakens
when EU weakens $ strength
when $ strength Oil Drops

Oil price drop is fueling more drop


Quoting janpec1000
{quote} 50 seems like decent and very possible target on Brent. Bit weird though, oil is droping on its ass, while gas prices at least in our country stay the same hehe. Someone is sqeezing good profits, and someone is defenetly suffering.
My Best Trade is Next Trade!
  • #16,488
  • Nov 29, 2014 3:15pm Nov 29, 2014 3:15pm
EU EW analysis

http://www.thewavetrading.com/eurusd...trend-rebound/
  • #16,489
  • Nov 29, 2014 3:49pm Nov 29, 2014 3:49pm
Quoting MAM.Trader
in General: Oil sold with $ when $ strength Oil drops. + now: When Oil drops EZ inflation gets lower when EZ inflation gets lower EU weakens when EU weakens $ strength when $ strength Oil Drops Oil price drop is fueling more drop {quote}
Nice roundup MAM Trader
  • #16,490
  • Nov 30, 2014 6:45am Nov 30, 2014 6:45am
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-1...k-popopulation
  • #16,491
  • Nov 30, 2014 6:46am Nov 30, 2014 6:46am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} 50 seems like decent and very possible target on Brent. Bit weird though, oil is droping on its ass, while gas prices at least in our country stay the same hehe. Someone is sqeezing good profits, and someone is defenetly suffering.

  • #16,492
  • Nov 30, 2014 6:47am Nov 30, 2014 6:47am
Quoting MAM.Trader
in General: Oil sold with $ when $ strength Oil drops. + now: When Oil drops EZ inflation gets lower when EZ inflation gets lower EU weakens when EU weakens $ strength when $ strength Oil Drops Oil price drop is fueling more drop {quote}


nice
  • #16,493
  • Nov 30, 2014 6:56am Nov 30, 2014 6:56am
Switzerland and Gold


http://www.wiwo.de/politik/europa/re.../11053510.html

sorry, only in German


due to some early polls, the Swiss eople may have voted against the Gold
  • #16,494
  • Nov 30, 2014 7:07am Nov 30, 2014 7:07am
EW on Gold


big picture

I strongly believe, that the very top in Gold was the end of a wave 5. This is out of momentum considerations on a log-scaled chart
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  • #16,495
  • Nov 30, 2014 7:12am Nov 30, 2014 7:12am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} this one is from our friend Seb: http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.de/2...es-weekly.html basically same count, only differences: I think, at the al time high, we had finished 5 waves up but after that, more or less same thinking. Sorry, not able to access charts right now. I think we are in a complex correction down. The wave down from the all time top is wave A After that we are in an ongoing ABC-flat In this ABC-flat, we had the wave A up finished The wave B down is developing Inside of this wave B we have wave...

EW on US Oil

weekly TF
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #16,496
  • Nov 30, 2014 8:26am Nov 30, 2014 8:26am
interesting

http://rt.com/news/209619-sunfire-water-synthetic-fuel/
  • #16,497
  • Nov 30, 2014 8:29am Nov 30, 2014 8:29am
Quoting infinitus
Switzerland and Gold http://www.wiwo.de/politik/europa/re.../11053510.html sorry, only in German due to some early polls, the Swiss eople may have voted against the Gold

http://www.tagesanzeiger.ch/schweiz/...story/11595790
  • #16,498
  • Nov 30, 2014 8:31am Nov 30, 2014 8:31am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} http://www.tagesanzeiger.ch/schweiz/...story/11595790

seems that we may be able to buy Gold cheaper
  • #16,499
  • Nov 30, 2014 8:38am Nov 30, 2014 8:38am
was surprised to note, that on some of my Gold charts there was a price of around 1470 USD. FXCM and Duka did not show that

Here is what I found:

fat-finger?

http://www.handelszeitung.ch/invest/...-finger-704828

sorry, only in German from a Swiss newspaper
  • #16,500
  • Nov 30, 2014 10:34am Nov 30, 2014 10:34am
Infinitus that gold spike was aparently computer glitch and misspricing on Comex. No fat finger, it would be otherwise defenetly differently shown on PA, and priced in everywhere.

As for your count on gold i am aiming the same, we will see now 1k on gold soon, as Swiss voted no.
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