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  • #61
  • Nov 12, 2014 7:10am Nov 12, 2014 7:10am
Quoting SamKent
GBP/USD Breakout Trade The GBP is at the center of attention today with some important news coming out as well as BoE Governor Carney Speech. The pair looks to be in the process of breaking to the upside, and we're buyers on a breakout, aiming for the 1.6 highs, with a stop just below the 1.5900 handle, making for solid r&r. We'd be following momentum as well on this trade, since it is aimed at being short-term, a significant cool down in momentum could make us exit early. {image}
The Cable was still in bearish bias, check out my analysis here and the confirmation of the trade, here.
  • #62
  • Nov 13, 2014 2:49am Nov 13, 2014 2:49am
NZD/USD BREAKOUT

The NZD/USD has officially broken out from the long term descending trend-line on the 4H, this on the back of a highly impulsive bullish wave with 8 consecutive buying candles. We're buyers, entered at the break of the hammer candle which formed on the back of the trend-line role reversal support. Our current target is the 0.800 psychological highs with our stop just below the trend-line and hammer, making for superb r&r.
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  • #63
  • Nov 13, 2014 3:17am Nov 13, 2014 3:17am
AUD/NZD Breakout (pullback) Plan
The AUD/NZD is currently testing the long term ascending trend-line. Our estimate is that the pair will indeed break down, in which case we should have 2 reasonable alternatives:
(1) short the breakout of the trend-line, aiming initially towards the 1.09600 lows.
(2) wait for price to pull back towards the descending trend-line and short the pair there
We think both options are positive in expected value terms, they are really a matter of style, the more aggressive traders should opt for the (1), while the more conservative can opt for (2).
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  • #64
  • Nov 13, 2014 5:44am Nov 13, 2014 5:44am
EUR/USD Testing Resistance
The EUR/USD has been building some bullish momentum recently. The pair now sits at the bottom of a thick kumo, as well as at the descending trend-line resistance level. Our fundamental bias for the pair is still bearish, so we're interested sellers. We will, however, require some bearish confirmation prior to going short. What we're looking for at the moment is a break down from the kumo, breaking the kijun and the RSI ascending trend-line in the process. On such a break we'd be short the market, with a stop just above the 61.8% which has held recently, as well as the top of the future kumo.
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  • #65
  • Nov 13, 2014 6:54am Nov 13, 2014 6:54am
AUD/USD Kumo Breakout Pullback Plan
The AUD/USD has broken the kumo to the upside on the 4H chart. The pair is on a very impulsive bullish run up but does seem a bit overextended. Therefore, we'd be looking for price to trade up to around the 0.87775 handle and then correct back to the kumo flat top, which lies at around 0.87250, which coincides with a 50% correction of this bullish sequence. If price acts accordingly, it should also stay within the ascending trend-line, and would consequently make us interested buyers of this market, aiming towards the 0.88400 area.
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  • #66
  • Nov 13, 2014 7:27am Nov 13, 2014 7:27am
Keeping a close eye on Oil
Looking at the longer term chart on the price of oil, we can see that this current massive crash in the price of oil is fast approaching a significant support level. This coupled with historical amount of bearish momentum is enough to communicate to us that some corrective bull wave is probable. We're not looking to buy this support level, we are however very interested in seeing how the coming weeks will fare for oil, given it can have very significant impact on the global economy. For the purpose of trading such a bounce, we would rather short the USD/CAD rather than long oil itself.
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  • #67
  • Nov 16, 2014 5:32am Nov 16, 2014 5:32am
Dollar Index and Oil Weekly outlook Nov. 16-21
http://www.investingacademy.co.uk/en...ook-nov-16-21/
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  • #68
  • Nov 16, 2014 6:24am Nov 16, 2014 6:24am
EUR/USD Simple Range Trade Plan

A typical example for a simplistic range trade on the EUR/USD. The pair is trading at resistance, has formed a nice looking shooting star after 4 strong bull candles. Our signified entry, coupled with stop and profit make for a solid 2.5 risk:reward, risking 40 pips to win 100.
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  • #69
  • Nov 17, 2014 3:46am Nov 17, 2014 3:46am
AUD/USD Pullback Buying Plan
The AUD/USD has been trending higher with a very well defined structure. As we can see in the highlighted sections, the pair seems to find enough buyers for the continuation of the bull trend at the 61.8% fib retrace alongside the 35 RSI area. Therefore, our current plan of action on the pair is to wait for another such opportunity, we're looking for confluence between the 61.8% fib around the 0.8700 handle, coupled with the ascending channel trend-line support, and finally we'd like to see RSI at around the 35 level.
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  • #70
  • Nov 18, 2014 4:33am Nov 18, 2014 4:33am
USD/CAD Long Opportunity
The USD/CAD is looking to trigger a bullish entry for us on the 1H chart. We're looking at the 61.8% support continually holding up thus far, coupled with a slight bullish RSI divergence, an cross-back from oversold stochastic in an overall bull market, and finally a potential upward break of a descending trend-line. Due to all these reasons, we're interested shorter term buyers, looking for a move up towards the triangle's descending trend-line.
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  • #71
  • Nov 18, 2014 5:37am Nov 18, 2014 5:37am
EUR/GBP Long at Support Plan
Looking at the 1H chart, we can see the pair seems to be consolidating after a highly impulsive bull move. We're looking to find an entry point with a tight enough stop, so that we may benefit if the pair ends up continuing the bull move with another impulsive move. Our current plan is to enter the market at the established support zone around 0.7955, with a 30 pip stop just below the previous consolidation zone at around 0.7925. The general plan with this kind of trade is to trail our stop while keeping an eye out for fading momentum indications, so that we may capitalize on the majority of the next bullish impulsive wave.
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  • #72
  • Nov 18, 2014 8:52pm Nov 18, 2014 8:52pm
Hey Sam.. I like what you have going on... would you like to expand and set up a training center in the UAE (theres alot of potential there) with my connection i can see to it that all licensing is smoothly approved and when we are successful with the training sch... we can introducr a brokerage or whitelabel and ecn in the future... Kindly get back to me shortly!
  • #73
  • Nov 19, 2014 2:43am Nov 19, 2014 2:43am
EUR/USD shorting plan
The EUR/USD is in the midst of a corrective bull move following the big impulsive bear move. Therefore, our plan should be to look for a short entry to rejoin the overall trend in time for another bearish impulsive sequence. Looking at current price action, we can see the 50% retrace of the latest impulsive move has held up, this coupled with an overall descending triangle formation and a well defined support and resistance zone are enough to make us interested sellers. A break of the RSI ascending trend-line and price ascending trend-line will be strong confirmation and a good reason to move the stop to break-even. Our basic trading plan is outlined on the chart: entry short at 1.2575, with a 45 pip stop at 1.2610, and a 175 pip profit target at 1.2400. This simple trade has a risk:reward ratio of close to 4 to 1. The alternate option of trailing our stop is very viable with this type of trade as it is a clear with-the-trend trade.
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  • #74
  • Nov 19, 2014 2:58am Nov 19, 2014 2:58am
EUR/GBP Pullback Entry Plan
The EUR/GBP has broken through resistance and is now in the midst of another bullish sequence. We're interested in buying the pair on a pullback towards equilibrium. With that in mind, looking at the technical outlook, we're interested buyers at the point of confluence between the 0.800 round number and previous resistance area, the recent ascending trend-line, the kumo cloud and kijun sen, and finally the 60 RSI area. If these criteria are indeed met we're buyers, with a tight stop just below the kumo cloud.
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  • #75
  • Nov 19, 2014 3:11am Nov 19, 2014 3:11am
Hi poseikwame

I'd like to discuss your idea further, so please leave your contact details at our site http://www.investingacademy.co.uk/en...vanced-course/
you can also email me at [email protected]

Cheers and good day,
Sam
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  • #76
  • Nov 19, 2014 3:41am Nov 19, 2014 3:41am
GBP/NZD 1H Analysis
The GBP/NZD is in the process of a corrective bull move, following a highly impulsive bear move. As can be seen, recent price action has been very bullish indeed, with overbought readings on RSI and Stochastics. The overall picture is still bearish though, with the recent bullishness forming a flag continuation pattern and being corrective in nature. With this in mind, we're looking for the support and resistance zone, coupled with the 38.2-50 fib area, and finally we'd be looking for some momentum failure and/or some candlestick confirmation. Our entry should be at a point of confluence between these factors, with a fairly tight stop and a large reward in mind as is the case with trading with the trend and using the impulsive-corrective-impulsive probable sequence.
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  • #77
  • Nov 20, 2014 2:31am Nov 20, 2014 2:31am
GBP/CAD 1H wave price analysis
The GBP/CAD is in a somewhat bullish momentum as of late, however, looking at the bigger picture we're liking this pair for a short setup. As can be seen on the chart, we're looking at recent price action as a 5 wave corrective bull sequence within a bigger 5 wave bearish sequence. Our current estimate is that the pair may indeed break higher, which could trigger a short entry for us at a well defined support and resistance level, which coincides with the 38.2 fib of the overall move downwards. Our stop will be just above the latest swing high at around the 1.7900 handle, looking for a concluding bearish impulse.
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  • #78
  • Nov 20, 2014 3:55am Nov 20, 2014 3:55am
EUR/AUD potential trend reversal
We're looking at EUR/AUD for a potential for a significant trend reversal. The overall price structure seems to imply that the another bearish impulse may be on the way. We'd like to see a break of the recent lows, coupled with a break of the kijun sen to the downside. This will trigger a short position for us, with a stop around the 50% retrace of the recent big selling candle. Our plan with this trade is to follow price action and momentum, and to see how the pair does when it enters the cloud. If the selling power is unconvincing we will try to find suitable exits from our position, given the trading idea is one of significant impulsive bearishness which ought to be backed by momentum. This kind of trade is of course very risky, and so it is advisable to think about taking a smaller lot size than your usual, or scaling in to the position in some manner.
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  • #79
  • Nov 20, 2014 4:41am Nov 20, 2014 4:41am
USD/CAD potential shorting opportunity
The USD/CAD is trading within a descending channel formation. It is currently around the resistance levels, and so our current bias is bearish. The 50% retrace seems to be holding up thus far, and we're looking for a simple trade with the direction of the channel. The trade will be based upon a break of the internal ascending trend-line, a break of the 50 RSI equilibrium to the downside, and finally a break of the 50 SMA to the downside. Our current trading plan carries around a 2.5 to 1 risk:reward ratio. It should be noted, that our longer term outlook for the pair is still bullish, so this trade is not about staying in the market for a prolonged period, rather just about looking for shorter term entry and exit.
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  • #80
  • Nov 20, 2014 5:14am Nov 20, 2014 5:14am
Quoting SamKent
GBP/CAD 1H wave price analysis The GBP/CAD is in a somewhat bullish momentum as of late, however, looking at the bigger picture we're liking this pair for a short setup. As can be seen on the chart, we're looking at recent price action as a 5 wave corrective bull sequence within a bigger 5 wave bearish sequence. Our current estimate is that the pair may indeed break higher, which could trigger a short entry for us at a well defined support and resistance level, which coincides with the 38.2 fib of the overall move downwards. Our stop will be just...
I am not a very good Elliot analist but the upside movement could go even further, Elliotically speaking, because the 4-wave could run just under the zone of the 2-wave zone. The beggining of the 2-wave is 1.7940 not 1.7900. But, yet again, the 1.79 it's reasonable conservative. Also, as an observation, this leg looks far too strong to be a forth leg of the bearish impulse. Looks like the bearish downturn has finnished for now and develops and 5-3-5 corection of some sort and now is developing A-wave of an zig-zag or something simillar.

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