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vsa with Malcolm

  • #25,741
  • Nov 4, 2014 9:58am Nov 4, 2014 9:58am
so we had BO from range...as always we have got signal before it happens look closely for m15 graph, we have got SC = selling climax bar right on the bottom of our range, also we had SV = stopping volume just before selling climax.... that was clear signal to go long

we tested that CV = climatix volume bar from morning on m30 with another selling climax....cant be better

that problems I mentioned at morning were real...we should normally dropped down after that buying climaxes + news but we didnt move, 2496-7 (2502 futures level) was held, it is massive h12 level from 3rd october
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  • #25,742
  • Nov 4, 2014 11:04am Nov 4, 2014 11:04am
bigger picture....though m30

CV = climatix volume
ND= no demand
BC = buying climax
SCI = supply coming in....with that Ultra H volume it could be BC

so what's my point....we are now at same level as we had last big Buying climax + ND signal and we dropped down 2581-2593 zone
if we cant manage to close atleast with m30/h1 above these levels we will go back down....

it is same system as today, but now for sellers....we just arrived with price and made climax to previous climax/supply zone....2581 was good place for sell in my opinion
if someone has another opinion please write it down....just thinking loudly

levels are for futures....for spot just go -6
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  • #25,743
  • Nov 4, 2014 11:27am Nov 4, 2014 11:27am
ok here is big picture....h12 "playground" for last 2 months

was quiet easy during september and october, we will see what will be in november

edit: leves are 2842 for buying climax, and 2627-2502 for selling climax (also NFP bar)
all levels I am using are from climatix volume bars...you can see that they are played for long time in future
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  • #25,744
  • Nov 4, 2014 12:00pm Nov 4, 2014 12:00pm
for E-mini fans

I am still holding longs

SO=shakeout
SC=selling climax
look at that massive volume....
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  • #25,745
  • Nov 5, 2014 2:11am Nov 5, 2014 2:11am
so night was played according to book...as I said 2581 (2575 for spot) was great place for short....in Asia we even had buying climax to near these level so we could shorted it again

for now...m15 m30 showed some shakeouts and climatix bars...h1 is forming selling climax bar (PSC)
it could go still lower, watching what will happen here

we are sitting now on yesterday's resists/top of the range...we need now tests for no supply for longs
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  • #25,746
  • Edited 5:48am Nov 5, 2014 5:36am | Edited 5:48am
so we didnt see any testing of supply at all...so we just dropped down to last bull chance, 2484 (2489 futures)

we made 2x shakeouts on h1....without tests of no supply or stopping volume on levels of shakeouts I am not gonna long it....

edit: here is h4 look + important levels

1,2 = gotcha bars....I think you know what is that
so you can see that we are on low of the last gotcha bar...if this level will be broken we will drop like hell

also there is easy to spot why we dropped at night....supply coming in + no demand on previous support now resist
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  • #25,747
  • Nov 5, 2014 6:34am Nov 5, 2014 6:34am
I would like to share something with you...one of the biggest manipulations at market....it was one day before(28.10.2014) FOMC meeting and before that mega drop on EU and mega raise on USD

last time we saw that kind of volume on u/j was 03/2007....for EU it was 07/2012
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  • #25,748
  • Nov 5, 2014 7:25am Nov 5, 2014 7:25am
Quoting icantmilk
so we didnt see any testing of supply at all...so we just dropped down to last bull chance, 2484 (2489 futures) we made 2x shakeouts on h1....without tests of no supply or stopping volume on levels of shakeouts I am not gonna long it.... edit: here is h4 look + important levels 1,2 = gotcha bars....I think you know what is that so you can see that we are on low of the last gotcha bar...if this level will be broken we will drop like hell also there is easy to spot why we dropped at night....supply coming in + no demand on previous support now resist...
Nice work. Thanks for sharing.
Without VSA, you're playing checkers while the Smart Money plays chess.
  • #25,749
  • Nov 5, 2014 10:35am Nov 5, 2014 10:35am
Quoting HiddenGap
{quote} Nice work. Thanks for sharing.
no problem

I would like to see this forum again full of ppl and VSA traders in future....we will see
gonna post here daily


about trades: I am flat, I closed 70% from my shorts....for now. We have more shakeouts on lower TFs, and also m5 showing some tests there...but also we have also tons of supply from 2508 (2502 spot) level :/

and what is most important....my hull is still red, even m5 cant get green for longer time....If I was aggresive trader I would go long from these levels...definetly some buying from m30 and h1 but I am going to wait for better setup and hull should be green/white atleast on m5 m15 m30 for me

main trend is still down...
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  • #25,750
  • Nov 5, 2014 8:30pm Nov 5, 2014 8:30pm
Quoting HiddenGap
{quote} Nice work. Thanks for sharing.
I saw that you made a posting on the gold thread. Just curious if you trade gold futures?

I moved to futures a few months ago, they seem more straight forward, I dunno.
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  • #25,751
  • Nov 5, 2014 8:52pm Nov 5, 2014 8:52pm
Inserted Video
  • #25,752
  • Nov 5, 2014 11:33pm Nov 5, 2014 11:33pm
Quoting SimpleDev
{quote} I saw that you made a posting on the gold thread. Just curious if you trade gold futures? I moved to futures a few months ago, they seem more straight forward, I dunno. {image}
No. I don't trade gold futures, yet. It's been an interesting market to watch. I do think I will try it soon.

Here's an interesting chart.

We have just seen the first "Effort to Rise", or Buying Aggression bar since October 28th (60 minute chart).
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Without VSA, you're playing checkers while the Smart Money plays chess.
  • #25,753
  • Nov 5, 2014 11:58pm Nov 5, 2014 11:58pm
After seeing SimpleDev's chart with absorption volume, just thought this was a good example of Pushing thru Supply.
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  • #25,754
  • Nov 6, 2014 1:30am Nov 6, 2014 1:30am
Quoting icantmilk
{quote} no problem I would like to see this forum again full of ppl and VSA traders in future....we will see gonna post here daily about trades: I am flat, I closed 70% from my shorts....for now. We have more shakeouts on lower TFs, and also m5 showing some tests there...but also we have also tons of supply from 2508 (2502 spot) level :/ and what is most important....my hull is still red, even m5 cant get green for longer time....If I was aggresive trader I would go long from these levels...definetly some buying from m30 and h1...
sooooo...aggresive traders got their longs done....also non aggresive but during asia, we finally saw test of no supplty and a lot of SV = stopping volumes
target or TP was level of last buying climax from 4.11.2014...and we reached that to the pip....
now we are waiting for LO, and I would definetly wait for pull back to levels 2508 maybe 2489 to see tests or SV to load longs....
last hint - check daily graph...we can see clearly SOS on that down bar and next was kind of SV bar...it is rare signal btw

SO= shakeout
CV = climatix volume
DEF. = definetlly buyers

supply zone = 2595-2581
demand zone = 2477-2489

ps: I didnt take that long coz I was sleeping :'( thinking about staying awake during night...second day asia gave top signal
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  • #25,755
  • Edited 1:57am Nov 6, 2014 1:43am | Edited 1:57am
here is Daily...SOS= signs of strenght....real name is strenght coming in, it is rare signal

then one up and next is down on increased volume...looks like stopping volume to me and if we managed to have up day today we are on good way to bounce upside more

my view and opinion

dont look at that mega purple volume that was manipulation on markets....lol
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  • #25,756
  • Nov 6, 2014 8:11am Nov 6, 2014 8:11am
Quoting icantmilk
{quote} sooooo...aggresive traders got their longs done....also non aggresive but during asia, we finally saw test of no supplty and a lot of SV = stopping volumes target or TP was level of last buying climax from 4.11.2014...and we reached that to the pip.... now we are waiting for LO, and I would definetly wait for pull back to levels 2508 maybe 2489 to see tests or SV to load longs.... last hint - check daily graph...we can see clearly SOS on that down bar and next was kind of SV bar...it is rare signal btw SO= shakeout...
sorry, had a lot of work to do and stuff...

ok what happened today...I went long as I said, on 2509 (2503 spot) level - we had stopping volume on m30 there, I managed to get +22 from that, I closed it because of that m30/m15 sort of Upthrust(on increased volume = sellers in BC zone)
as you can see we couldnt close next 3 m30 bars above that BC(buying climax) level 2533, and it was on increased volume.... so this means only one thing = major weakness from failed Breaout of top

I had still some shorts opened from last days (I closed only 70% from them, I mentioned it yesterday), so I didnt add more today, just closed my longs

main trend still down...
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  • #25,757
  • Nov 6, 2014 9:04am Nov 6, 2014 9:04am
Current chart. A long trade may be setting up.
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Without VSA, you're playing checkers while the Smart Money plays chess.
  • #25,758
  • Nov 6, 2014 9:10am Nov 6, 2014 9:10am
Quoting HiddenGap
Current chart. A long trade may be setting up. {image}
hey there

I sent you PM..thanks for reply
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  • #25,759
  • Nov 6, 2014 9:23am Nov 6, 2014 9:23am
Quoting HiddenGap
Current chart. A long trade may be setting up. {image}
really?
  • #25,760
  • Nov 6, 2014 10:32am Nov 6, 2014 10:32am
Quoting HiddenGap
Current chart. A long trade may be setting up. {image}
Set up did not happen. Do you know why?
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