Macroeconomic and Geopolitical context in Trading

+1 on this! I'll have a look at those links

Well, I said that was going to be a "short and low detailed story", LOL.
I tried to focus in making a little introduction, but I'll read the book you are telling me.
In fact, it would be great if you open a Thread explaining "The origins of money"; it's a really interesting subject!

Kind regards to everybody,
MarketFox.-

Well, considering that the origins of money is not my field of expertise I would happily forward you the actual book by David Graeber. Although I've read a bit on this topic I don't consider myself knowledgeable enough to start a thread. Besides, my physical copy of the book along with the highlighted pages is in my previous home ... For anyone interested in this topic, check out the articles and perhaps the book itself if you have the time.

Hi to everybody!

Came here to let you know that I'm working in another report for this post; It's not abandoned!

MarketFox.-

Well, it seems that "that Russia/China alliance that it wasn't going to work" it's happening.

On the other hand, Russia was pushed out from the SWIFT and started developing their own international transactions system.

China keeps buying tons and tons of Gold. Why? Gold Standard already was proved wrong for economy expansion.

I have a lot of subjects to talk about, but I want to know what you guys think.
MF.-

For sake of someone ( yes you Mr MarketFox =) ) whom I highly value his opinion regarding the markets, I've decided to post a little.



Recently I met someone who claims to have a very good working fundamental based strategy. The basic gist is that he says that there is a chain and flow of 'events' of how the overall markets work, something close to inter-market analysis on a macro scale. It might be close to what you had in your 1st post of this thread according to my understanding. When I re-read your post, what he's trying to explain to me became a little more clearer.

Yet there must be a difference between him and you, which I do want to find out, not that I do not value your work or his. I am only stating what I understand from him and want a 2nd opinion, without any judgment from me. I want to come from a scientific and rational POV.

I am not convinced by him and his methodology, perhaps thats not my style. I do understand where is he trying to come from. He has been trading for the last 15 years. He insists the 'chain of events' will work and has been short on S&P, saying there will be a crash soon around September and banking on US to fall. On a minimal, he wants to see a 10 to 30% correction, assuming on a monthly chart. I don't know what indicators he use on a technical level thou. On a personal level, I wish him well and that he is correct. On a professional level, I did tell him that I would cut losses and be long if I am him, yet its all right that its his choice. From there, I leave him to be, because I admit I did still learn something from him and that led me back to your thread again.

Yet I am convinced by your work here. When I look at my own work and the daily/weekly/monthly charts, I do understand that some amount of decision making based off the macro fundamental side of things can be helpful. e.g. Ray Barros's style; http://tradingsuccess.com/blog/funda...trader-68.html. Ray Barros : Technical where entry and exit of the trade is concerned. Fundamental and Technical where the context and perspective to the trade is concerned.


I am amusingly confused, because my style is very very technical and short term. It is very successful, but I do want to find a very practical way to infuse fundamentals into it. I do not wish to trade without considering this valid side of the markets. Other than understanding the role of SNB, I am honest I have theoretically reasonable overall understanding and yet clueless on a practical level. I do have an idea that may work... seeing 'the market is a warzone' and such information within a 'the warzone and its players' context is helpful. These players have their motivations to 'defend certain zones on certain charts' and 'attack certain zones on certain charts', which translates roughly to some kind of technicals.

What is the difference between him and you, really? *scratches head* perhaps its in my head.



Note : I am not back.

After you boil down the fluff....markets are driven by two things...search for return, and fear.....knowing what cycle you are in will tell you where you need to be in the marketplace....looking for 1 announcement or 1 event to turn a currency around happens very very rarely. Patterns that form on the charts tell me most of what I need to know on how to trade, the other thing I want to know most of the time is what side are the commercials on and what side are the retail traders on...if my pattern coincides with the commercials and the most pain possible inflicted in the market is the same.....I'm trading.......