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  • #5,461
  • Oct 17, 2014 10:06am Oct 17, 2014 10:06am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I did a 10/31 / Nov $54/$56 call spread for $0.08 credit
I will try to do something on EWZ and / or PBR next week.

Wow... just look at the volume of PBR Nov $22 calls... 106k so far - will look at the option chains, this is probably a part of some spread.

Next week is just FULL of big names ER's... will be interesting.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #5,462
  • Oct 17, 2014 10:34am Oct 17, 2014 10:34am
Quoting StrayDog
{quote} I will try to do something on EWZ and / or PBR next week. Wow... just look at the volume of PBR Nov $22 calls... 106k so far - will look at the option chains, this is probably a part of some spread. Next week is just FULL of big names ER's... will be interesting.
yeah I saw a big PBR $20/$22 spread go thru, can't open ToS now, think it was ~35,000 - I think a debit spread for Nov, will look at those tonight. I am not sure what may happen next week - i.v. may just keep rising for EWZ, PBR, etc, so spreads may be just as good. The expectation is that the 10/31 options iv will crash, since the runoff results will be out 10/27 early. But what if it's too close to call? idk, we'll see after next week.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,463
  • Oct 17, 2014 11:23am Oct 17, 2014 11:23am
taking a high risk trade on Facebook this late in to the session, i'm thinking we could see the indexes fall in the last hour of trading which would outline how strong this bear is so I took FB long put $74.50 for today expiry at 8c or $8 per contract.

the option is trading between 7-11c a few moments ago, it may get cheaper

Facebook, Inc. (FB)
-NasdaqGS
74.96 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/up_g.gif 2.33(3.21%) 7:14PM GMT+01:00 - Nasdaq Real Time Price

FB Oct 2014 74.500 put (FB141018P00074500)
-OPR
0.11 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 1.70(93.92%)
  • #5,464
  • Oct 17, 2014 12:08pm Oct 17, 2014 12:08pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
taking a high risk trade on Facebook this late in to the session, i'm thinking we could see the indexes fall in the last hour of trading which would outline how strong this bear is so I took FB long put $74.50 for today expiry at 8c or $8 per contract. the option is trading between 7-11c a few moments ago, it may get cheaper Facebook, Inc. (FB) -NasdaqGS 74.96 {image} 2.33(3.21%) 7:14PM GMT+01:00 - Nasdaq Real Time Price FB Oct 2014 74.500 put (FB141018P00074500) -OPR 0.11 {image} 1.70(93.92%)
Hey CG - I think you might be right regarding the indexes falling prior to close....it has been a nice rally but not sure if it will hold and it looks like spx is starting to pull back a bit. I'm keeping close eye on the indexes in the last 30 minutes and might sell some futures depending on how much higher they can ramp up in the next 20 minutes....

Good luck on the trade....
  • #5,465
  • Oct 17, 2014 12:13pm Oct 17, 2014 12:13pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
taking a high risk trade on Facebook this late in to the session, i'm thinking we could see the indexes fall in the last hour of trading which would outline how strong this bear is so I took FB long put $74.50 for today expiry at 8c or $8 per contract. the option is trading between 7-11c a few moments ago, it may get cheaper Facebook, Inc. (FB) -NasdaqGS 74.96 {image} 2.33(3.21%) 7:14PM GMT+01:00 - Nasdaq Real Time Price FB Oct 2014 74.500 put (FB141018P00074500) -OPR 0.11 {image} 1.70(93.92%)
FB hangin' tuff. The last few weeks have been a stress test for stawks. If you want to find the strongest names and perhaps those that stand to gain the most in (yet another) bull market, look for the ones that came through the selloff relatively unscathed.

I think the Fed has its work cut out - it needs to keep the jawbone working re: taking the foot off the taper pedal and then actually follow thru with that talk on 10/29. Just one more ebola pandemic scare headline away from another leg down, though...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,466
  • Oct 17, 2014 12:32pm Oct 17, 2014 12:32pm
^VIX not coming off like I thought it would, though, but I guess it will take several days of S&P upside running to put a hole in it. I want to see 15 next week.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,467
  • Oct 17, 2014 12:35pm Oct 17, 2014 12:35pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
taking a high risk trade on Facebook this late in to the session, i'm thinking we could see the indexes fall in the last hour of trading which would outline how strong this bear is so I took FB long put $74.50 for today expiry at 8c or $8 per contract. the option is trading between 7-11c a few moments ago, it may get cheaper Facebook, Inc. (FB) -NasdaqGS 74.96 {image} 2.33(3.21%) 7:14PM GMT+01:00 - Nasdaq Real Time Price FB Oct 2014 74.500 put (FB141018P00074500) -OPR 0.11 {image} 1.70(93.92%)
its not gonna happen today, will lose on this trade, now wating toi see if the DOW closes above the 50 day on the weekly chart set at 16495
  • #5,468
  • Oct 17, 2014 12:39pm Oct 17, 2014 12:39pm
Quoting njr
{quote} Hey CG - I think you might be right regarding the indexes falling prior to close....it has been a nice rally but not sure if it will hold and it looks like spx is starting to pull back a bit. I'm keeping close eye on the indexes in the last 30 minutes and might sell some futures depending on how much higher they can ramp up in the next 20 minutes.... Good luck on the trade....
16609 is the area just above the 200 day on the daily chart that will test the bulls or will the bears win
  • #5,469
  • Oct 17, 2014 12:51pm Oct 17, 2014 12:51pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} 16609 is the area just above the 200 day on the daily chart that will test the bulls or will the bears win
well, I think they were shooting for 1800 +/- and they almost got it. Flash crash action on 10/15 was too scary, we need cookies and punch.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,470
  • Oct 17, 2014 12:55pm Oct 17, 2014 12:55pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} well, I think they were shooting for 1800 +/- and they almost got it. Flash crash action on 10/15 was too scary, we need cookies and punch.
just checked the weekly $SPX and the 50 day is at 1888.41 and price on SPX is 1887.75. Very interesting to watch this close
  • #5,471
  • Oct 17, 2014 12:55pm Oct 17, 2014 12:55pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} well, I think they were shooting for 1800 +/- and they almost got it. Flash crash action on 10/15 was too scary, we need cookies and punch.
I'd like to see some more action like we did this week. Vol is great at the moment and the large intraday swings are also great to make money from. I guess it'll be a battle between ebola, ISIS, Ukraine, China slowdown, technical levels of support/resistance, us earnings and data points. Let's see who wins....

Have a good weekend all...
  • #5,472
  • Oct 17, 2014 12:56pm Oct 17, 2014 12:56pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} just checked the weekly $SPX and the 50 day is at 1888.41 and price on SPX is 1887.75. Very interesting to watch this close
1888.44 now
  • #5,473
  • Oct 17, 2014 1:00pm Oct 17, 2014 1:00pm
Quoting njr
{quote} I'd like to see some more action like we did this week. Vol is great at the moment and the large intraday swings are also great to make money from. I guess it'll be a battle between ebola, ISIS, Ukraine, China slowdown, technical levels of support/resistance, us earnings and data points. Let's see who wins.... Have a good weekend all...
Have a good one njr, CG, et al. Been a good week, looking forward to forgetting about the markets for a while....ciao.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,474
  • Oct 17, 2014 1:01pm Oct 17, 2014 1:01pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} just checked the weekly $SPX and the 50 day is at 1888.41 and price on SPX is 1887.75. Very interesting to watch this close
closed beneath the 50 day on the weekly, signals bear strength to me

S&P 500 (^GSPC)
-SNP
1,886.59 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/up_g.gif 23.83(1.28%) 9:00PM GMT+01:00
  • #5,475
  • Oct 17, 2014 1:04pm Oct 17, 2014 1:04pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} closed beneath the 50 day on the weekly, signals bear strength to me S&P 500 (^GSPC) -SNP 1,886.59 {image} 23.83(1.28%) 9:00PM GMT+01:00
lol, watch the after hours, big dog like to sneak in there on opex Friday....bet it runs up...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,476
  • Oct 17, 2014 2:18pm Oct 17, 2014 2:18pm
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/frigid...143047674.html

I think so. I have been looking at the wooly bears this fall and they are extra wooly. UNG could make a run above $25 by late winter...
Attached Image
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,477
  • Oct 17, 2014 7:49pm Oct 17, 2014 7:49pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} yeah I saw a big PBR $20/$22 spread go thru, can't open ToS now, think it was ~35,000 - I think a debit spread for Nov, will look at those tonight. I am not sure what may happen next week - i.v. may just keep rising for EWZ, PBR, etc, so spreads may be just as good. The expectation is that the 10/31 options iv will crash, since the runoff results will be out 10/27 early. But what if it's too close to call? idk, we'll see after next week.
here are top options trades for the day for PBR. $20/$22 Nov bull call debit spread was pretty popular down the line for PBR. It's a bet that Neves wins the runoff in Brazil and that PBR move up to $21.xx. That's a good trade, spectacular roi IF it works out, small loss if it does not.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-10-PBRTS.png Size: 49 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,478
  • Oct 18, 2014 4:38am Oct 18, 2014 4:38am
dear mr. Rich.

thank you for your support.

yes i am not tading options, it was binary options.

sorry for the rude reply i did in my last week as i was thinking that the thread posts were about the binary options.

no hard feeling my friends...... wishing you happy and fruitful trading

yours thankfuly

samer
GUYS BE AWARE FROM HUNTING YOUR STOP LOSSES BY YOUR BROKER & BY "GHOSTS"
  • #5,479
  • Oct 18, 2014 5:51am Oct 18, 2014 5:51am
Quoting Samer1970
dear mr. Rich. thank you for your support.
no worries at all, Samer - Happy Trading.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,480
  • Oct 18, 2014 6:18am Oct 18, 2014 6:18am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} no worries at all, Samer - Happy Trading.

GUYS BE AWARE FROM HUNTING YOUR STOP LOSSES BY YOUR BROKER & BY "GHOSTS"
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