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Oktoberfest Nightclub

  • #7,681
  • Oct 9, 2014 2:47pm Oct 9, 2014 2:47pm
Quoting mrcreosote
Just found some unlucky traders after today's rout on DAX {image}
Do we drop ugly on DAX ??????

SP500 drop below 2 year channel

i'm still short on DAX since 9877
  • #7,682
  • Oct 9, 2014 2:52pm Oct 9, 2014 2:52pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} Do we drop ugly on DAX ?????? SP500 drop below 2 year channel i'm still short on DAX since 9877
THE END!
  • #7,683
  • Oct 9, 2014 2:58pm Oct 9, 2014 2:58pm
Quoting mrcreosote
Just found some unlucky traders after today's rout on DAX {image}
would'nt be surpriced to see a turn here

GER30 D1:
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Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #7,684
  • Oct 9, 2014 4:07pm Oct 9, 2014 4:07pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} take your fibo tool and count this wave down with clear fibo targets and post me how we can say it's a impulsive wave down! without schöncounting {image}
I can not use calculations based on EW, because I do not have rehearsed.
I use FIBO settings Asian session. Sometimes it comes pretty well, but your calculations and analysis are excellent. I would love to teach it something new.
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  • #7,685
  • Oct 10, 2014 12:45am Oct 10, 2014 12:45am
Moin.

is this already schöncounting?
I think it's okay.
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  • #7,686
  • Oct 10, 2014 2:37am Oct 10, 2014 2:37am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} The mid worked, and I'm slapping my head because I didn't take the obvious short... setting up 1.424 {image}
Decisiontime now, no close above the mofu, but a first little break.

Attached Image
Fail better.
  • #7,687
  • Oct 10, 2014 3:03am Oct 10, 2014 3:03am
EA: got a close above 4510, I like it.
UJ: nice hourly candle, but would have liked a close above 108.18
AU: trying to long at 8712.
Fail better.
  • #7,688
  • Oct 10, 2014 4:01am Oct 10, 2014 4:01am
Quoting LarryDarrell
AU: trying to long at 8712.
Attached Image
Fail better.
  • #7,689
  • Oct 10, 2014 5:34am Oct 10, 2014 5:34am
AUD/USD long term,

looks like an H&S Pattern to me with broken and retested Neckline, will play longs only for bounces overall PA is down for me.
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just do it
  • #7,690
  • Oct 10, 2014 6:23am Oct 10, 2014 6:23am
Quoting thodie
AUD/USD long term, looks like an H&S Pattern to me with broken and retested Neckline, will play longs only for bounces overall PA is down for me. {image}
I agree about the overall picture, but that's monthly. There is a target at 0.83, but I'll nevertheless try and play for 1.0x if the opportunity arrises. Not sure about today... . Wouldn't call it a very convincing move .
Fail better.
  • #7,691
  • Oct 10, 2014 6:33am Oct 10, 2014 6:33am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} I agree about the overall picture, but that's monthly. There is a target at 0.83, but I'll nevertheless try and play for 1.0x if the opportunity arrises. Not sure about today... . Wouldn't call it a very convincing move .
seems there are not much buyers around, watching .8700 area

GL
just do it
  • #7,692
  • Oct 10, 2014 6:39am Oct 10, 2014 6:39am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} {image}
There is demand on weekly and monthly, so it could pan out.
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #7,693
  • Oct 10, 2014 7:29am Oct 10, 2014 7:29am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} {image}
and s/o.
Fail better.
  • #7,694
  • Oct 10, 2014 7:30am Oct 10, 2014 7:30am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} and s/o.


I guess the times where they did not short Aussie on Friday are over too ... E/A has been marching, I do not want to be short there right now, but at some point the shorts there have to be juicy with overall down trend ...
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #7,695
  • Oct 13, 2014 1:20am Oct 13, 2014 1:20am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} and s/o.
bastards...


I might entertain some longs at 8665 and risk 8650, whats your view today?
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #7,696
  • Oct 13, 2014 1:28am Oct 13, 2014 1:28am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} bastards... I might entertain some longs at 8665 and risk 8650, whats your view today?
Good morning. I've got nothing on AU atm. Ironically I had a signal at 8652, but I was not around and to be honest wouldn't have taken it anyway, sunday nights...
With 8733 being respected on the short side, I am not optimistic for a long, and I read something about the chinese closing their coal market for the Aussis, have to dig deeper. That would not be a good sign fundamentally.
Fail better.
  • #7,697
  • Oct 13, 2014 1:33am Oct 13, 2014 1:33am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Good morning. I've got nothing on AU atm. Ironically I had a signal at 8652, but I was not around and to be honest wouldn't have taken it anyway, sunday nights... With 8733 being respected on the short side, I am not optimistic for a long, and I read something about the chinese closing their coal market for the Aussis, have to dig deeper. That would not be a good sign fundamentally.

yea, some new tariffs I think I saw...I'm not completely crazy about this aussie either, and quite honestly I hope to see something better develop elsewhere...I see something in EURJPY also, support around the 135.75/80, or further down against the lows...but I'm not keen on that either...think it might be better to wait...its early in the week, no rush...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #7,698
  • Oct 13, 2014 1:34am Oct 13, 2014 1:34am
Quoting Hickson
{quote} I guess the times where they did not short Aussie on Friday are over too ... E/A has been marching, I do not want to be short there right now, but at some point the shorts there have to be juicy with overall down trend ...
What trend do you mean? Weekly looks like still being in an up-trend, daily has made another HH, in monthly (which is down-trend) we still have a not tested norm at 1.63xx.
Nevertheless 4593 was respected, too late for me to get out of my long now, will look if we reach 4406 and might add, for 4686.
Fail better.
  • #7,699
  • Oct 13, 2014 1:37am Oct 13, 2014 1:37am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} yea, some new tariffs I think I saw...I'm not completely crazy about this aussie either, and quite honestly I hope to see something better develop elsewhere...I see something in EURJPY also, support around the 135.75/80, or further down against the lows...but I'm not keen on that either...think it might be better to wait...its early in the week, no rush...
I don't often look at EJ, sorry. On UJ looking to long, but got no place atm. Might just go with the flow and aim for 109, but will wait for London.
Fail better.
  • #7,700
  • Oct 13, 2014 1:44am Oct 13, 2014 1:44am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} I don't often look at EJ, sorry. On UJ looking to long, but got no place atm. Might just go with the flow and aim for 109, but will wait for London.
np...

on the yen, I see nothing, I await a breach of 108.15, and then wait to see how they react to that...

on the EA, maybe some resistance in the 4585/4600 area, but nothing I want to hang my hat on.....

guess what I'm saying...is I got nothing..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
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