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Oktoberfest Nightclub

  • #7,341
  • Oct 3, 2014 8:06am Oct 3, 2014 8:06am
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} prost oida {image}
At some time we should ask Augustiner Brewery to take on a sponsorship for this thread... I even drew the 165 on the beer bottle, but pressed for time and with all the sunlight the picture wasn't really good. Hope you have a good time, I do. Just closed some GU shorts that were on my chest for almost a year and so almost flat on the sins of the past...Have a good weekend!
Fail better.
  • #7,342
  • Edited 11:44am Oct 3, 2014 11:01am | Edited 11:44am
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} Bei mir ist ein Schub im Kühlschrank immer gefüllt {image}
Schick , this Dark Bock Pikantus is a delicacy , don't know about you but is my all-time favorite Bavarian,
dark wheat & barley malts a little too sharp but ...
7.3% vol ,
don't think anything stronger out there -- Work of Art.
Attached Image
Hear the music before the song is over ...
  • #7,343
  • Oct 3, 2014 5:16pm Oct 3, 2014 5:16pm
Quoting Schickeria
What is GBPUSD doing now 1.6050-60 key-area closing here some 2 x 740 Pips in Profit {image}
Hi Schick,
I always follow your posts and read them carefully.Fantastic. Thank you!

Here in this post it seems you Sold G/U on April/16 2014 for 1.68094.

After that price (1.68094 ) went up to 1.7193 . I was wondering how did you handle that?

Thanks again
Mike
Failure, is a wonderful teacher!
  • #7,344
  • Oct 3, 2014 9:37pm Oct 3, 2014 9:37pm
Quoting mike1349
{quote} Hi Schick, I always follow your posts and read them carefully.Fantastic. Thank you! Here in this post it seems you Sold G/U on April/16 2014 for 1.68094. After that price (1.68094 ) went up to 1.7193 . I was wondering how did you handle that? Thanks again Mike
can you post my post - i don't know atm...

I do not find my post with the search function

my entry was based on COT-Data
  • #7,345
  • Oct 3, 2014 9:49pm Oct 3, 2014 9:49pm
Quoting GlobalMacro
{quote} Schick , this Dark Bock Pikantus is a delicacy , don't know about you but is my all-time favorite Bavarian, dark wheat & barley malts a little too sharp but ... 7.3% vol , don't think anything stronger out there -- Work of Art. {image}
Hi GM,

as i have said, most time i drink Augustiner Beer and i can't drink any Bock. BOCK has to me personally a sugar taste.

All bavarian BOCK has 7% - 8% volt. It's not mine, and i can't also drink guinness beer.

Bock tastes many Americans and British People. I don't know why i think bock is similar to guinness beer.

Strongest Bock is "SchorschBock" with 57,5% vol. LOL http://www.augsburger-allgemeine.de/...ticle=19221491
  • #7,346
  • Oct 3, 2014 10:11pm Oct 3, 2014 10:11pm
For some GBPUSD trader and option expiry trader or position trader:

Last week:

Monday
no option expiry

Tuesday
1.6500 (842mln) = paid out = bullshit
1.6425 (346mln) = paid out = bullshit

Wednesday
no option expiry

Thursday
1.6450 (1.6bln) = paid out = bullshit
1.6275 (441mln) = paid out = bullshit

Friday
1.6200 (636mln) = paid out = bullshit
1.6300 (822mln) = paid out = bullshit
1.6350 (533mln) = paid out = bullshit

does it work or not ???

Drawdown full pull Weekly Candle 336 Pips
  • #7,347
  • Oct 3, 2014 10:22pm Oct 3, 2014 10:22pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} GU break the important 1.6000 and dropped to 1.59772 1.24639 is the same level as 1.59772 on GBPUSD it should work on the pip {image}
s/o on both GU long entrys
  • #7,348
  • Oct 3, 2014 10:42pm Oct 3, 2014 10:42pm
EU

Employment report sends dollar higher across the board

NO bounce of EURUSD 1.2507-1.2500 area

Weaker euro, lower oil/gold price balancing each other out
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  • #7,349
  • Oct 3, 2014 11:19pm Oct 3, 2014 11:19pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Targets develop as waves/momentum develops. As long as there is no wave 4, the estimates for a wave 5 are all but a wild guess. You can not estimate with high probability the target of a wave 5, when you only have 1, 2 and developing 3 Question is and will ever be: where is your evidence, that waves develop in "fixed" fib-ratios? For me it is: there are many many fib levels, and surly enough one of them will get hit. Last days you showed a count with impulsive structure up - maybe leading or ending diagonal. You showed the wave 2 (down)...
here one more example about ("Schöncounting")

count is invalid http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...mentid=1519849

Bei mir wird niemals eine Wave 5 als failure gecounted

Die 1.25045 stand letzter Woche schon bei mir als Target fest!
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  • #7,350
  • Oct 3, 2014 11:44pm Oct 3, 2014 11:44pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} here one more example about ("Schöncounting") count is invalid http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...mentid=1519849 Bei mir wird niemals eine Wave 5 als failure gecounted Die 1.25045 stand letzter Woche schon bei mir als Target fest! {image}


letzte Woche hast Du uns aber etwas von 2415 erzählt.......

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...5&d=1412069812



und 2679

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...5&d=1412069812


und 27278

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...9&d=1412008874

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1411996204

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...2&d=1411995641




Also was denn nun? Auch Schöncounting?
  • #7,351
  • Oct 3, 2014 11:53pm Oct 3, 2014 11:53pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} Sorry for my late reply: and sorry only on german! 1. Das wichtigste Kriterium ist: Der Fisch beginnt am Kopf zu stinken! Ein Elliott Wave Trader, der auch die Targets tradet sollte meiner Meinung nach einen IMPULS von einem PULS-Move unterscheiden! nehmen wir mal den EURUSD als Beispiel her! EDIT: Question Nr.2 is where is the retracement 78.6% or 61.8% ?????? {image} {image}

Beantwortetnicht eine meiner vorher gestellten Fragen. Geht auch nicht darauf ein was ich gesagt habe.

Und schon wieder schaust Du nach festen Retracements, die es laut EW, Neely, Swannell etc. und meiner bescheidenen Erfahrung so nicht gibt.

Seit wann haben Flats definierte Targets von 100, 161 oder 261% ? Hat Elliott so nie gesagt. Du machst aus Guidelines Regeln. Das ist so einfach nicht richtig und läßt sich auch mit den evidenz-basierten Studien von Swannell einfach nicht beweisen.

Manchmal fibben die Waves ganz gut, manchmal gar nicht gut. Besonders in komplexen Korrekturen eher schlecht.

Der von dir gezeigte korrektive Move war nie Gegenstand der Diskussion. Wir haben die komplette Wave down von 399x diskutiert.
  • #7,352
  • Oct 3, 2014 11:55pm Oct 3, 2014 11:55pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} here one more example about ("Schöncounting") count is invalid http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...mentid=1519849 Bei mir wird niemals eine Wave 5 als failure gecounted Die 1.25045 stand letzter Woche schon bei mir als Target fest! {image}


letzte Woche hast Du auch noch Bilder eines Counts gezeigt, der von einem Impulse down ausging. Nun zeigst Du das aktuelle Low als Z-wave

Frage: weas ist hier los?
  • #7,353
  • Oct 4, 2014 6:23am Oct 4, 2014 6:23am
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} can you post my post - i don't know atm... I do not find my post with the search function my entry was based on COT-Data
just click on your name in my post and the ink takes you
to that post
thanks
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Failure, is a wonderful teacher!
  • #7,354
  • Oct 4, 2014 11:41am Oct 4, 2014 11:41am
Hallo Schiclkeria & hallo Infinitus!
Was mich mal so am Rande interessiert ist, wieviel %-Profitpoints macht ihr denn so mit den Elliot Waves per anno, sagen wir mal auf EURUSD, wenn jeder von euch aus den individuellen Interpretationswerten die waves tradet?
Herbstliche Grüsse
aus der friedlichen Schweiz.
FXcube
  • #7,355
  • Oct 4, 2014 1:54pm Oct 4, 2014 1:54pm
Quoting Forexcube
Hallo Schiclkeria & hallo Infinitus! Was mich mal so am Rande interessiert ist, wieviel %-Profitpoints macht ihr denn so mit den Elliot Waves per anno, sagen wir mal auf EURUSD, wenn jeder von euch aus den individuellen Interpretationswerten die waves tradet? Herbstliche Grüsse aus der friedlichen Schweiz. FXcube

Hi Forexcube,

weißt Du doch - ich trade hauptsächlich supply and demand - EW ist dabei ein Hilfsmittel von vielen.

To trade only based on EW is a bad advice. When you get a turning point near the top or bottom, and your wave count is right, you can earn a lot of money in an impulsive move.


But for me, the tricky part of EW is to earn money in complex corrections.I think that are the places where most of the Elliotticans lose money.

Remember my call of a bottom in UJ a few years ago. I was able to ride it up to the 105 area. I made a lot of money.

On the other hand, the turn in EU last year to the upper side caught me offguard, and I lost money trying to short the rallies. Remember my call of a top in GU last year, when GU dropped from Jan 2013 high over 1000 pips. But again was caught offguard in the then happening rise. My count was simply wrong in the bigger scheme.

Remember my call of a top when price in EU was near 397x or so. I was able to earn over 500 pips with this position, but thought way to early about a deeper retracement towards the upper side which never happened so far.

All you can try to reach is, to get the direction right, and keep the losses small (as with every other method)

Then again you can not directly compare Schickeria and me, because Schickeria is a daytrader, whereas I am a longer term trader when it comes to EW.

Last but not least: I have a full time job. I have completely other goals than full-time trader. My job gives me all the money I need and more. Also I have fairly huge account size - so I do not need excessive risk to have a good relationship between time spent with trading and income return.
  • #7,356
  • Oct 5, 2014 12:14am Oct 5, 2014 12:14am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} letzte Woche hast Du uns aber etwas von 2415 erzählt....... http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...5&d=1412069812 und 2679 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...5&d=1412069812 und 27278 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...9&d=1412008874 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1411996204 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...2&d=1411995641 Also was denn nun? Auch...
zum schöncounting i said since A-B correction = B 1.3700 this is never ever a impulsive wave scroll back.

and i said here if your "schöncunting with 1-2-3-4-5" is right you should go long @ 1.25620 and i said it before this count is wrong

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...19#post7770019

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...8&d=1412072229
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  • #7,357
  • Oct 5, 2014 12:17am Oct 5, 2014 12:17am
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} if this "schöncount" is right 1.2562 is 138.2% of Wave 1 target and exact the red trendline and the End of Wave 5. and 1.2562 is 6 Sept. 2012 Low. Edit: I say now this count is wrong! Why ?? I missing the Impulsewave 1 and a target of 61.8% area 1.38xx (and not 1.3700 as Wave 2 target). This is what i mean with "schöncounting". If you trade EW with schöncounting trader should go long @ 1.2562. Question to all - who will go long here ???? The another question to all is what is the Elliott Wave Target of your counts?...

the another target is 1.25045 of wave Z

but why should i post my homework and post it here, if no one counted this down and posted here ?

no one answered my question and i don't post it

no discussion - no posting
  • #7,358
  • Oct 5, 2014 12:25am Oct 5, 2014 12:25am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} letzte Woche hast Du uns aber etwas von 2415 erzählt....... http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...5&d=1412069812 und 2679 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...5&d=1412069812 und 27278 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...9&d=1412008874 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1411996204 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...2&d=1411995641 Also was denn nun? Auch...
zu den bull setups habe ich immer gesagt: if a bull setup will work - and bull setups don't work since 1.3992
  • #7,359
  • Oct 5, 2014 12:28am Oct 5, 2014 12:28am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Beantwortetnicht eine meiner vorher gestellten Fragen. Geht auch nicht darauf ein was ich gesagt habe. Und schon wieder schaust Du nach festen Retracements, die es laut EW, Neely, Swannell etc. und meiner bescheidenen Erfahrung so nicht gibt. Seit wann haben Flats definierte Targets von 100, 161 oder 261% ? Hat Elliott so nie gesagt. Du machst aus Guidelines Regeln. Das ist so einfach nicht richtig und läßt sich auch mit den evidenz-basierten Studien von Swannell einfach nicht beweisen. Manchmal fibben die Waves ganz gut, manchmal gar nicht...
I'm trading the classical fibonacci and will NEVER EVER read any statistics from NELLY, MOTHER THERESA, SWANELL etc..... and from MR. PRECHTER schon zwimal nicht (he don't understand the elliott waves from his R.N. ELLIOTT)
  • #7,360
  • Oct 5, 2014 12:34am Oct 5, 2014 12:34am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Beantwortetnicht eine meiner vorher gestellten Fragen. Geht auch nicht darauf ein was ich gesagt habe. Und schon wieder schaust Du nach festen Retracements, die es laut EW, Neely, Swannell etc. und meiner bescheidenen Erfahrung so nicht gibt. Seit wann haben Flats definierte Targets von 100, 161 oder 261% ? Hat Elliott so nie gesagt. Du machst aus Guidelines Regeln. Das ist so einfach nicht richtig und läßt sich auch mit den evidenz-basierten Studien von Swannell einfach nicht beweisen. Manchmal fibben die Waves...
Das ist immer so, daß die Wellen bei 61.8% retracen!!!!! Die sind immer vordefiniert!!! Aber ich habe dazu hier eine Frage gestellt. NO ANSWER no POST from my side!

Das hat ein bißchen mit DENKSPORT zu tun, und da geht es los: Der Fisch beginnt am Kopf zu stinken! Das ist der FALL since 1.3992 und ich sehe immer noch nicht die Wave 2 oben!

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...03#post7776603

Ganz ehrlich ich scheiße auf jede Statistik die von irgend welchen Menschen gemacht wird und die es NICHT VERSTEHEN!
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