Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 237 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #4,721
  • Sep 14, 2014 2:12am Sep 14, 2014 2:12am
Quoting ajentha
{quote} Hi Trader 555, I think you draw correct, because as per rule cutting candle is not accepted, it is correct bye ajentha
Thank you for the help ajentha
  • #4,722
  • Edited Sep 15, 2014 5:46am Sep 14, 2014 6:28am | Edited Sep 15, 2014 5:46am
delete this post because not use macd and divergence in this system

randolf
  • #4,723
  • Edited Sep 15, 2014 5:47am Sep 14, 2014 6:40am | Edited Sep 15, 2014 5:47am
delete this post because not use macd and divergence in this system

randolf.
  • #4,724
  • Sep 14, 2014 9:57am Sep 14, 2014 9:57am
Quoting randolf
the eurjpy daily i'm beginner on this system this analysis is true ? {image} eurjpy h4 {image}
Randolf. MACD and divergence are not used in the strategy. I need to ask you to remove those posts and charts or the user will be banned, it goes against the rules in post number 1. Please remove it or I will have to proceed to ban you, rules are VERY clear in post #1

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,725
  • Sep 14, 2014 9:58am Sep 14, 2014 9:58am
Quoting Solomon1a
{quote} Sorry for the rule which i broke Alfonso, i have re-uploaded the charts below and here let me ask my question again , as monthly is up and weekly is broken but not closed below weekly TL and aligning with monthly, and in D1 is in downtrend but i have doubt in D1 TL, it was broken at 3sep and created the fresh demand but now the D1 TL is again below the D1 TL and negated the 3sep of demand and created a fresh supply there, so can we set and forget on this D1 supply as it is not original but its fresh and also we are below the 50% of monthly...
You need to remove the post please, you uploaded new charts but you didn't remove them. You need to do it before 24 hours or it will stay there and we don't want that, can you please remove the post?

Thanks,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,726
  • Sep 14, 2014 1:13pm Sep 14, 2014 1:13pm
Quoting panoramia
{quote} You need to remove the post please, you uploaded new charts but you didn't remove them. You need to do it before 24 hours or it will stay there and we don't want that, can you please remove the post? Thanks, Alfonso
I do not have access to edit or delete my posts, or attachments, i am new member, i tried to remove and edit the post and attachments, but i couldnt find any options.
  • #4,727
  • Sep 14, 2014 3:54pm Sep 14, 2014 3:54pm
AUDNZD, all HTFs are pointing to shorts. I want to go short at the top supply in MN/WK but after departure price made something that can only be described as a really fat CP pattern. Now I would assume that that pattern is likely to be easily absorbed. If I wanted to short at my desired zone price will have to go through that again. (=demand in control taking out an easy fat CP?)Would it still make sense to short at my desired level? Big fat CP confirmed as zone due to trendline break, but I wouldn't lean on it by itself as a supply zone.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-09-14 18_43_28-9429615_ OANDA - MetaTrader - Demo Account - [AUDNZD,Daily].png Size: 104 KB


I feel like the conclusion will just be to walk away from this pair at the moment. What are the odds for a good trade here?
  • #4,728
  • Sep 14, 2014 10:38pm Sep 14, 2014 10:38pm
Dear Team,

I have analysis GBPUSD chart, this is my learning stage and I am willing to become a Swing trader. Could you please comment for better understanding for supply & Demand trading.

1) GBPUSD Monthly is trend Break TL has place which one is correct. Please comment for Monthly TL.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD_Monthly_15_09_2014 , 10_52_32 AM.png Size: 48 KB


2) GBPUSD Weekly: UP Trend has broken.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD_Weekly_15_09_2014 , 10_37_46 AM.png Size: 48 KB


3) GBPUSD Daily: Down Trend, Price over extend, Daily Supply Zone has marked, and folloe on 2 CP, Price reversal, it has created Demand Zone, it is marked.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD_Daily_15_09_2014 , 11_03_09 AM.png Size: 45 KB


4) GBPUSD H4: Down Trend has Broken, marked Supply @1.6300 and Demand @ 1.6100 H4 & Daily Demand coincide each other.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD_H4_15_09_2014 , 10_44_39 AM.png Size: 32 KB


bye
ajentha
  • #4,729
  • Sep 14, 2014 11:21pm Sep 14, 2014 11:21pm
Quoting lobogabor
{quote} I am testing strategies in MT4 (View/strategy tester) with the Expert Advisor "SimpleFXTester_v2" , and so far so great, I suggest to all of you.. Multi time frame, all MT4 indis are available.. All for free as expected in MT4 anyways I hope it helps earning money without spending it first, for similar programs or training - just test yourself with the forex / FX / trading strategy of yours, how successful you can be . Not a supply demand topic, but more examples with pics, how it looks like, are here in post No.: 3229 http://www.forex-tsd.com/harmonic-tr...tml#post699968...
Dear Lobogabar,

Thank you so much for your information.

I have downloaded the tester, but multi-time frame not working. Do you have working MTF testing?

If you have working for MTF, Please instruct me, how to activate it, because in the video has showing MTF, But my demo alpari MT4 not working. If any body have know this MTF testing method, please guide me.

bye
ajentha
  • #4,730
  • Sep 14, 2014 11:26pm Sep 14, 2014 11:26pm
Dear Team,

GBPUSD H4, up trend break, sorry for my wrong marking,

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD_H4_15_09_2014 , 11_55_47 AM.png Size: 45 KB
  • #4,731
  • Sep 15, 2014 5:56am Sep 15, 2014 5:56am
hi again im begginer on this system

this analyze is true?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurjpydaily-15 september.png Size: 48 KB
  • #4,732
  • Sep 15, 2014 6:29am Sep 15, 2014 6:29am
Quoting ajentha
Dear Team, GBPUSD H4, up trend break, sorry for my wrong marking, {image}
sorry I wouldn't consider that TL valid. The points need to make higher highs and your second "valley" isn't obvious nor did it make a higher high. See how those candles on your second valley are all a bunch of doji with no movement? Market's going sideways.
  • #4,733
  • Sep 15, 2014 10:35am Sep 15, 2014 10:35am
Quoting Psych0F0x
{quote} sorry I wouldn't consider that TL valid. The points need to make higher highs and your second "valley" isn't obvious nor did it make a higher high. See how those candles on your second valley are all a bunch of doji with no movement? Market's going sideways.
Dear Psych0Fox,
Thank you for your valuable comments.
1) bunch of doji - weak in demand ?
2) Second Valley is not obvious - yes. But as per Dr. Alfonso mention 0.01 pip is high, then we can draw trend line, so that I draw the line.

bye
ajentha
  • #4,734
  • Sep 15, 2014 5:14pm Sep 15, 2014 5:14pm
Quoting randolf
hi again im begginer on this system this analyze is true? {image}
Dear Randolf,
You are welcome to SD

In my knowledge, valid demand is @138.00 because which demand is take it out of Supply is valid demand.
Please any one can comment my explanation as well my marking. see my chat below:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPY_H4_16_09_2014 , 5_34_50 AM.png Size: 52 KB


bye
ajentha
  • #4,735
  • Sep 15, 2014 8:22pm Sep 15, 2014 8:22pm
Dear Team,


AUDNZD: Monthly trend is UP, but this month is down. So it will reflect weekly, daily, H4

Monthly trend line broken, TL has placed based on Continue pattern.

Monthly exactly reach the monthly demand zone and return, so that trend line broken. SD is working properly!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDNZD_Monthly_16_09_2014 , 8_11_20 AM.png Size: 60 KB


AUDNZD: Weekly down trend broken. I have marked two TL. Please confirm which TL is valid?

Weekly is Demand control, because four touch in the weekly demand Zone.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDNZD_Weekly_16_09_2014 , 8_24_20 AM.png Size: 44 KB

AUDNZD: Daily UP trend broken, Daily demand taken out by Supply.
Price is near the Daily flip Zone. Any have I am going to buy. Any body know that flip zone trading condition/methods. If know please quote me.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDNZD_Daily_16_09_2014 , 8_37_40 AM.png Size: 55 KB

AUDNZD: H4 and Daily demand zone coincide. I draw the TL for H4 based on CP pattern, which is correct?
please comments.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDNZD_H4_16_09_2014 , 8_42_03 AM.png Size: 51 KB


bye
ajentha
  • #4,736
  • Sep 16, 2014 3:08am Sep 16, 2014 3:08am
I hope you had a great weekend wherever you are. I'm back from a long holidays away in Morocco (greaty country, one of my favourites) and back to daily routine.

A new live webinar will be held this Friday 19th September 2014. We'll go through a bunch of currency pairs/instruments and locate possible trade setups and IF THEN scenarios. Those that have been following me for some time will know what an IF THEN scenario is all about.

  1. SUBJECT: Longer term position analysis
  2. DATE: Friday 19th September 2014
  3. TIME: 12:00 PM - 1:30 PM CEST (Central European Summer TIme), 2 hours before NY Market Open
  4. LINK TO JOIN: if you haven't joined a previous webinar, you will need to fill in this form to receive the webinar's link

You can join now, you will be notified by email 1 day and 1 hour before it starts. The webinar will be recorded as always

I'll try to cover all these topics:

  1. Longer term position trading
  2. We'll use the Sequence and The Realignment to locate setups
  3. How to trade with the D1 supply and demand imbalances
  4. Under which conditions we should hold a trade and how

Have a great day!
Cheers,
Alfonso
www.set-and-forget.com

Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,737
  • Sep 16, 2014 4:10am Sep 16, 2014 4:10am
is this Thread only for old and commercial members? because its been 3 days i posted some questions and no one replied.
  • #4,738
  • Sep 16, 2014 4:58am Sep 16, 2014 4:58am
Quoting Solomon1a
is this Thread only for old and commercial members? because its been 3 days i posted some questions and no one replied.
It's a free thread and people don't post their charts often, up to them. I've been away for a few days so I couldn't reply to any posts. I just saw there were some incorrect charts and asked users to remove them.

Subscribers to this thread are not very active? Why? They think maybe that it's all driven by a commercial private community, which is not true. Read back and see how all answers are replied, free webinars organized, rules updated, new information. Still people don't reply or post charts? That's how life works, it all depends on what you believe and not on real facts.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,739
  • Sep 16, 2014 5:01am Sep 16, 2014 5:01am
Quoting Solomon1a
hello alfonso and fellow traders, today i shorted eurzar but my sl got hit, i analyzed and couldnt find that which rule i missing? charts listed below: weekly down daily down weekly: {image} Daily: {image} H4: {image}
Hello Solomon,

This is my reply (late because I've been away) and others did not reply, but I'm always here to help if I am available.

I looked at your charts and I saw that your MN demand is in control. You shorted EURZAR with your MN demand area in control. You had a loss... Why did you take a short with MN big timeframe demand in control? It's low odds. That's one of the reasons I see.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,740
  • Sep 16, 2014 5:05am Sep 16, 2014 5:05am
Quoting Psych0F0x
AUDNZD, all HTFs are pointing to shorts. I want to go short at the top supply in MN/WK but after departure price made something that can only be described as a really fat CP pattern. Now I would assume that that pattern is likely to be easily absorbed. If I wanted to short at my desired zone price will have to go through that again. (=demand in control taking out an easy fat CP?)Would it still make sense to short at my desired level? Big fat CP confirmed as zone due to trendline break, but I wouldn't lean on it by itself as a supply zone. {image}...
Hello my friend!

Look at the attachment. Correct trendline broken. MN supply in control. Top D1 supply broke TL, high odds to short up there since it's within MN supply, if market conditions do not change. H4 requires further analysis, I'm mostly trading D1, so I showed you what was incorrecly done with your scenario.

Hope that makes sense!
Alfonso

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 416 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
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