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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #49,921
  • Sep 13, 2014 8:07am Sep 13, 2014 8:07am


regards
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  • #49,922
  • Edited 8:59am Sep 13, 2014 8:18am | Edited 8:59am
If only my dogs have intelligence and empathy.
So i can tell them stories.
When i talk to them , they sit listen.

but if any one approaches me, they only know do 1 thingy.
show their nice teeth.

But again if they educated.
maybe they turn evil?

can i trust em go to the bank then?
2% service charge pls.+5 +10gst

ai ya better not.


regards
  • #49,923
  • Sep 13, 2014 4:34pm Sep 13, 2014 4:34pm
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  • #49,924
  • Edited 7:42pm Sep 13, 2014 4:34pm | Edited 7:42pm
eeer , pls pass the eyemo....eeer eye wash.

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regards
  • #49,925
  • Sep 13, 2014 6:36pm Sep 13, 2014 6:36pm
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  • #49,926
  • Edited 9:06am Sep 14, 2014 7:19am | Edited 9:06am
wow, they made their way to panda land already.

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so pure her heart.

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  • #49,927
  • Sep 14, 2014 9:07am Sep 14, 2014 9:07am
fti<3
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<3 love #1323134321, geez I just step outside and fall in love like 3 times just walking in between classes
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  • #49,928
  • Edited 10:02am Sep 14, 2014 9:20am | Edited 10:02am


oh , so now chinese farmers sings jazzy ballads , these days.
I learned something new.

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  • #49,929
  • Edited 12:48pm Sep 14, 2014 11:08am | Edited 12:48pm
beautiful.
prettier and she could make star.


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  • #49,930
  • Sep 14, 2014 12:49pm Sep 14, 2014 12:49pm
A blind girl can be so dynamic.
Makes one wonder why some 'normal' peeps are so handicapped.
Maybe peeps no count their blessings?
  • #49,931
  • Sep 14, 2014 7:46pm Sep 14, 2014 7:46pm
dynamic hedging
  • #49,932
  • Edited 10:01pm Sep 14, 2014 9:42pm | Edited 10:01pm
Quoting fti
A blind girl can be so dynamic. Makes one wonder why some 'normal' peeps are so handicapped. Maybe peeps no count their blessings?
People like counting what's on their bucket list more.
This weekend, friend introduced me to a girl from Chongqing.
Seems, I'll be getting those poems translated after all Mr.
jk
wish me luck, gulp
I've been studying really hard about the ID, and a lot of other stuff. Bought a couple of books to keep me busy.
Still going through some trading books to maybe find little details. Bible thick. Then hw, and work. Days are flying. But I'm remaining most composed.
I count my blessings every day :-) Always thankful for the time you took to nudge people in the right direction.
I hope you're well.
Also the defensive boxer fought this last weekend.
Unfortunately, father time is hitting him hard. Seems his reflexes are slowly fading.
He actually took some heavy shots by this rugged--not so technical fighter. At 37 body can't keep up in boxing. Doesn't help that his ex was suing him throughout the week. He looked really unhappy about it all.
Felt really sorry for him. Some highlights of the fight.
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  • #49,933
  • Sep 15, 2014 4:19am Sep 15, 2014 4:19am
Quoting CookieMonsta
{quote} hi jacque, seems whats wrong with this method is how i assumed the options will be priced, they don't use black scholes model, they use the extended one, by Garman–Kohlhagen model, so i guess where i gain in interest, i have already paid in the options, so your right that it is priced in into the model they used for pricing the options.
hey cookie, yes i have come across that model in the textbook before. however, i am not familiar with the details in that model. if one uses the black schole, one would need to replace the risk free interest rate with the currrency interest rate differential. and there are a whole host of assumptions in it. thus, there would be considerable model risk vs what the big boys are using. that aside, as you have mentioned, the key was to point out that whatever model one uses, it would be already priced in with the no arbitrage principle

however, i guess there is sitll value in understanding the greeks, i.e. if we have access to interbank option prices and we have a good model, we can see what is the implied volatlity trading in the market and then using that information to guesstimate how the market is positioned and what is the bais.
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THE ALL is MIND; The Universe is Mental
  • #49,934
  • Sep 15, 2014 4:44am Sep 15, 2014 4:44am
Quoting fti
beautiful. prettier and she could make star. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xFl0Y3thmF4
THE ALL is MIND; The Universe is Mental
  • #49,935
  • Sep 15, 2014 5:14am Sep 15, 2014 5:14am
Quoting Jacque
{quote} hey cookie, yes i have come across that model in the textbook before. however, i am not familiar with the details in that model. if one uses the black schole, one would need to replace the risk free interest rate with the currrency interest rate differential. and there are a whole host of assumptions in it. thus, there would be considerable model risk vs what the big boys are using. that aside, as you have mentioned, the key was to point out that whatever model one uses, it would be already priced in with the no arbitrage principle however,...
hi jacque,

the model i cited is the same as the black scholes except that it is used only for currencies, which means if we use the currencies forward rate to put into the black scholes we will get the same output as using the spot price with the model which i cited, so it is actually the same thing as the image you attached above.

yea, im going to look into dynamic hedging, something i wanted to delay abit to study the p&l replication first.
  • #49,936
  • Sep 15, 2014 6:30am Sep 15, 2014 6:30am
I couldn't stop laughing.
Had to play one sad song.
Helped.
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  • #49,937
  • Edited 7:13am Sep 15, 2014 6:32am | Edited 7:13am
ok if you cannot stop laughing.
Here the sad song.
Any one knows this poem?

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regards

if you cannot stand the sadness , here the happier version.
Linda's version


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  • #49,938
  • Edited Sep 16, 2014 12:02am Sep 15, 2014 11:46pm | Edited Sep 16, 2014 12:02am
Quoting Swis
{quote} People like counting what's on their bucket list more. This weekend, friend introduced me to a girl from Chongqing. Seems, I'll be getting those poems translated after all Mr.
noted.
you should be in good hands.
dragons that crosses seas and mountains, they elites.
few rookies makes the trip.

http://www.economist.com/news/specia...ttingtoknowyou

regards

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  • #49,939
  • Sep 16, 2014 12:17am Sep 16, 2014 12:17am
Quoting fti
ok if you cannot stop laughing. Here the sad song. Any one knows this poem? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6G_1ZUP2T0 regards if you cannot stand the sadness , here the happier version. Linda's version http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhamo_oF9X8
I know this one
http://upload.ourgame.com/bbs/upfile...9420_13148.gif
Dedication brings Satisfaction and Success.
  • #49,940
  • Edited 1:15am Sep 16, 2014 12:31am | Edited 1:15am
Quoting Phatori Gal
{quote} I know this one {image}
WOW, nice.
can you add the 三弄, make it complete?

i understand we supposed to think for the answer.
but you know is easier if is just spelled out.

Is a lovely artwork you have. Makes nice wall piece.

regards
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