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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #16,001
  • Sep 9, 2014 2:37pm Sep 9, 2014 2:37pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} The following count is the most logical I can come up with. Momentum would fit nicely and it fibs quiet good {image}

was a timely call LOL

looks good so far
  • #16,002
  • Sep 9, 2014 3:13pm Sep 9, 2014 3:13pm
wow - Muppets at work


you should have seen the picture yesterday:

the shorts were gaining more and more, when I remember correctly around 19% or so yesterday, and most short positions were gaining



now devasting picture: only around 5% gains for the shorts are left and the losing trades are outnumbering the gaining trades



speaks for itself: the sheeple again and again go short in support and long in resistance
Attached Image
  • #16,003
  • Sep 9, 2014 3:14pm Sep 9, 2014 3:14pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} All 5 worked out. Over 100 pips all together. AJ has bounced so now i am flat on it.

ca--------shiiiiing
  • #16,004
  • Sep 9, 2014 3:24pm Sep 9, 2014 3:24pm
USD

Quoting andexQ
At the end of this week in my view USD is bullish on Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Intraday... now at 83.79 http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?$USD Hence from here we can expect they should try 85.xx as target on Weekly... but first let's see what will happen at 84.00 to 84.40 on Daily. {image}

Index reference: http://www.investing.com/quotes/us-d...treaming-chart

84.40 seem can not hold & turn to be resistance.
Yes, there are serious selling/supply today... this is sign of exhaustion but probably not reversal.

So for now USD may ranging between 80.00 to 80.40 / .66 before we have clear view for next direction.
  • #16,005
  • Sep 9, 2014 4:02pm Sep 9, 2014 4:02pm
Quoting andexQ
USD {quote} Index reference: http://www.investing.com/quotes/us-d...treaming-chart 84.40 seem can not hold & turn to be resistance. Yes, there are serious selling/supply today... this is sign of exhaustion but probably not reversal. So for now USD may ranging between 80.00 to 80.40 / .66 before we have clear view for next direction.
Yup seems like it. Tomorrow should tell more on further direction, 106 UJ is important, 9313 UCHF too if those are gone then down is likely for some time. However if those all hold will good buying, i am buying retracement to same demand area later tomorrow.
  • #16,006
  • Sep 9, 2014 4:08pm Sep 9, 2014 4:08pm
Quoting janpec1000
New charts: AJ http://prntscr.com/4l6thm Gold strong defense set on 57, good for scalps http://prntscr.com/4l6tu7 GJ direction line http://prntscr.com/4l6u9n AUDUSD http://prntscr.com/4l6umf
Again all worked out, sooner than expected (exception of AUD which is longer term down direction).

EJ
http://prntscr.com/4laz6p
  • #16,007
  • Sep 9, 2014 4:09pm Sep 9, 2014 4:09pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} was a timely call LOL looks good so far
good call! -yours was public, mine not. Indicated the h4 divergence (CCI) in a chart yesterday along with levels and it played out well today. considered probability to see R3 - 301x today would be very slim.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #16,008
  • Sep 9, 2014 4:14pm Sep 9, 2014 4:14pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Yup seems like it. Tomorrow should tell more on further direction, 106 UJ is important, 9313 UCHF too if those are gone then down is likely for some time. However if those all hold will good buying, i am buying retracement to same demand area later tomorrow.

yea, atm. I think scalping is the best option as USD may make un-predictable movement at current zone..
  • #16,009
  • Sep 10, 2014 3:45am Sep 10, 2014 3:45am
Quoting andexQ
USD {quote} Index reference: http://www.investing.com/quotes/us-d...treaming-chart 84.40 seem can not hold & turn to be resistance. Yes, there are serious selling/supply today... this is sign of exhaustion but probably not reversal. So for now USD may ranging between 80.00 to 80.40 / .66 before we have clear view for next direction.

Correction:

84.00/.20 to 84.40/.70
  • #16,010
  • Sep 10, 2014 4:07am Sep 10, 2014 4:07am
1 o clock 70 pips gold spike?
http://prntscr.com/4lfl9b

Two EU directional lines, i am leaning towards shorts if down line is breached:
http://prntscr.com/4lflrw

Woah AUDUSD almost reached my target from previous post already, that went much sooner than expected. GBP and AUD are massacred.

UCAD not gona take that entry but possible direction:
http://prntscr.com/4lfmhy

AUDCHF
http://prntscr.com/4lfmnt
  • #16,011
  • Sep 10, 2014 4:07am Sep 10, 2014 4:07am
Quoting 2046
{quote} good call! -yours was public, mine not. Indicated the h4 divergence (CCI) in a chart yesterday along with levels and it played out well today. considered probability to see R3 - 301x today would be very slim. {image}
EJ done, +34 pips.
  • #16,012
  • Sep 10, 2014 4:08am Sep 10, 2014 4:08am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Again all worked out, sooner than expected (exception of AUD which is longer term down direction). EJ http://prntscr.com/4laz6p
EJ done, +34 pips.
  • #16,013
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:35am Sep 10, 2014 8:35am
EU

EW count by Dimitri

http://www.roboforex.com/analytics/f...ave1-09102014/

we can count it this way

what I do not like on such a count is the strange momentum progression in the wave 3


sentiment data show, that the price might bounce up from here - way too much bearishness right now

now we have to look for levels where the different counts would be invalidated


my count would show early signs of invalidation with movement above 3044, but would only be invalidated with movement above 3153


so if we move above 3153 we are most likely in Dimitris count
  • #16,014
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:38am Sep 10, 2014 8:38am
Quoting infinitus
EU EW count by Dimitri http://www.roboforex.com/analytics/f...ave1-09102014/ we can count it this way what I do not like on such a count is the strange momentum progression in the wave 3 sentiment data show, that the price might bounce up from here - way too much bearishness right now now we have to look for levels where the different counts would be invalidated my count would show early signs of invalidation with movement above 3044, but would only be invalidated with movement above 3153 so if we move above...

here is my main count right now
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_EUR_USD_4 Hours_snapshot.png Size: 83 KB
  • #16,015
  • Sep 10, 2014 8:42am Sep 10, 2014 8:42am
Long USDJPY for 71 pips. Getting a bit nervous that it won't last much longer. Any opinions ladies and gentleman?
  • #16,016
  • Sep 10, 2014 10:41am Sep 10, 2014 10:41am
Quoting EuroTrader37
Long USDJPY for 71 pips. Getting a bit nervous that it won't last much longer. Any opinions ladies and gentleman?

I've taken some shorts @ 106.77 just now,
...and expect that the daily, weekly & monthly CCI(14) neg. divergence should be strong enough for a beta-turn.
FXcube
  • #16,017
  • Sep 10, 2014 12:58pm Sep 10, 2014 12:58pm
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} I've taken some shorts @ 106.77 just now, ...and expect that the daily, weekly & monthly CCI(14) neg. divergence should be strong enough for a beta-turn. FXcube
Probably not good idea to short yet, price action calls for further up.
http://prntscr.com/4ljs7m

We got some temporary strenght coming in GU, possible further climb tomorrow.
  • #16,018
  • Sep 10, 2014 7:19pm Sep 10, 2014 7:19pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Probably not good idea to short yet, price action calls for further up. http://prntscr.com/4ljs7m We got some temporary strenght coming in GU, possible further climb tomorrow.
Oh yes, ... probably.....
We all works with estimated &/or highest &/or mathematical &/or conditional, ...statistical probabilities &/or Laplace probabilities & other likelyhoods, didn't we, if we look into it ?
Further upside movements could be also an event of a false breakout. If so speculators were laughing.
Time will tell us.
I wish you green pips!
FXcube
  • #16,019
  • Edited 4:28am Sep 11, 2014 3:55am | Edited 4:28am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} Oh yes, ... probably..... We all works with estimated &/or highest &/or mathematical &/or conditional, ...statistical probabilities &/or Laplace probabilities & other likelyhoods, didn't we, if we look into it ? Further upside movements could be also an event of a false breakout. If so speculators were laughing. Time will tell us. I wish you green pips! FXcube
Hm i have to dissagree here personally. I do not trade highest possibility of direction, nor anything mathematical or statistical in my setups. I trade only what i see on chart from PA. Chart was telling bullish buildup in the making as it happened as UJ went higher. From daily it makes sense to short it for pullback, but if lower TFs say up, it should go higher. For UJ to turn bearish 106.75 has to be tested at least.

EDIT: UJ is being pushed on upside not just trough USD strenght but also trough JPY weakness and GBP strenght trough GJ so until something bigger changes, it remains bullish.
  • #16,020
  • Edited 4:14am Sep 11, 2014 3:59am | Edited 4:14am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Probably not good idea to short yet, price action calls for further up. http://prntscr.com/4ljs7m We got some temporary strenght coming in GU, possible further climb tomorrow.
GBP strenght done, +15 pips GA, BE SL on GU (was +35).


Quote
AUDCHF
http://prntscr.com/4lfmnt

AUDCHF done, pending did not got triggered (6 pips distance from max).


New charts:
AUDNZD
http://prntscr.com/4lql06

GJ
http://prntscr.com/4lqln9

CJ complimenting GJ view
http://prntscr.com/4lqm0d

Just some thoughts on GU, gona stay out of trading for now this one, as there are many mixed signals
http://prntscr.com/4lqmkj
http://prntscr.com/4lqmqy
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