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US Crude Oil with smart VSA and Dark Seasons [only]

  • #261
  • Aug 19, 2014 12:07pm Aug 19, 2014 12:07pm
Quoting Razi89
{quote} there is strong weekly dowmtrend.i think 91.3 would be good level if you want to go on long side with 90 stop loss
Yes mate u r right if it get there ill add to my long again (",)
Senior Trader Multi-Account Manager
  • #262
  • Aug 20, 2014 1:22am Aug 20, 2014 1:22am
Closed long at 92.76 in green one more long left
Senior Trader Multi-Account Manager
  • #263
  • Aug 21, 2014 1:24am Aug 21, 2014 1:24am
just closed all my short on oil in a green ('',) now flat on oil
waiting and watching next chance to jump in ('',)
Senior Trader Multi-Account Manager
  • #264
  • Aug 28, 2014 11:11pm Aug 28, 2014 11:11pm
I think things are getting better and oil prices are likely to sour. so buy on dips is good stretegy.
  • #265
  • Aug 29, 2014 3:33am Aug 29, 2014 3:33am
Quoting trendsbhatti
I think things are getting better and oil prices are likely to sour. so buy on dips is good stretegy.
it might go up but in my view its a good selling opportunity i short at 94.8 sl 96.8 .5 lots tp 86 stop loss of 1000 dollars first big trade in my forex career and might be last one caz then i have no more money to invest in forex.
  • #266
  • Aug 29, 2014 4:01am Aug 29, 2014 4:01am
hello,

my view on crude and wti is also very bullish. On WTI we had a prety high volume daily bar yesterday closing at the highs. and today we are trading higher.
Simmilar with brent crude oil.
  • #267
  • Aug 29, 2014 4:28am Aug 29, 2014 4:28am
Quoting rockya1
hello, my view on crude and wti is also very bullish. On WTI we had a prety high volume daily bar yesterday closing at the highs. and today we are trading higher. Simmilar with brent crude oil.
we have support levels previously 95.3 and 96.5 these two levels could provide resistance. Support turn resistance. On weekly we are in strong down so any upside on daily may present a decent selling opportunity.
  • #268
  • Aug 29, 2014 4:29am Aug 29, 2014 4:29am
Quoting Razi89
{quote} it might go up but in my view its a good selling opportunity i short at 94.8 sl 96.8 .5 lots tp 86 stop loss of 1000 dollars first big trade in my forex career and might be last one caz then i have no more money to invest in forex.
it's amazing if you waited til 1000$ loss.... esp when you dont have money? it doesn't make sense man....
  • #269
  • Aug 29, 2014 4:36am Aug 29, 2014 4:36am
Quoting trendsbhatti
{quote} it's amazing if you waited til 1000$ loss.... esp when you dont have money? it doesn't make sense man....
you are right but if i trade on swing basis i could.only manage to earn 20 to 30 percent. So i know i am gambling here but in direction of trend. I like to trade in trend not reversal.caz reversal are difficult to identify.so i beleive in trend unless its prove otherwise.
  • #270
  • Sep 3, 2014 10:11am Sep 3, 2014 10:11am
[quote=Razi89;7705564]{quote} it might go up but in my view its a good selling opportunity i short at 94.8 sl 96.8 .5 lots tp 86 stop loss of 1000 dollars first big trade in my forex career and might be last one caz then i have no more money to invest in forex.[/quote .3 lots stop out at B.E and stop loss moved to 99.80 for other two lots.
plan, place stop sell 0.3 lots at 92.4 if not stop out at 99.8
then average 0.5 lots will be 93.36 and then stop would be placed at 95 figure
TP is 78 now if not stop out.
  • #271
  • Sep 8, 2014 6:32am Sep 8, 2014 6:32am
what is nex target?
i suppose it will bounce back to 95.00 from 91.77
  • #272
  • Sep 12, 2014 6:02am Sep 12, 2014 6:02am
dear CT

this thread was welcomed many of us but no one is discussing about crude here?
crude is a very good entertainer and so many ppl already trading it. so why ppl not remarking here is beyond my understanding.
i think you got my point?

regards!
  • #273
  • Sep 12, 2014 8:04am Sep 12, 2014 8:04am
Quoting trendsbhatti
dear CT this thread was welcomed many of us but no one is discussing about crude here? crude is a very good entertainer and so many ppl already trading it. so why ppl not remarking here is beyond my understanding. i think you got my point? regards!
not sure i'd call Oil entertaining
(maybe the point was lost in translation)

what else is to know?
Oils in a downtrend and everyone should of been shorting

it might rise soon or it might not,
but don't try to catch a falling knife with Oil, its usually not worth the hassle,
trade what you see,
possibly unless trading with very small stakes

Brent and US crude have both just hit some major support this wk - so a rise is quite likely (soon-ish)
although as its nr Oct and Nov then likely to be a bit sideways
or could go bananas upwards after such a big fall
  • #274
  • Sep 19, 2014 2:08pm Sep 19, 2014 2:08pm
Hi everyone...

its's been a while since i've posted here...

this is the latest of what i've got: https://www.tradingview.com/v/rdQIWYz1/

Right now there are 2 possibilities...1) oil continues to sell of to complete the 5th leg, or then price must retrace to the marked areas

if it does hold at b, then price should retrace up to the red resistance lines which also happen to be fibonacci levels....

My personal bias is on the 38.2 fib level for c at $97. However since we are moving into the winter months (historically prices do rise in the winter) hence I wouldn't be surprised if we have an extended "c" leg all the way up to $101.

How to trade: Look for price action reversal candles at the red resistance areas and target $70's area
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usoil19sep.png Size: 95 KB
  • #275
  • Sep 22, 2014 12:08am Sep 22, 2014 12:08am
I would like to buy crude for investment purpose in stages in Jan and Feb
Hello World!
  • #276
  • Dec 22, 2014 7:09am Dec 22, 2014 7:09am
Went long @ 56, time to warm up..

would buy/invest on every $2-5 fall..

Low Risk, conservative over the next 4 - 8 weeks..

Logic: Plz refer to first few posts that explain "Dark Seasons..
Hello World!
  • #277
  • Dec 22, 2014 7:19am Dec 22, 2014 7:19am
Quoting ClockTrader
Went long @ 56, time to warm up.. would buy/invest on every $2-5 fall.. Low Risk, conservative over the next 4 - 8 weeks.. Logic: Plz refer to first few posts that explain "Dark Seasons..
I shorted it, but since you said you longed, I might have to reconsider what I did...
  • #278
  • Dec 22, 2014 10:51pm Dec 22, 2014 10:51pm
Quoting fallinz
{quote} I shorted it, but since you said you longed, I might have to reconsider what I did...
Mine are seasonal longs.. for long term.. investment type whereas yours maybe a swing or day trade..

I'm testing some longs for short term too. At the end of day, it will always be about MM & skillsets.
Hello World!
  • #279
  • Dec 23, 2014 8:32am Dec 23, 2014 8:32am
Quoting ClockTrader
Went long @ 56, time to warm up.. would buy/invest on every $2-5 fall.. Low Risk, conservative over the next 4 - 8 weeks.. Logic: Plz refer to first few posts that explain "Dark Seasons..
Took a tiny profit today while building longs today..

I think its a little early to build seasonal longs in Crude..
Hello World!
  • #280
  • Dec 29, 2014 8:56am Dec 29, 2014 8:56am
@54.91 (first pos here..)

I have re-started buying (investing) in Crude, had clean crude-slate before this..

Dark Seasons say, we got nice support coming in few weeks..

In worst case low 40s, otherwise nice solid support in the range 47-54

30s would be catastrophic if we reach there..
Hello World!
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