Technical Analysis Fallacy
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oh"Carney on Wednesday was dismissive of the speculation about the exact timing of the first increase, saying it only mattered to investors gambling on interest rate futures." http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/0...0GD28S20140814 didn't he say maybe sooner than expected 2015? my memory not so good. but i remembered thinking, well here's 1 who not fancys negative interest rates. please forgive me if i throw up next time some bad apple opens his mouth. begining this year i was already puzzled how he...
you know what this is?? you magnificent, wonderful human being! i said i'm sorry! please forgive me already! you're the best!" i feel the same way when i get on the bus and miss my stop... ?? just kidding.
So tell me where is it going?Should be Down, right? When will we know if it is going down? What if on the short charts, its going up? So do we still want to go short? So when should we go short? When the short chart shows you that it topping out, right? So if this market continues to go up. Then You miss the bus ( borrowed from leighsww) ,right? You missed the bus going north, why? because you were at the bus stand waiting for the south bound bus, right? Thats why I, said. Bull makes money, Bears make money, Pigs get slaughtered.
{quote} lol. what exam is that for?? these questions have you rofl? let me guess... the answer is... {image} here's a question that seems more in line with your type of research: {image}
Think you will enjoy this video, Chief! http://vimeo.com/103557889
{quote} http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/...0GG0K920140816 {image} regards,
he just trying do things best he can manage.
, that way go home, father creator won't be happy with your MO.Think you will enjoy this video, Chief! http://vimeo.com/103557889
how did i mistaken em for P51s.i feel the same way when i get on the bus and miss my stop... ?? just kidding.
is her business, she sitting on a bus thats not moving.
make mistake then repents.hi, i have another strategy in the works, and would like to see if anyone has opinions on it. the idea accumulate wealth and profits through carry trading. it is supposed to be a very slow but extremely stable way to make money, so patience for 5-10 years to achieve the wealth is expected. so carry trading is to go long on interest rate differentials. however the problem here is that if the exchange rates tank, we will lose money rather than make money. so the idea is to use zero cost hedging, in essence if we are long gbpjpy with 1lot, what we...
where ideas comes from?
{quote} interesting cookie. if it make $ why bother opinions? but 1 thingy i like point out. in markets nothing is long term. even long term is managed daily. otherwise dealers has nothing to do la. i not like trade ifs. when have ifs i make all sorts strategy manage the ifs. risk i always mark to markets. have you ever tried live in day after tomollo, without living tomollo?
{quote} hi, fti, thanks for the comment. i wrote this for 2 reasons, first i assume theres always someone smarter and better than me, and also point out my mistakes. 2ndly, having been a retail trader for afew months with real money, i feel that although you and i may feel that we are making progress, but to people outside who are not trading, we are just gambling, and sometimes what we need is a second chance or a 3rd chance while we hone our skills. so if nobody is interested in giving us a 2nd chance, then it would be best to learn a more defensive...
markets no adjust interest rates. maybe new invention? sometime camels drop in the valleys.{quote}
{quote} ic, hmm, because for retail, commissions is a problem, so frequent ins and outs can eat away at the net returns, so i would prefer to just let it roll daily, and establish the position for at least 1 month, otherwise it may end up as negative. because the outset is when we buy gbp/jpy at say 1.6000, we buy put at 1.6000, sell call at 1.6000, which hedges intrinsic value, and we only gain from interest rates rollovers, and if we employ leverage to say 2x, we would be increase the interest rates by 2x per day, which means we are not actively...
you think commission is big thingy?{quote}
{quote} ah yea, the bulk of it comes from infrastructure and operating costs, actually for most business, its quite risky, since the startup cost is really high, and hard to recoup value which has gone into rental and inventory and operating. really respect people who are entrepreneurial.
so you understand sunken costing.
