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  • #4,241
  • Jul 30, 2014 12:52pm Jul 30, 2014 12:52pm
re: FOMC: I expect nothing new. But now, no news is bad news, because that's uncertainty. And if there is news, it could only be relative to a more hawkish stance on ir's. So, no news is bad news, as is new news. So we drop. We'll see in 10 minutes....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #4,242
  • Jul 30, 2014 1:13pm Jul 30, 2014 1:13pm
Business as usual... VIX / VXX / UVXY dropping, indices rising... new highs in sight or not?
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #4,243
  • Jul 30, 2014 1:14pm Jul 30, 2014 1:14pm
Quoting StrayDog
Business as usual... VIX / VXX / UVXY dropping, indices rising... new highs in sight or not?
Vertical!!!!! Business As Usual :-)
  • #4,244
  • Jul 30, 2014 1:19pm Jul 30, 2014 1:19pm
"The FOMC repeated it’s likely to reduce bond buying in “further measured steps” and to keep interest rates low for a “considerable time” after ending purchases. "

From
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-0...purchases.html
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #4,245
  • Jul 30, 2014 1:19pm Jul 30, 2014 1:19pm
Damn! I was wrong. First time for everything, I guess.

Still bearish, though, prolly double down on a Sep SSO call credit spread....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #4,246
  • Jul 30, 2014 1:22pm Jul 30, 2014 1:22pm
Quoting StrayDog
"The FOMC repeated it’s likely to reduce bond buying in “further measured steps” and to keep interest rates low for a “considerable time” after ending purchases. " From http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-0...purchases.html
But also: "Inflation has moved somewhat closer to the Committee's longer-run objective," ...that's new.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #4,247
  • Jul 30, 2014 1:31pm Jul 30, 2014 1:31pm
Quoting njr
{quote} Vertical!!!!! Business As Usual :-)
Not gonna stick. Pretty much a fizzle.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #4,248
  • Jul 30, 2014 1:40pm Jul 30, 2014 1:40pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} But also: "Inflation has moved somewhat closer to the Committee's longer-run objective," ...that's new.
totally like farting in the elevator, bonds will keep selling off
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #4,249
  • Jul 30, 2014 1:46pm Jul 30, 2014 1:46pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} DOW has a possibility to bounce from here as does the Euro from here too, I'm hoping the idicies keep falling as I'm testing the butterfly from yesterday but I'm buying the euro at 1.3377 with a s/l 13366
could see it, my butterfly test not looking good thus far bit in profit and s/l to b/e on the euro
  • #4,250
  • Jul 30, 2014 1:49pm Jul 30, 2014 1:49pm
YELP is almost 10% up...


And pumping continues
Stocks could rise another 25%

I remember when gold was at 1900+ highs, all those articles like "5 Reasons Why Gold Should Be 5,000" ....
Seems to me that market is searching for a reason to drop, but it cant find one good enough. At the same time there is a lack of will to push trough 2,000 for SnP or 4,000 for Nasdaq100. Summer volume is always lighter, but this time its 20% below average (according to Bloomberg). I don't want to spend entire summer in a range... please Wall Street thieves, do something . Could use a correction, and my birthday is really, really close... Please?
But super grandma yet again delivers milk & cookies.

Yo, wake up dude!

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Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #4,251
  • Jul 30, 2014 1:59pm Jul 30, 2014 1:59pm
Quoting StrayDog
YELP is almost 10% up... And pumping continues Stocks could rise another 25% I remember when gold was at 1900+ highs, all those articles like "5 Reasons Why Gold Should Be 5,000" .... Seems to me that market is searching for a reason to drop, but it cant find one good enough. At the same time there is a lack of will to push trough 2,000 for SnP or 4,000 for Nasdaq100. Summer volume is always lighter, but this time its 20% below average (according...
He may awake by the close
  • #4,252
  • Jul 30, 2014 2:03pm Jul 30, 2014 2:03pm
If we do have a one day siGnificant drop it could be tomorrow as its the last day of the month as new trading areas will be calculated for AUGUST/SEPTEMBER
  • #4,253
  • Jul 30, 2014 2:07pm Jul 30, 2014 2:07pm
Quoting StrayDog
.... Seems to me that market is searching for a reason to drop, but it cant find one good enough. At the same time there is a lack of will to push trough 2,000 for SnP or 4,000 for Nasdaq100. {image}
Well, if a 4% print for the GDP can't make it happen (ie, push the indices up), what would? I see a top here in SnP 1,950-2,000. I could be wrong, but even if I am, I like selling index calls: whatever moves up we put in from here are likely to be a grind, until we see a healthy correction.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #4,254
  • Jul 30, 2014 2:12pm Jul 30, 2014 2:12pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} could see it, my butterfly test not looking good thus far bit in profit and s/l to b/e on the euro
CLOSED THE LONG EURO at 1.3389 for+12, and opened a short on euro at 1.388 with a s/l at 1.3402. If euro closed below 134.70 then the gates to hell are open imo

mean 1.3370
  • #4,255
  • Jul 30, 2014 2:14pm Jul 30, 2014 2:14pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} CLOSED THE LONG EURO at 1.3389 for+12, and opened a short on euro at 1.388 with a s/l at 1.3402. If euro closed below 134.70 then the gates to hell are open imo mean 1.3370
I'm with you on the weak EUR, Cecil.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #4,256
  • Jul 30, 2014 2:17pm Jul 30, 2014 2:17pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} Well, if a 4% print for the GDP can't make it happen (ie, push the indices up), what would? I see a top here in SnP 1,950-2,000. I could be wrong, but even if I am, I like selling index calls: whatever moves up we put in from here are likely to be a grind, until we see a healthy correction.
think you may be right and it will be a healthy correction rather than 2008 crash
  • #4,257
  • Jul 30, 2014 2:27pm Jul 30, 2014 2:27pm
I just opened a demo on dough platform... Tom's team just posted a trade:

YELP bearish call spread 77/78 for this week expiry, its about $0.40 credit now.

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Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #4,258
  • Jul 30, 2014 2:49pm Jul 30, 2014 2:49pm
Quoting StrayDog
I just opened a demo on dough platform...
I like dough. I'll be watching Yelp and might fade a spike up post ER.

Somebody made some bank on YPF today, which was all about the Argentina default....options volume was way up, i am thinking about doing a Sep bear call spread, but I will prolly wait to see if it can make another push up tomorrow, after the default-averting deal is done.
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #4,259
  • Jul 30, 2014 2:58pm Jul 30, 2014 2:58pm
Quoting The Fool
I have never tweeted. Gotta believe this spike will be erased, though..... {image}
TWTR holding steady >$46, I will be looking to sell Sep calls tomorrow...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #4,260
  • Jul 30, 2014 3:07pm Jul 30, 2014 3:07pm
Quoting StrayDog
I just opened a demo on dough platform... Tom's team just posted a trade: YELP bearish call spread 77/78 for this week expiry, its about $0.40 credit now. {image}
YELP is skyrocketing.... $82 now...
Hope is dangerous in this game.
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