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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #48,941
  • Jul 20, 2014 4:05pm Jul 20, 2014 4:05pm
Quoting fti
{quote} http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=amcCFsww1kA regards
thank you.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,942
  • Edited 4:20pm Jul 20, 2014 4:08pm | Edited 4:20pm
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  • #48,943
  • Edited 6:10pm Jul 20, 2014 4:57pm | Edited 6:10pm
intertwined roots.
will only know when time is right.

http://www.jesus.org/life-of-jesus/p...is-a-tare.html

I planted a tree decades ago.
It suppose to produces the most beautiful smelling flowers.
but i never seen it flower for decades.can't stop watering and fertilising it.
When i was wondering all over the world mom was the one nurturing it.


any one knows the story of the chinese bamboo plant?

regards

oh by the way, my dogs they had been killing rats , butterflies, bees, cockcroaches, squarrels, giant lizards......................any thing that moves.
I keep trying explain to them. Everything has a purpose, without the bees , who's going to polinate my fruit trees.
without earth worms who's going transport the neutrients to the trees.
but i think i not getting thru to their understanding.they digs up the ants everything.......anything that moves in the compound.
and they always barks at my koi when she comes around for daily feeding.
i think my koi also thinks they crazy.
  • #48,944
  • Jul 20, 2014 8:40pm Jul 20, 2014 8:40pm
thanks to http://www.clarkdanger.com/

A poor Chinese farmer and his wife are wondering around at the local sunday market. The farmer catches a glimpse of a booth selling the most gorgeous bamboo he’s ever seen. Walking over to the booth, the Chinese farmer and his wife marvel at the size of their neighbors crop.
“how long did all of this take to grow?”. Asked the farmer. To which the crop owner replied “only about five weeks!”. Seeing the potential business opportunity right in front of him the farmer and his wife asked their neighbor if they could buy some of his seed so that they too may begin to grow and sell a bamboo crop. Their neighbor happily gave them some seeds as they parted ways.
Ecstatic about their future, the Chinese farmer and his wife immediately head to their farm and plant their new crop. Five weeks later, the farmer and his wife are disappointed when their crop is barely visible. The couple begin to question the quality of their seed. “Patience” the farmer tells his wife, as they stand above their barren land.
For years the farmer and his wife take care of their tree. Their bamboo tree is watered, nourished and provided an optimal environment for growth, but still nothing happens.
Discouraged, but not defeated, the farmer and his wife continue his slow steady process of caring for their tree. Their care extends for not one, two, or three years, but FOUR long years. Still nothing happens to their tree. Staring down at their four year seedling, they decide to do what most would, give up.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,945
  • Jul 20, 2014 8:40pm Jul 20, 2014 8:40pm
thanks to http://theskyisthelimit.se/


A great lesson of patience, persistence and hard work can be learned from the story of planting Chinese bamboo. Unlike most other plants, Chinese bamboo is quite unique on its own. When this bamboo is planted, watered, and nurtured for the whole growing season, it does not outwardly develop even just for an inch. Then, on the next growing season, the farmer must continue to irrigate, fertilize and care for the bamboo tree and yet nothing happens – it fails to sprout just the same.

And as the seasons go in and out, the farmer has to continue caring for the bamboo for four consecutive years. What could really be discouraging is the farmer has nothing substantial to demonstrate for all of his labor in caring and growing the tree. Four lonely years of hard work and caring and yet you have nothing!

And then on the fifth year, you must be prepared for something so amazing and incredible!

All the hard work seems to be paid off on the fifth year because that Chinese bamboo tree seed at last grows and not just growing as we normally see with other plants. The bamboo tree shoots up to more than 80 feet all in just one growing season! Now, that is a very astonishing demonstration of the power of nature!

Now, you might be thinking: Did the small tree loll inactive for four years and then just decides to grow dramatically on the fifth? I think the answer is quite clear for us to see. The little tree was actually developing itself underground by expanding its root system to make it tough enough to sustain its impending external growth in the fifth year and even beyond.

Now, had the tree failed to build up a strong and able underground foundation, it would be impossible for it to keep on growing when it is time to sprout outside into the outside world.

This story is very much true in rearing our beautiful children. As parents, we have to patiently exert efforts in teaching and disciplining our children for them to develop right values and to adopt strong character while at the same time defeat many difficulties and different challenges.

If that Chinese bamboo farmer dug up his little bamboo seeds each year just because he is curious or wants to make sure it was growing or what, he could effectively stopped the tree’s growth. There are times when we demand our little children to sit still and behave and be patient but big lessons can be deeply taught once they are demonstrated in actions and not just in words.

don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,946
  • Jul 21, 2014 2:09am Jul 21, 2014 2:09am
Quoting priceaction1
thanks to http://theskyisthelimit.se/ A great lesson of patience, persistence and hard work can be learned from the story of planting Chinese bamboo. Unlike most other plants, Chinese bamboo is quite unique on its own. When this bamboo is planted, watered, and nurtured for the whole growing season, it does not outwardly develop even just for an inch. Then, on the next growing season, the farmer must continue to irrigate, fertilize and care for the bamboo tree and yet nothing happens – it fails to sprout just the same. And as the seasons...
Hello Friends ,
Patience is a key to many things in life !!!
Thanks for the reminder !!!
regards
Michael
Do not be victim to conflict of the General and Commander in you - by FTI
  • #48,947
  • Jul 21, 2014 2:31am Jul 21, 2014 2:31am
Thanks to Priceaction 1 it lead me to this Thread & i read 98 pages or thought i had but going to start from post 1 ! The stop loss is going to be ditched in the bin ( thank you) . I always seen the logic of trading naked and love what price can tell you and the beauty of the candle's .
So much to learn and only trade demo at this stage .
I also interested in Binary's and trade that ''live'' at a loss but feel the knowledge in here will help with the determination to succeed .
A big thank FTI and all those who also have seen the light , much respect .
  • #48,948
  • Jul 21, 2014 3:52am Jul 21, 2014 3:52am
Quoting Swis
{quote} Here I made a nice video for you, hope it helps.
..cheers
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #48,949
  • Edited 6:12am Jul 21, 2014 5:57am | Edited 6:12am
ant work in progress

time out.
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don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,950
  • Jul 21, 2014 6:26am Jul 21, 2014 6:26am
aiyo fti, want tell you deep secret but think u mentioned u disabiled pm. me have a qns regarding eating beef.

http://www.sacred-texts.com/bib/fbe/fbe166.htm

in order we not get kciked off forum. let me know how we can communicate
THE ALL is MIND; The Universe is Mental
  • #48,951
  • Jul 21, 2014 6:41am Jul 21, 2014 6:41am
Quoting fti
{quote} sukiyaki style or char broiled? https://www.biblegateway.com/passage...11&version=KJV All world sin, if you want you can go on spaceship. by 3f rules, make sure is rented. regards

i pray i not get kicked off

soli, what is 3f rules.

also what i understand from your link is that, whatever man eat is fine but depending on what man says is that which cause them sin?
then why enoch ask his son not touch beef because of what comes from it? what is the "what comes from it?" i am curious here as it also bear similarity to Hindusim and buddism where they not suppose eat beef but of course with different reasons. i not understand what is the reasons behind enoch's instructions to his sons

also what is" But whoever kills beast without wounds, kills his own soul and defiles his own flesh." reffering to?

have to inflict wound to kill for food? otherwise how to kill? kill by strangling?
THE ALL is MIND; The Universe is Mental
  • #48,952
  • Jul 21, 2014 7:03am Jul 21, 2014 7:03am
Quoting fti
{quote} oh 3f rules is just safety rules. even i not follows. if it flys , or floats or flaunts, rent it. Thou shall not kill. regards but of course if you want discuss amendments. then we can explore instances where you can overide the code. maybe i ask my neighbour do it for me? I did not kill the poor animal. It presented itself in a nice packet. just admit we all kills. otherwise we may starve. me i eat things that alive mostly. i not very much like eat dead things, very messy need lots cooking. actually i not bothered about what i eat. what...
aiyo, i very lost lah. are you basically saying by right mankind should not kill to eat meat and mankind should not eat alive animals since they still have lifeblood. since mankind all already eating meat by killing them indirectly and eat live animals, mankind already sin?

but this doesnt explain what Enoch says "because of what comes from it" an in particular, he referred to beef.
THE ALL is MIND; The Universe is Mental
  • #48,953
  • Jul 21, 2014 7:27am Jul 21, 2014 7:27am
Quoting fti
{quote} I not think there much to explain. All of earth is energy transfers. One have choice get the energy from primary source or from dirty source. All have choice. you can get the energy source from any monkey if you like. meat from any animals is same from meat from your wife or your enemies. If meat is your source , then mouth just say meat is my source, i am monster. But of course there is civilised monsters and uncivilised monsters. yeah sure .The mouth can say anything it deems meaningful. Really does it change anything? regards

in fact all of earth is energy balance and mass balance. of course one may say mass = energy by enstien's discovery. so lets not go there.

basically, what i understand from you is that there is nothing to explain because anyway mankind all sinned? and since mankind already sinned there is nothing to explain from Enoch's instructions?

is that equivalent to say"mum ask young child not touch the hot kettle but because he already touched it and burned his hand so no need ask mum why not touch?"
that is very true, since his hand itchy and touch hot kettle and get burned, then he learn from experience he shouldnt touch, but in that case he dont know the true reasons why. because water in kettle is being heated to high temperature and metal is good conductor of heat, thus one shouldnt touch the kettle of boiling water because the heat will be easily transferred to the hand.

my intention is to understand the meansing behind enoch instructions. whether acording to him, one shoudld eat meat a not in particular beef. and how should one obtain the meat. creater give all that move as food to man. so how should man take his food?

http://biblehub.com/genesis/9-3.htm
THE ALL is MIND; The Universe is Mental
  • #48,954
  • Jul 21, 2014 8:11am Jul 21, 2014 8:11am
ok all out as well ... squared for the day ...
I think got enuff pips to cover my purchase today

darn shiok now ... my babies singing to me now

scratch that ... re-enter again
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  • #48,955
  • Jul 21, 2014 8:37am Jul 21, 2014 8:37am
Quoting fti
{quote} wah you steal my my my . nevermind is your now not my problem leh. when resting in box see what is my my my, hor. KC always have a habit. Always asking that one is mine or is yours? i always telling him. You older go box first, so is now yours. later will be mine. regards wah i like your collection. may i touch it?
no mine nor no yours
end of time also have to square just leave it to the market to decide
  • #48,956
  • Jul 21, 2014 8:46am Jul 21, 2014 8:46am
Quoting fti
{quote} i thought you said cannot find chenjia cd? wah, you send scouts out ? regards
My initial indicators no show leh

Only after dropping it and follow fti's phenomenom then I manage to find the cd

Actually it is not so difficult to find if you put your heart to it

Regards,

Ok now really squared .... I think I dont be overly excited today

btw I saw a cd on 3 kingdoms ... mainly instrumental ... tempted to buy
  • #48,957
  • Jul 21, 2014 9:13am Jul 21, 2014 9:13am
Quoting fti
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wv1PF0tAE1s ai ya quick get my fighting spider container. time go beaches already? {image}
Hi Chief

feels good to take back point 66
really have to find out who sold us out

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Regards,

let me catch my spider first ... then we go fight
  • #48,958
  • Jul 21, 2014 10:45am Jul 21, 2014 10:45am
Quoting fti
{quote} you already know of the problem. ....
thank you...I am gonna go with flow of market for now while bearing in mind the strength of impulsive moves - candles/gradient/time should make them obvious and some patterns eg ending diagonals(wedges)/abc corrections/triangles..... leaving the crystal ball at h... - well where-ever anyone would leave such a thing - not me do not have one - never will - bad path

thanks again
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #48,959
  • Edited 11:44am Jul 21, 2014 11:06am | Edited 11:44am
time out = BE
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,960
  • Jul 21, 2014 11:10am Jul 21, 2014 11:10am
Quoting fti
Apologies -no mentor, or course, or literiture can give anyone the holy grail to the secrets of success in trading in the markets. -"and no one, sells the goose that lays golden eggs, probably the eggs, but never the goose" Nevertheless, I will humbly attempt. Since the late 70s and into the millinium. Many "engineers" have made public, their inventions of reading probabilities into Technical Indicators. Many Technical Analysis Gurus came to the forefront to sell their research findings. To name a few, The Grand daddy being Charles Dow and his Dow...
If you cannot utilize it to your benefit, that's not the analysis method's fault. There's no holy grail, but to say price action (the basis of technical analysis) has nothing to do with an asset's movement is hog wash, indeed.

Regardless of your biased method, it's all placing a bet on the asset's direction whether it be technical analysis, fundamentals, statistical arbitrage, etc. I use a combination of several methods and do quite well. I know people that only use technical or fundamental analysis and also do quite well. I know plenty that try to use everything, get analysis paralysis and go tits up.

My only words of wisdom is, don't knock it because it doesn't work for you. If it didn't work for everyone it wouldn't be around
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
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