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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #15,421
  • Jul 16, 2014 4:40am Jul 16, 2014 4:40am
Quoting infinitus
EU Murrey Math levels and direction I expect a further drop towards 3550 area. The following corrective upside should be contained below of the 3611 level. After that, near term target toward the 3488 level on the downside {image}

I reduce my long time short a bit here @ 3536 (20%) with an offsetting long position

will further ease towards 3488
  • #15,422
  • Jul 17, 2014 3:34am Jul 17, 2014 3:34am
Hah so much about Rickards claiming Russian sanctions will not increase...again wrong!

Meanwhile EU draging itself on 3510 slowly this wont be bottom, it should break. Will short 355 hopefully if it gets there, slowly by chance
  • #15,423
  • Jul 17, 2014 3:51am Jul 17, 2014 3:51am
Quoting janpec1000
GJ shorts coming in this area, look for lower TFs for entries. http://prntscr.com/42uhsf CJ: http://prntscr.com/42uigs
Done and done
  • #15,424
  • Jul 17, 2014 4:14am Jul 17, 2014 4:14am
Quoting infinitus
Good morning friends, sorry for not being around much. I am preparing my next weeks full of mountaineering. So I am occupied with preparations and training
Oh Cool, are you going away for a week then ? Hope you have a nice time.
  • #15,425
  • Jul 17, 2014 4:16am Jul 17, 2014 4:16am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Done and done
Well done! I was also looking for shorting this at 174.50 level but just kept waiting. GJ still need to wake up from its slumber and show us some moves! Still some downside to it though!
  • #15,426
  • Jul 17, 2014 6:19am Jul 17, 2014 6:19am
Quoting workingforex
{quote} Oh Cool, are you going away for a week then ? Hope you have a nice time.
Will be away for over three weeks. Do not know if I will have regularly Internet access

Vacation starts in the 2nd week of August, but am already preparing with Trainings and Meetings beforehand
  • #15,427
  • Jul 17, 2014 6:31am Jul 17, 2014 6:31am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Will be away for over three weeks. Do not know if I will have regularly Internet access Vacation starts in the 2nd week of August, but am already preparing with Trainings and Meetings beforehand
Three weeks! No you are allowed only two

Lol... we will miss you! Keep us posted!
  • #15,428
  • Jul 17, 2014 10:39am Jul 17, 2014 10:39am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Will be away for over three weeks. Do not know if I will have regularly Internet access Vacation starts in the 2nd week of August, but am already preparing with Trainings and Meetings beforehand
Are you doing hiking or proper mountain climbing?
  • #15,429
  • Jul 17, 2014 12:08pm Jul 17, 2014 12:08pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Are you doing hiking or proper mountain climbing?

ice-climbing
mixed-climbing
alpine-climbing


at home mostly bouldering and sport-climbing


but since most climbing spots are remote, hiking is nearly always involved
  • #15,430
  • Jul 17, 2014 12:31pm Jul 17, 2014 12:31pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} ice-climbing mixed-climbing alpine-climbing at home mostly bouldering and sport-climbing but since most climbing spots are remote, hiking is nearly always involved
Sounds like an adventure. I love hiking, although I'm sure my Appalachian Mountains pale in comparison. Please post some pictures when you get back.

This is from North Carolina, great camping area.
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  • #15,431
  • Jul 17, 2014 1:30pm Jul 17, 2014 1:30pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} ice-climbing mixed-climbing alpine-climbing at home mostly bouldering and sport-climbing but since most climbing spots are remote, hiking is nearly always involved
here is the challenge for you
Inserted Video
  • #15,432
  • Jul 17, 2014 1:36pm Jul 17, 2014 1:36pm
Quoting calderone
{quote} Sounds like an adventure. I love hiking, although I'm sure my Appalachian Mountains pale in comparison. Please post some pictures when you get back. This is from North Carolina, great camping area. {image}

No, the Apalachian Mountains are great. Very nice for hiking, I am sure. Wonderful :-)

And from a climbing perspective, at least one can find some nic boulder spots http://www.newenglandbouldering.com/


It must not the extreme every time. One day I will visit them........
  • #15,433
  • Jul 17, 2014 11:23pm Jul 17, 2014 11:23pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} No, the Apalachian Mountains are great. Very nice for hiking, I am sure. Wonderful :-) And from a climbing perspective, at least one can find some nic boulder spots http://www.newenglandbouldering.com/ It must not the extreme every time. One day I will visit them........
  • #15,434
  • Jul 18, 2014 3:07am Jul 18, 2014 3:07am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} ice-climbing mixed-climbing alpine-climbing at home mostly bouldering and sport-climbing but since most climbing spots are remote, hiking is nearly always involved
Damn ice climbing...i was even smushing my butt together when watching Touching the void, cant even imagine doing something like that.
  • #15,435
  • Jul 18, 2014 10:09am Jul 18, 2014 10:09am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} I reduce my long time short a bit here @ 3536 (20%) with an offsetting long position will further ease towards 3488
  • #15,436
  • Jul 18, 2014 10:17am Jul 18, 2014 10:17am
Quoting infinitus
EU Murrey Math levels and direction I expect a further drop towards 3550 area. The following corrective upside should be contained below of the 3611 level. After that, near term target toward the 3488 level on the downside {image}
the 3550 was cut like butter

analysis:

the 3550 was not only a Murrey Math level but also the POC of a near term Gaussian distribution.

Here is my fault:

the POC of a distribution MAY offer S/R, but the low volume zones on the outer limits of the distribution are much more likely to offer S/R

with this being said, the appropriate level for support at the given time was the 3520 to 3530 area


you can see here: look at the 32day distribution and the 160 days distribution

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...79#post7608579
  • #15,437
  • Jul 18, 2014 10:55am Jul 18, 2014 10:55am
sometimes channels work like a charm

EU 4h TF
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  • #15,438
  • Jul 18, 2014 1:03pm Jul 18, 2014 1:03pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} the 3550 was cut like butter analysis: the 3550 was not only a Murrey Math level but also the POC of a near term Gaussian distribution. Here is my fault: the POC of a distribution MAY offer S/R, but the low volume zones on the outer limits of the distribution are much more likely to offer S/R with this being said, the appropriate level for support at the given time was the 3520 to 3530 area you can see here: look at the 32day distribution and the 160 days distribution http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...79#post7608579...


Been an easy, easy week on EU, as far as monday did not break and close over 1.3640 ... next target was 1.3572 and 1.3493 in extension, both hit ... both cashed.

Now a 3W pullback, with first target 1.35657 ... and second target 1.3612-.13628 .... if that fails ... (and will fail) ... 1.3400 it's next target zone ... on Daily, this downmove from 1.3966 should end near 1.33-1.30 zone ... just fishing in wild waters ... it's safe, if you use a good lifeguard
  • #15,439
  • Jul 18, 2014 1:12pm Jul 18, 2014 1:12pm
Quoting rbetancor
{quote} Been an easy, easy week on EU, as far as monday did not break and close over 1.3640 ... next target was 1.3572 and 1.3493 in extension, both hit ... both cashed. Now a 3W pullback, with first target 1.35657 ... and second target 1.3612-.13628 .... if that fails ... (and will fail) ... 1.3400 it's next target zone ... on Daily, this downmove from 1.3966 should end near 1.33-1.30 zone ... just fishing in wild waters ... it's safe, if you use a good lifeguard
Looking forward to meet you there, in deep waters of 134 or 133
  • #15,440
  • Jul 18, 2014 1:28pm Jul 18, 2014 1:28pm
Ok guys look for EURUSD longs next week, we should see 3535 first then higher.
http://prntscr.com/43zd3d

This is mid-short term view, EU can still go lower after that, but those are first targets.
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