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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #48,381
  • Jul 9, 2014 5:08pm Jul 9, 2014 5:08pm
Quoting trad8
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eHRktJY-iZ4
wah beautiful, i nearly fainted.
wonderful lyrics. wah. heart want to stop already.

This zoundcracker hor, her knowledge of music is uncomparable.

regards
  • #48,382
  • Jul 9, 2014 5:18pm Jul 9, 2014 5:18pm
good morning dear
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don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,383
  • Edited 8:17pm Jul 9, 2014 5:30pm | Edited 8:17pm
Quoting priceaction1
good morning dear {image}


Good morning. wow you sure love chrysanthemum.
very lovely fragrant flower.
reminds me of lots memories.

regards
  • #48,384
  • Jul 9, 2014 6:34pm Jul 9, 2014 6:34pm
aud/usd!! rubber band and lethargic moves
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don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,385
  • Edited 8:50pm Jul 9, 2014 8:38pm | Edited 8:50pm
aud/usd catch the fish@ 0.9449. opss it was 0.94449. typo stop loss@ BE.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,386
  • Jul 9, 2014 8:53pm Jul 9, 2014 8:53pm
Quoting priceaction1
aud/usd catch the fish@ 0.9449. opss it was 0.94449. typo stop loss@ BE.
Good job
may I ask what bait you use to catch the fish pls?

Regards,

ps: if make some pips don't forget to go shopping and buy something nice for your gf ...
opps ... why this so familiar .. where did I hear it b4 ?
  • #48,387
  • Jul 9, 2014 9:03pm Jul 9, 2014 9:03pm
Quoting trad8
{quote} Good job may I ask what bait you use to catch the fish pls? Regards, ps: if make some pips don't forget to go shopping and buy something nice for your gf ... opps ... why this so familiar .. where did I hear it b4 ?
bite.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...19#post7594019
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,388
  • Jul 9, 2014 9:45pm Jul 9, 2014 9:45pm
Quoting fti
{quote} what bullshit. options IS insurance. you think the acturaial tables there for fun? these table more chim than those that ..................your money give you back nothing. these gives you back earnings reads. insurance is derived from these reads. markets go 3rd s.d. all you insurance brothers need coconut shell to hide under hor. how you think they derive insurance pricing? ai ya have eyes no see tarzan. dog is not a wolf? dog is derivative from wolf , my friend. all monetary instruments are derivatives from treasury products. even such...
Apologies for the bullshit. But after reading your post, I am not sure which part of my discussion is off track. Is it the wording of "options is like insurance" ? Wasn't aware and is interesting to note that actuarial tables are used in financial options pricing? Or rather can be used in all sorts of options instrument. Found some research paper on the net on that subject - actuarial approach to option pricing
Sorry for off topic, will end discussion. But let me know where I gone wrong.
THE ALL is MIND; The Universe is Mental
  • #48,389
  • Jul 9, 2014 9:51pm Jul 9, 2014 9:51pm
ego!!!
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,390
  • Jul 9, 2014 10:10pm Jul 9, 2014 10:10pm
Quoting fti
{quote} wah this ChenDongRong belli tokkong. regards
wa.. so deep n rich voice.. must be drinking lots of beer!
  • #48,391
  • Jul 10, 2014 12:36am Jul 10, 2014 12:36am
Maybe I'll help some people with this post.
fti provides a nice guide, and when you read this thread I simply suggest demoing and trade journals. I've found a lot of things by accident, just practicing, and flipping through my trade journal. I put many days behind the chart and I went through soo many trades(taken very seriously on a DEMO account) I stress that because I was running on making no profit for 6 months, just to learn! And I am still passionately having fun doing this--though not demoing anymore. Many of my friends now think I'm dead(I haven't logged into my steam or instagram account in many months and managed to be a popular kid to a nobody in a year lol..., and my family thinks I'm a total nut(though p&l reassures them that I'm not on drugs). I hardly implement the insurance policy fti mentions in this thread and if I do the time window is so small--narrowed down with experience, just because I learned to better avoid wars. I have some sort of intuition formed at this point about market warnings. The market loves to warn about possibilities and the warnings are just so obvious when referenced to the tools fti provides; just like he mentions it becomes like driving a car. I still learn new things in the mkt. But if it offers me bad weather on the battlefield, and I not know how to act, I simply don't trade and just try to analyze it. I recently did something fun with my family. My father used to be a stock broker and he was always so sure about himself--wasn't a big winner, so not sure why. I asked him if he was able to bring the brightest person he knows when it comes to economic forecasts etc and to trade against me(not necessarily taking opposing sides but competitively comparing demo results for 2 weeks). I completely destroyed him and he offered me a job. This is from a kid who has only taken 1 economics 101 course in college, & hardly was any good at math. I stress that the market is the best teacher. It also helps I discovered fti's modus operandi, because it fits my character very well. I used to be a heavy technical gamer, so I'm used to staring at the screens all day while implementing strategy. Also, I love the imagination used behind this strategy. At the end of it all, all I have to say is that passion rewards. I was never angry with the mkt when learning all of this. I've read a lot of threads of people bitching about things not going their way--it's kind of sad. I just seemed to go with the flow of things throughout and I've been rewarded with a neat skill, priceless in a sense and hidden in the confines of my mind.
  • #48,392
  • Jul 10, 2014 12:49am Jul 10, 2014 12:49am
job Weldon.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,393
  • Jul 10, 2014 2:36am Jul 10, 2014 2:36am
Quoting Jacque
{quote} Apologies for the bullshit. But after reading your post, I am not sure which part of my discussion is off track. Is it the wording of "options is like insurance" ? Wasn't aware and is interesting to note that actuarial tables are used in financial options pricing? Or rather can be used in all sorts of options instrument. Found some research paper on the net on that subject - actuarial approach to option pricing Sorry for off topic, will end discussion. But let me know where I gone wrong.
what apologies for?

the comment was for peeps not know about insurance.and options.
what has to do with your comments?
you didn't say anything wrong.
was my comment to peeps no brains recognise things right under their nose.

regards
  • #48,394
  • Jul 10, 2014 2:42am Jul 10, 2014 2:42am
Quoting priceaction1
aud/usd catch the fish@ 0.9449. opss it was 0.94449. typo stop loss@ BE.
close 0.9373. fry fish.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #48,395
  • Jul 10, 2014 2:45am Jul 10, 2014 2:45am
lol made this video for you guys<3 Sorry, I'm as shy as people get so this took a lot of guts, but there are a lot of mindset secrets. Maybe, I post video logs of trades later on, though I won't be sharing much cause fti's moth learning curve story is in the back of my mind


Inserted Video
  • #48,396
  • Jul 10, 2014 4:00am Jul 10, 2014 4:00am
Quoting Swis
lol made this video for you guys<3 Sorry, I'm as shy as people get so this took a lot of guts, but there are a lot of mindset secrets. Maybe, I post video logs of trades later on, though I won't be sharing much cause fti's moth learning curve story is in the back of my mind http://youtu.be/yndBe3xe43w
Thank you for sharing this - it says a lot about you. I am a scientist not an artist but I take great inspiration from your post and my own messages. Your video has told me more about this approach than anything else i have read so far - somehow it got to me. Thank you.

I have never read a thread like this one - and I have never read one where so many people find their own way of doing something that goes so well for them. I cannot put my finger on why exactly that is. I have a feeling this is your own personal journey - we all have different stories - and so we all have to go on the journey in our way and time.

I do not think there is a "guru" with the answers - the answers are inside ourselves - some people will not like that answer - I was a bit suspicious about it but am trying to learn to let go - not easy as I have learned that I have 2 of me - 1 rigid -the other a rebel.

If anyone is looking for the question to the answer - IMO it is not here - this is about you and your journey - every journey will be different - maybe that is the answer.
check out the terrain - follow never lead
  • #48,397
  • Jul 10, 2014 4:10am Jul 10, 2014 4:10am
Hey Swiss,
Great to have a boxer fan around

Just thought I'd share this video, so much inspiration.

Inserted Video


Cheers
Fall in love with the process, and the outcome takes care of itself.
  • #48,398
  • Jul 10, 2014 4:18am Jul 10, 2014 4:18am
Quoting RelaxRay
Hey Swiss, Great to have a boxer fan around Just thought I'd share this video, so much inspiration. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYZzMPsm6c4 Cheers
AW man. Cool. Iron Mike. I haven't seen this video, but what a lot of casual fans didn't understand is that when Mike Tyson was actually good, was when his defense was insanely good. Note when he left his original trainer, he lost to Douglas cause he got cocky with his power...It wasn't so much his power, it was his movement and his set ups. Punches were leveraged perfectly, a lot like smokin' Joe Frazier. Thanks!
  • #48,399
  • Edited 4:34am Jul 10, 2014 4:21am | Edited 4:34am
ok , ok much inspirations.

have solution for harddisk crashes. maybe new reliable storage medium, maybe?
a friend directed me, to the answer.
baffles the mind. amongst other thngs.

http://io9.com/5938114/eight-things-...th-human-sperm

regards

wonder what they discovered about the egg.
at least can get at the market.
This medium difficult to source.
  • #48,400
  • Edited 4:44am Jul 10, 2014 4:25am | Edited 4:44am
Quoting Jacque
{quote} hi fti and appleboy, would like to addon to the discussion from another angle 1. options are like insurance, when one has a long position in the underlying and buys a put options, it is insuring against the fall in price 2. when price is in range, volatility is low, there is a higher chance that the options will expire worthless and not be exercised (of course one may just liquidate the almost worthless options before expiry), thus premium will be low because the risk to the writer is low 3. when price is move up/down crazily, voliatiltiy...
Thanks Jacque, i picked up a thing or two from your post.
makes sense to me, and thanks for your input.
i think i came to the same conclusion that options are like insurance, and would have posted something similar to what you have, but fti corrected us that Options IS insurance.
i guess it would be useful to know how the pro traders use fx options in their trading and when we have understood how they use it, we retails can then attempt to "reverse engineer" it and see how we can meta-game it to our advantage as we are more nimble.
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