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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #15,301
  • Jul 8, 2014 3:04am Jul 8, 2014 3:04am
Quoting infinitus
seems a reasonable place for shorts here between 3607 and around 3620 a break above 3615-3620 may result in extended move up to the 3641 to even 3672, but only with ranging or rejection to the downside first take a short here @ 3607 pending short @ 3611 and 3618 all SL above 3672


SL to BE
  • #15,302
  • Jul 8, 2014 3:53am Jul 8, 2014 3:53am
For now, outright rejection at the 61.8 fib level of 1.3587 (between 1.3610 - 1.3573). This sucker might actually hit 1.3810 before falling hard.....time will tell.
Lost....
  • #15,303
  • Jul 8, 2014 12:04pm Jul 8, 2014 12:04pm
Good afternoon traedorians peace and pips be upon all of u
hope all is fine
to summerize:
1) friday afternoon i closed two shorts:ecad from 4590 at 4468 (could have been better thank's to janpec) and uscad from 0690 at 0639
2)managed to take a ujpy short yesterday but due to a misinterpretation closed it with small profit this morning
3) fortunatly i took early this morning a cable short at 7146 eying 7050 but started worrying somehow because of the pullback
took a eurusd long at 3595 but i have to confess that was more gambling than analyzing looking to take profit at 3657 if pa agrees,lucky me
finally took a kiwi short at 8797,played a bearish divergence+D1 upper bolinger bands looking down right in a weekly supply zone,getting weaker though

any comment?advcie?
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #15,304
  • Jul 8, 2014 1:25pm Jul 8, 2014 1:25pm
Quoting bzzz
Good afternoon traedorians peace and pips be upon all of u hope all is fine to summerize: 1) friday afternoon i closed two shorts:ecad from 4590 at 4468 (could have been better thank's to janpec) and uscad from 0690 at 0639 2)managed to take a ujpy short yesterday but due to a misinterpretation closed it with small profit this morning 3) fortunatly i took early this morning a cable short at 7146 eying 7050 but started worrying somehow because of the pullback took a eurusd long at 3595 but i have to confess that was more gambling than...
Kiwi weekly chart looks tempting to short. imho
  • #15,305
  • Jul 8, 2014 5:13pm Jul 8, 2014 5:13pm
EU

Murrey Math levels and direction (VWAP assisted)


picture is relatively inhomogeneous right now. Although the downward direction is preferred, price may attempt to go higher first.

I would prefer short positions between 3618 - 3626 - 3641

Best strategie seems to be to split the positions, with the larger ones to the upper limits.
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  • #15,306
  • Jul 8, 2014 5:17pm Jul 8, 2014 5:17pm
EU playing fields and virgin POC's
Attached Image
  • #15,307
  • Jul 8, 2014 5:34pm Jul 8, 2014 5:34pm
EU

Volume profiles

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  • #15,308
  • Jul 8, 2014 6:30pm Jul 8, 2014 6:30pm
Quoting calderone
{quote} Kiwi weekly chart looks tempting to short. imho
yep maybe this week will give us a clue,thank you sir
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #15,309
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:03pm Jul 8, 2014 10:03pm
The Difference Between A Good And A Bad Trader: What Brain Imaging Reveals
  • #15,310
  • Jul 8, 2014 10:14pm Jul 8, 2014 10:14pm
EW on EU

Horvat

http://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/ell...er/2014/07/08/
  • #15,311
  • Jul 9, 2014 3:58am Jul 9, 2014 3:58am
Quoting infinitus
The Difference Between A Good And A Bad Trader: What Brain Imaging Reveals
Nice article, looks like Karl Pilkington was right, when i make bad trading decisions it isnt me, its my brain
  • #15,312
  • Jul 9, 2014 4:13am Jul 9, 2014 4:13am
killed my kiwi short for -12
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #15,313
  • Jul 9, 2014 2:29pm Jul 9, 2014 2:29pm
Quoting infinitus
EU Murrey Math levels and direction (VWAP assisted) picture is relatively inhomogeneous right now. Although the downward direction is preferred, price may attempt to go higher first. I would prefer short positions between 3618 - 3626 - 3641 Best strategie seems to be to split the positions, with the larger ones to the upper limits. {image}

Hmmm, is that called a hat-trick?


each of that levels got hit and price retraced


And Murky is calling me village idiot, someone told me
  • #15,314
  • Jul 9, 2014 2:45pm Jul 9, 2014 2:45pm
can i ask who is murky?
congrats on your short,mine still waiting for 3657 may never been hit
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #15,315
  • Jul 9, 2014 2:46pm Jul 9, 2014 2:46pm
or 3667
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #15,316
  • Jul 9, 2014 4:11pm Jul 9, 2014 4:11pm
EU volume profiles

for now price seems to be contained below 3664 to 367x area. A short term move above this area would only come with severe tail risk. A direct rise into the 3720 area has only very limited chance. Only with ranging beforehand on the daily TF such a move would get a higher probability.

TP for such a trade could very well be the 3584-90 area.

Extended move down may peak into the 3550-3560 no-business-zone. This zone is the gatekeeper for more downside.

I would prefer shorts towards the 3672 level, but keep powder dry for an extended move into the 3702 to 3733 area, although such an extended move seems to have low probability right now..

On the longer term lower side the 3484 level seems to be the right place for the price to take a bigger bounce to the north. Should this level be taken out, simply watch for 3408.
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  • #15,317
  • Jul 9, 2014 4:20pm Jul 9, 2014 4:20pm
EU

Murrey Math levels and direction (VWAP assisted)

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3657 and 3672 doable

extended 3702 to 3733, but lower probability
  • #15,318
  • Jul 9, 2014 4:21pm Jul 9, 2014 4:21pm
EU

playing field

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  • #15,319
  • Jul 9, 2014 4:37pm Jul 9, 2014 4:37pm
EU

EW 4h TF

so far this is the count I am going with
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  • #15,320
  • Jul 9, 2014 4:52pm Jul 9, 2014 4:52pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../picture-5.jpg
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