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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #15,001
  • Jun 20, 2014 1:25am Jun 20, 2014 1:25am
Just found this:


http://learnelliott.blogspot.de/2012...alysis-of.html

Infinitus --- Elliott Wave Analysis of Euro/USD: EURUSD Forex Elliott Wave Analysis – 3rd March, 20...
A interesting blog where the writer combines Murray math, which is a Gann related method with Elliott waves. Esoteric? Maybe. But stringent


  • #15,002
  • Jun 20, 2014 1:34am Jun 20, 2014 1:34am
Horvat on EU

http://www.forexcrunch.com/eurusd-re...wave-analysis/
  • #15,003
  • Jun 20, 2014 1:44am Jun 20, 2014 1:44am
http://www.dailyfx.com/technical_ana...timent=EUR/USD

SSI data from FXCM

EURUSD – Retail FX traders have sold aggressively into recent Euro strength, and a contrarian view of crowd sentiment suggests the pair could trade into fresh monthly peaks.

Trade Implications – EURUSD: Last week we highlighted a potential retail sentiment extreme as a key reason the Euro may bounce; the trading herd was extremely long EURUSD and one-sided positions pointed to a reversal.

Now crowds have sold aggressively into the Euro rally, and it seems likely that the pair continues onto test recent highs near $1.3675. A break above the June high would shift our overall bias in favor of Euro strength.
  • #15,004
  • Jun 20, 2014 1:53am Jun 20, 2014 1:53am
EU volume distributions


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  • #15,005
  • Jun 20, 2014 4:34am Jun 20, 2014 4:34am
Lara on US Oil




EW count long term


http://www.safehaven.com/article/342...nical-analysis
  • #15,006
  • Jun 20, 2014 4:49am Jun 20, 2014 4:49am
UK urged to give Germany access to RAF base that 'helped spy on Merkel'
http://rt.com/news/167164-uk-raf-nsa-merkel/

snipset:

The Independent has said it obtained documents showing that RAF Croughton hosts “tech support activity” by the Special Collection Service (SCS) – a joint CIA / NSA unit reportedly running around 100 listening posts. The posts are said to be coordinated with a scheme overseen by UK intelligence service, GCHQ.
Citing a legal opinion by the public law barrister Jemima Stratford QC, Watson added that the surveillance exposed by the US National Security Agency whistleblower Edward Snowden would be a breach of human rights laws.
The British MP previously wrote a similar letter to UK Foreign Secretary William Hague soon after the allegations on RAF Croughton spying hub were published last November, but to no avail.
According to Snowden’s revelations, the NSA and the GCHQ have had a tight and productive cooperation on spying on foreign leaders, with the UK spy agency even teaching its counterpart some surveillance tricks.
The latest Snowden leak on Wednesday revealed that the US has made top-secret deals with more than 30 countries to enable the NSA tap into fiber optic cables carrying internet data all across the world.


read the full article
  • #15,007
  • Jun 20, 2014 4:52am Jun 20, 2014 4:52am
All you need to know about ISIS and what is happening in Iraq

http://rt.com/news/166836-isis-isil-al-qaeda-iraq/
  • #15,008
  • Jun 20, 2014 5:07am Jun 20, 2014 5:07am
EU and EA shorts going well, target on EA is aprox 40-60 pips, EU not more than 20.

Meanwhile yesterday gold had massive rally, yet noone has reported it?????
  • #15,009
  • Jun 20, 2014 6:05am Jun 20, 2014 6:05am
Quote
Good morning traedorians,peace and pips be upon all of u
hope everybody is fine
watching these levels at the moment:
-1.4560X EUR/AUD for a short
-1.691X GBP/USD for a long
any thoughts?
Good morning traedorians,peace and pips be upon all of u

nerver been triggered (12 pips away)
missed by 1 pip

now looking to sell usd/jpy between 27 and 33 if it gets there
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #15,010
  • Jun 20, 2014 6:05am Jun 20, 2014 6:05am
Quoting infinitus
Murrey Math levels and direction (VWAP assisted) the daily TF octave has just jumped a bit. In doing this the octave now offers more upside risk towards the 3794 to 3855 level We have to watch the action towards the 3672 level (4/8 pivot) very carefully Shorter TF prefer the downside at the moment. A "premature" move toward the 3672 level will not abort the expected drop but only delay {image}
the 15min and the 1h TF got their targets successively. The Target for the 4h TF this morning pointed towards the 3550 (see picture in quoted posting)


Right now the 4h TF shows equilibrium at 3572, and the -2SD is towards 3509 (which opens Murrey math level at 3489, but 4/8 pivot @ 3550 is hard to break
  • #15,011
  • Jun 20, 2014 6:06am Jun 20, 2014 6:06am
Quoting bzzz
{quote} Good morning traedorians,peace and pips be upon all of u nerver been triggered (12 pips away) missed by 1 pip now looking to sell usd/jpy between 27 and 33 if it gets there
spread your orders properly above a reasonable area and you are fine
  • #15,012
  • Jun 20, 2014 6:08am Jun 20, 2014 6:08am
we are now at a no-business zone on many distributions


will get interesting here
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  • #15,013
  • Jun 20, 2014 6:11am Jun 20, 2014 6:11am
Quoting infinitus
we are now at a no-business zone on many distributions will get interesting here {image}
3580 might be the place to watch

offsetting here some of my long time shorts @ 3589 (15%)


long @ 3589
  • #15,014
  • Jun 20, 2014 6:12am Jun 20, 2014 6:12am
Damm! ... lost the oportunity to close longs on this morning retrace ... arg! ...

Well .. EW said ... that we have chances of seen 1.3684-1.3726, doing a 1H flat ... and then go down again ... till 1.3590-1.3572 AT LEAST ... but will prefer a deeper correction to complete ABC daily down to 1.3428-1.3375
  • #15,015
  • Jun 20, 2014 6:15am Jun 20, 2014 6:15am
thank you Infi i feel better but now how can i recover the hair i've snatched to myself
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #15,016
  • Jun 20, 2014 6:22am Jun 20, 2014 6:22am
Getting first signal on M5-M15 and H1 of finished correction from the top ... if 1.3580 holds NY open ... 1.3672-1.3684 on the cards for today
  • #15,017
  • Jun 20, 2014 6:23am Jun 20, 2014 6:23am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} 3580 might be the place to watch offsetting here some of my long time shorts @ 3589 (15%) long @ 3589


another long @ 3585


to sum it up:

long time short @ 3970


offsetting long positions now @ 3585 (15%)
@ 3589 (15%)
@ 3618 (5 %)
@ 3611 (5%)
  • #15,018
  • Jun 20, 2014 6:30am Jun 20, 2014 6:30am
Quoting rbetancor
Damm! ... lost the oportunity to close longs on this morning retrace ... arg! ... Well .. EW said ... that we have chances of seen 1.3684-1.3726, doing a 1H flat ... and then go down again ... till 1.3590-1.3572 AT LEAST ... but will prefer a deeper correction to complete ABC daily down to 1.3428-1.3375
maybe this?

Ending diagonal inside an ABC-flat (inside an ABC-flat)

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  • #15,019
  • Jun 20, 2014 6:44am Jun 20, 2014 6:44am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} maybe this? Ending diagonal inside an ABC-flat (inside an ABC-flat) {image}
Have a different count (you know I don't use 'standar EW rules'), but same idea.

On H1 ... I have the idea of ending diagonal to 1.3684-1.3727

On H4 ... I have 2 views:

- Main one: Flat to 1.3684-1.3727, then down to main buying zone 1.341x-1.337x, from there in a BIG b wave up to 1.3993 or far beyond
- Alternative: More complex correction to 1.3805, will consume lot of time, but will end in the same zone as the main one.

On Daily ... BUY aggressive 1.341x-1.337x ... if bounce from there fails ... next daily buying zone 1.325x zone, BUT if first buying zone fails ... then a triple correction down to 1.325x will put 1.4x targets on danger.
  • #15,020
  • Jun 20, 2014 8:05am Jun 20, 2014 8:05am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} 3580 might be the place to watch offsetting here some of my long time shorts @ 3589 (15%) long @ 3589


Hmmm, they took the 3580 area out without much of a hesitation.

break of 3536 level will throw out my ED view
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