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Attachments: US Crude Oil with smart VSA and Dark Seasons [only]
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US Crude Oil with smart VSA and Dark Seasons [only]

  • #161
  • Jun 12, 2014 3:14am Jun 12, 2014 3:14am
Killing move of Oil.
  • #162
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:21am Jun 12, 2014 4:21am
I am thinking to short if we reach 106 today although it might be a stupid idea i don't see much of technical support to this just my feeling that the price is a bit high without much fundamental support
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/...0OR5O420140610
  • #163
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:25am Jun 12, 2014 4:25am
Quoting ClockTrader
Support @ 101-102 continues to sustain.. The way I see Bull path appears clear now {image}
After I said above, below fell in line with my view

Quoting ClockTrader
I think I said like few dozen times in the past 10 days that my sentiment for Crude is bullish with support around 101 and 102 and here it is @ 104 looks good, feels good to be right :-) Thank you all for your contribution! {image}
In line
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  • #164
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:26am Jun 12, 2014 4:26am
Quoting ClockTrader
{quote} There is a peak out pattern on the charts, check my last image posted here. However, that peak out does not essentially mean a peak out as per my clock patterns. A possible small dip / correction is possible. A peak out on broad level is not on my cards yet.
Like I marked it in BOLD yesterday or day before:

A possible small dip / correction is possible. A peak out on broad level is not on my cards yet.

Quoting hamidshah.pk
Killing move of Oil.
In line with my view / expectation.
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  • #165
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:29am Jun 12, 2014 4:29am
Quoting JoeNY
Not a problem.... {quote}
Quoting JoeNY
Interesting analysis skip. I guess you can't comprehend how a bear "day trades" line to line? But you do know how to bust balls.... What is it with investors and fundamentalist? Go hate HFT's not day traders... I won't bother contributing to the thread you started... no worries mate... What do I care... {quote}
I am glad I let this fellow member go off this thread.

He got pissed as soon as I intervened for his numerous short calls in a row, he was selling from 102 till 104

PS: All the price action happening is in line with Post-2 of this thread

Dark Seasons RULE!
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  • #166
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:52am Jun 12, 2014 4:52am
Good day all

Regarding my post #36, I'm sorry for the delay but I must post a conclusion. English is not my native language so I'll be short on words.
As I stated on June/1st that oil's price would reach level 100.9-101.4 within 2-4 days time, in fact it missed such level by 18 cents.

Thanks! trade safe

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  • #167
  • Edited 10:50am Jun 12, 2014 6:23am | Edited 10:50am
Clock, you are a strange cat.

I just counter trend traded Crude for 50 ticks short. And I'm out. This is what I do Skip. You really know nothing about trading. I'll hit every commodity before lunch time finding my trade and then all my risk leave the market as I'm out with my targets. I trade real futures contracts not pipe dreams.

You on the other hand sleep with risk every night with your money in the market if you even have an investment that is.

I left your thread as there are no day traders here. Leave it at that ... I was gone, why suck me back in to your hell hole.

Here's my prediction. Crude will go up, then down, then up, then down and repeat the process for years. There you go...

You quote: "You let me go off the thread..." You're a funny guy Clocky. Thanks for the morning laugh...

Quoting ClockTrader
{quote} {quote} I am glad I let this fellow member go off this thread. He got pissed as soon as I intervened for his numerous short calls in a row, he was selling from 102 till 104 PS: All the price action happening is in line with Post-2 of this thread Dark Seasons RULE!
SPC * Swollen PocketZ Crew!
  • #168
  • Jun 12, 2014 6:53am Jun 12, 2014 6:53am
What a loser!

Quoting JoeNY
Clock, you are a strange cat. I just counter trend traded Crude for 50 ticks short. And I'm out. This is what I do Skip. You really know nothing about trading. I'll hit every commodity before lunch time finding my trade and then all my risk leave the market as I'm out with my targets. I trade real futures contracts not pipe dreams. You on the other hand sleep with risk every night with your money in the market if you even have an investment that is. I left your thread as there are no day traders here. Leave it at that ... I was gone, why suck me...
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  • #169
  • Jun 12, 2014 6:56am Jun 12, 2014 6:56am
Quoting atom3
I am thinking to short if we reach 106 today although it might be a stupid idea i don't see much of technical support to this just my feeling that the price is a bit high without much fundamental support http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/...0OR5O420140610
As cliched as it sounds...buy the rumor; sell the fact!

This spike is due to Iraq and the potential takeover of Baghdad... Even if 3% of oil comes from iraq or whatever percentage..it doesn't matter --- people panic in the short term...

The article on Iran; is a "could be" dream of the distant future ---It"s talking about lifting sanctions of iran? (sanctions being lifted off iran; after their alignment towards Russia, Syria and now being right at the border of this "al-Aqeada" insurgency...I wouldn't be surprised if U.S starts to blame Iran for "sponsoring" this insurgency into Iraq!
  • #170
  • Jun 12, 2014 7:03am Jun 12, 2014 7:03am
Quoting ClockTrader
{quote} Yes mate, I do use Lunar Cycles. Jupiter would be highly exalted after 19th of June that is when it enters Cancer as per ancient Indian Astrology, but effects should begin to show up after next new moon till Full Moon. The best effects would be visible by this year end for Gold. Expansion and growth on Earth will reach new highs. Expect Gold to go up. Are there any Gann threads dedicated to financial astrology?

That's really interesting...

Yes I met a vedic astrologer back in 2012 and he told me all these things... of course I never followed up on this stuff... But thinking back what he said it's kind of coming true..

Amongst other things he told me was: when saturn will be exalted in libra for 2.5 years (the stock market will do really well) and its been 2 years for this already!
and he also told me about Saturn/rahu.

I don't know of any Gann threads... but I know of him through people... in fact I have a book "the laws of vibration" lying around which I have never read...
  • #171
  • Jun 12, 2014 7:34am Jun 12, 2014 7:34am
Quoting waleed.khan
{quote} That's really interesting... Yes I met a vedic astrologer back in 2012 and he told me all these things... of course I never followed up on this stuff... But thinking back what he said it's kind of coming true.. Amongst other things he told me was: when saturn will be exalted in libra for 2.5 years (the stock market will do really well) and its been 2 years for this already! and he also told me about Saturn/rahu. I don't know of any Gann threads... but I know of him through people... in fact I have a book "the laws of vibration" lying around...
Yea, what you saying is very interesting and so true!! Vedic Astro.. is what I follow.

> when saturn will be exalted in libra for 2.5 years (the stock market will do really well) and its been 2 years for this already!

----> Saturn has been retrograde lately, soon it'll enter next sign i.e. Scorpio
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  • #172
  • Jun 12, 2014 7:49am Jun 12, 2014 7:49am
Quoting ClockTrader
{quote} Yea, what you saying is very interesting and so true!! Vedic Astro.. is what I follow. > when saturn will be exalted in libra for 2.5 years (the stock market will do really well) and its been 2 years for this already! ----> Saturn has been retrograde lately, soon it'll enter next sign i.e. Scorpio

Seriously ehh?

I think stock markets everywhere on Earth have been moving up lately...(apparently this saturn transit happens once in 30 years or something?)

Saturn in scorpio; when is this? Isn't Scorpio a "dark" sign? could the markets crash; in the next transit? I think I should get in touch with this person again!
  • #173
  • Jun 12, 2014 10:00am Jun 12, 2014 10:00am
Quoting JoeNY
Clock, you are a strange cat. I just counter trend traded Crude for 50 ticks short. And I'm out. This is what I do Skip. You really know nothing about trading. I'll hit every commodity before lunch time finding my trade and then all my risk leave the market as I'm out with my targets. I trade real futures contracts not pipe dreams. You on the other hand sleep with risk every night with your money in the market if you even have an investment that is. I left your thread as there are no day traders here. Leave it at that ... I was gone, why suck me...
I trade daily on crude, well kind of - i target $1-3 movements but not less than $1, which doesn't happen always, like today i changed my mind about my short position at $106 and closed it with 1 pip profit i hate it when i do that...
  • #174
  • Jun 12, 2014 10:07am Jun 12, 2014 10:07am
Quoting ClockTrader
{quote} After I said above, below fell in line with my view {quote} In line

yes clock. you were great on predicting at that time. i could not follow you though!!! wt's next anyway??????
  • #175
  • Jun 12, 2014 7:06pm Jun 12, 2014 7:06pm
shorting at 107.35 tp 105.20 next week,

there is fear about militias attacks in Iraq but there is 1 Special point vs Libya, its not a war.
it was just a fast attack that took by surprise Iraqui forces, this unrest is going to end very fast as it started and oil is going to go back $102 .
  • #176
  • Jun 12, 2014 10:52pm Jun 12, 2014 10:52pm
Quoting trendsbhatti
{quote} yes clock. you were great on predicting at that time. i could not follow you though!!! wt's next anyway??????
Let it culminate. The buying season for Crude is around late Dec and Jan, these days I'm investing in Gold.
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  • #177
  • Jun 13, 2014 6:05am Jun 13, 2014 6:05am
There is something that looks very much like double top on 1 hour chart but it's not yet complete
  • #178
  • Edited 7:40am Jun 13, 2014 7:05am | Edited 7:40am
Quoting ClockTrader
{quote} Let it culminate. The buying season for Crude is around late Dec and Jan,
not this yr it was nt,
you've also mentioned May is a good time to buy
May is one of the worst times to buy, best either to step aside or just scalp long
or often selling is safer, although this yr and last have been rangebound

not having a pop, but for accuracy of the thread it should be mentioned
BTW i've been trading Oil for 6yrs and not just looking for patterns and nr know it like the back of my hand
so not a newbie although i only trade Brent

FWIW. i think you were abit harsh on Joe, a polite reminder of your rules, might of been more appropriate

everyone trades differently and can add some experience, which is usually always welcomed, a bit of friction now and then is normal

edit - its possibly more accurate to say - Oils market structure has changed in the last 2 yrs and should possibly not just be seen as an anomaly,
its easy enough to see Oil's been rangebound ever since the March 2013 falls, so anytime is a buying season
(for now)
but how long it lasts though is anyone's guess, although presumably aslong as the Dow and S+P stay semi bullish

Oils a nice trade once nr mastered, but hopefully anyone reading the thread, takes the time to learn its character and develop a sound method
don't punt it, same as with any instrument
  • #179
  • Jun 13, 2014 8:38am Jun 13, 2014 8:38am
Quoting atom3
There is something that looks very much like double top on 1 hour chart but it's not yet complete
be careful with technicals, Oil markets is convulted, im closing my short from 107.35 at 106.60, If Iraq civil war intesifies we could see oil easily at $120.

right now im short at Natural Gas tp 4.600, seems an easier bet.
  • #180
  • Jun 13, 2014 8:39am Jun 13, 2014 8:39am
Did you check post -2 of this thread? May June are Bulls! I have put 10+ yrs of observation. It does change a bit here and there, but, dark season fundamentals remain same.

Quoting Carlsberg
{quote} not this yr it was nt, you've also mentioned May is a good time to buy May is one of the worst times to buy, best either to step aside or just scalp long or often selling is safer, although this yr and last have been rangebound not having a pop, but for accuracy of the thread it should be mentioned BTW i've been trading Oil for 6yrs and not just looking for patterns and nr know it like the back of my hand so not a newbie although i only trade Brent FWIW. i think you were abit harsh on Joe, a polite reminder of your rules, might of been...
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