Cycle Trading

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Update on the Euro 12 Min. chart. Looking good so far.

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Price stopped tracking and was inverted to the forecast so I flipped the forecast again. 8 Min. chart fits. this high comes in at where I expected it on a different chart. Looking to short.

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That one on the 13th worked out nice,

Is the dot where we are now (thereabouts?)
and the vertical orange line, is it moon-aries by any chance or could you hint at that timing cycle?

Hey sti! I don't recall what happened with that chart. It's long gone. I took most of dec. off and then ended up deleting a bunch of charts on accident.

I almost forgot about this post too...

What's up now JR?
1.33-ish for the euro.... any chance in your books to see the late 1.28's?

because i have hardly ever posted here they say i am a junior member, if i were forex factory i would change my status
fast. cycles and trend fallowing is a state of mind. so is time cycles. because they are chaos in proportional angles and in time,
and in range.. just when the chaos seams to be familiar the volatility changes. then you get a new chaos.

so this being said... i can help traders identify trend cycles very fast, but the faster they are detected the brain has to
except it as mind set!! if you sit on your thumbs your brain starts to think wow my risk is going up while i am waiting for Santa.
then the brain gets in the mode of well it's not worth it now!!!


so in order to trade trends and cycles you must decide to track them as accurately as possible and then act on them when they
are available, and stay with them to their potential.

so you want to be a trader? so you think you can do this? so you think this is easy? do you think you even know how to look at swings
in the correct light? well most likely not. if you need help maybe i can. but mybe when i am senior member... other wise it could take days
for a post.

there are 4 types of cycles.

#1. there are time cycles.. or time frame cycles bound by an open close high and low.
#2. there are the counter trend tail cycle of the time cycles in a trend.

#3. there are the physical cycles not bound by time but bound by there beginning moment
and there ending moment. free lance cycles.

#4. and there are free lance cycles that are counter trends.

both types of cycles are inter twined in marriage!! they both have ranges that inter twine!!

they both have psychology that they play on together as a team!!

they can be tracked knowing just a few things!!

first thing is: support and resistance is a trap short term. and a reality when timing has forgotten it.

same with pivot points!!!

you have to know trend lines are traps.


you have to know chaos tracking method, and you have to know time frame range overlapping.

and you have to know what is tested on every time frame when it's turn is to test it's tends resolve!!

then you need some rules to keep your trade ridding!!

thats all you need!!

do you all need help with this?

many traders go threw this realization.

they say things like cycles!! what cycle ? what time frame!!!!!!!!!

crappy do dung !!! you are in down cycle on this time frame! and up cycle on this one, sideways on another.
all on the same pair!! just different time frames.

it's equates to this: you are selling cheese in a store infested with mice, and rats!! every time you think you can do inventory
half your product is stolen by UN-wanted visitors. there are so many of then and they are fast and you don't know when they will
start there frenzy.

am in down cycle, about to change back to the bigger up cycle? is the four and the one cycle, going to join the up cycle weekly soon?

what cycle what time frame!!

understanding a few concepts can erase the chaos that traders find themselves in. before complexities draws you to the point of insanity!!

#1 (measuring daily swing cycles) tracking ----non time related cycles----- on large time frame like the daily. is your first step to reality!!
here is the thinking of a master trader like myself.

this cycle has a approximation of range !!! a beginning and an ending!!! in between is it range!! or pip value.

time cycles has range also. this is different from the swing cycles because it is bound by time frames highs and lows.

so lets say for example you are in the middle of an up trend on the weekly time frame (middle of the week)

A. the first half of the week has been up, or long.
B. but your ((((daily swing cycle range))) in the center of this particular week: is at or near the maximum range!
C. so the middle of the weekly time frame is in jeopardy of closing strong with the trend.
D. in other words your swing cycles is about to effect your time frame range, and strength on its close.

E. and in pro traders mind!!this automatically no doubt!! says!!! hey stupid!! before any one else knows this, you know
i just became a range trader. forget trend trading!! i am now a range trader!!

F. well whats my counter trend swing range!!! where is my monthly time frames, or weekly lower high time cycle below me in this up trend?
ok bottom of range ok ok ok... now i know the top is here and now.. i found a old high in this trend on larger scale. for support.

i have all this!! now


we are sitting pretty!!! poised this information. has also told me this::::::: that the swings on this counter trend is going to be
on the 4hr time frame..


so for the first time in your miserable trading life. you have a swing range in advance, you know what time frame this swing range
is going to be the smoothest on. and in case you didn't know this: here it is: stochastic indicator is junk!! except when in a range!!
but you have to also know the time frame to use it on. and we do!!!

now lets say you are in the middle of that same weekly candle... but this time your swing range is only 50%
of it's potential.

and in the center of this time frame you see some resistance cumming into play!! the market starts to pull back.

????? are you about to see a four hour swing range pull back?/?????? no no no. you have 50% of your potential
swing range to go.

so the range in smooth swing form is the 15 minute time frame!!

where is your support in this scenario? it is some high lower then you but now on the daily and four hour time frames.

so know the range of the pull back is much smaller. don't trade the range!! to small.

but use the stochastic on the 15 minute to go with the trend.

Very interesting stuff, but at a glance it's like a brain teaser!! I'd like to understand more about all this, it should be the way to keep it simplier

Cn you tell the book's name pls.

I took a long break from trading to refresh the batteries and live some life away from chart watching. It looks like MT4 has had some pretty significant changes. I haven't fired up all of my charts but it's looking like a lot of my stuff won't work until I fix the scripts. What does still work are the underlying theories behind a lot of my methods. Below are how the forecasts for last week played out. The forecasts were generated on the evening of the 26th and price played out pretty well. The reason I came back to trading is because I had some breakthrough ideas the past few weeks on how to resolve price-time on my wavy line cycle forecast.

First image is the EURUSD on a 15 min. chart. Second image is the GBPUSD on a 50 min. chart. Why the difference in times frames? As mentioned in previous posts, the cycle forecasts are 100% generated from a single price and have nothing to do with time. They have nothing to do with historical data. The calculations do not need anything other than a single price. Because of that, there is no "time frame" associated with the resulting waveform. However, since one of the main tenets I subscribe to and use methodically is that price = time, then it was just a matter of letting price tell me what time frame to use. In this case, 15 min. for the EUR is a close fit and 50 min. for the GBP is a closer fit. Once I get my scripts modified in MT4 for my charting app, I'll get them more specific. I'm sure I'll be doing some weird time frames like 7 minutes or 27 minutes or whatever the price-time equivalent is.

Forecast for EURUSD 6-3-2014.

Hi JR,

IS this an astro based indicator or just a composite of bunch of cycles like Daniel Ferrera does?

Is inversion inevitable? I'm guessing you are not using "this only" for signals..?

it's really impressive that you built this yourself.

No astro. It is a composite but nothing at all like what Ferrera does in his wheels within wheels book. My price forecast doesn't look at previous cycles or even previous prices. The easiest way to describe it is it's basically the inverse of the quantum mechanics collapsing wave to a particle theory. If the quantum soup is nothing but a sea of probability waves that collapse to a particle when observed, then wouldn't it be possible to see what probability waves went into that particular particle? So if price is a particle, it should tell us something about the probability waves that were collapsed for that particle to be observable. From there I generate a wave form shape and slap it on a price chart. The wave form and it's creation are 100% independent of the price data on the chart. I've been accused of making a re-painting indicator. Which doesn't even make sense most repainters and repainting EA's repaint the past or at best repaint the present. Mine is projected forward to the right of the chart where it matters. I couldn't care less what it looks like in the past.

These things do invert but it's hard pressed to find any cycle method that doesn't. However, I'm finding some definite patterns in the inversions when mine does invert. Plus, for the most part, my actual trading decisions are pretty much just looking to trade higher highs/lower lows on the pullbacks, so if the cycle is inverted, I'm not out much and just wait for the next pull back that is in alignment with the cycle be it inverted or not. The cycle turns are mainly for timing and not direction for my decision making.

Update as of this morning. The last run up that was in concert with the forecast was my tell to go short. Looking good so far.


Below is the EURUSD forecast for the year.

Jr, Thanks for taking time to reply. appreciated.

The same wave form on a 40 minute chart inverts less. Fractal nature of time.