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ECB's Tools Won't Reshape The EUR: How To Play It? - JP Morgan
For once payrolls will not be the star of the show this week, that honor falls to the ECB which will unveil its much heralded extended tool-kit next Thursday, says JP Morgan.* "The HICP data on Monday should not be overlooked of course, and could up the ante on the ECB should inflation increase to only 0.6% from the 0.5% in April (consensus forecasts centre on a rise to 0.7% but these forecast pre-date the country data from Belgium, Italy and Spain which all registered unexpected declines in food prices)," JPM argues. ECB meeting: what to expect? "Our central scenario calls for a 15bp cut in the refi rate (to 10bp) ... (full story)
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