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Let's Trade Options

  • #3,841
  • May 30, 2014 12:23pm May 30, 2014 12:23pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} sorry mate but I have taken a sneaky GLD $120 long call just for the end of today or sooner if it works for 10c or $10 per contract, may work or not GLD May 2014 120.000 call (GLD140530C00120000) -OPR 0.10 {image} 0.95(90.48%) 16:58
I'm out for 17c or $17 per contract, a little Friday afternoon gain

GLD May 2014 120.000 call (GLD140530C00120000)
-OPR
0.17 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 0.88(83.81%) 18:05
  • #3,842
  • May 30, 2014 1:14pm May 30, 2014 1:14pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} I'm out for 17c or $17 per contract, a little Friday afternoon gain GLD May 2014 120.000 call (GLD140530C00120000) -OPR 0.17 {image} 0.88(83.81%) 18:05
glad you got something there. been a pretty good week here, have a good weekend all.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,843
  • May 30, 2014 1:33pm May 30, 2014 1:33pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} With you on UNG, but I have legged into Jul $24 puts for $0.50 when UNG was trading around $25.50. I have been watching the build grow and I still think there is a good chance for a summertime dip towards $21. Maybe I'm just a glutton for punishment....
This short ng trade has been tough sledding. Maybe we can finally get some downslope next week, holding on for now.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,844
  • May 30, 2014 1:37pm May 30, 2014 1:37pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} This short ng trade has been tough sledding. Maybe we can finally get some downslope next week, holding on for now.
new month so it may be possible, have a good weekend
  • #3,845
  • May 31, 2014 12:46am May 31, 2014 12:46am
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily...170528367.html

Coming week will see markets holding breath, likely edging up a bit, anticipating ECB and NFP on Thur-Fri.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,846
  • May 31, 2014 2:36am May 31, 2014 2:36am
Quoting The Fool
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily...170528367.html Coming week will see markets holding breath, likely edging up a bit, anticipating ECB and NFP on Thur-Fri.
Yup, those are the two potential big market moving events that I see.......China prints their PMI Manufacturing over the weekend so that may also provide a little direction at Monday's open.....
  • #3,847
  • May 31, 2014 11:04pm May 31, 2014 11:04pm
Quoting njr
{quote} Yup, those are the two potential big market moving events that I see.......China prints their PMI Manufacturing over the weekend so that may also provide a little direction at Monday's open.....
ECB caving to QE all say is "priced in", but I think that may be an overstatement and that there will be money to be made short gold, long USD, long equities. But if they surprise the other way, true, maybe moves will be bigger/faster. Anyway, it should be an interesting week....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,848
  • Jun 1, 2014 5:31pm Jun 1, 2014 5:31pm
I was thinking of shorting Gold too
Simplicity is the key to brilliance.
  • #3,849
  • Jun 1, 2014 8:50pm Jun 1, 2014 8:50pm
Quoting Inceptionist
I was thinking of shorting Gold too

as it stands I am calendar spread on GLD puts: long Jul 3 $119/short Jun 21 $115. $115 tested twice in the last year.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,850
  • Jun 2, 2014 2:05am Jun 2, 2014 2:05am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} as it stands I am calendar spread on GLD puts: long Jul 3 $119/short Jun 21 $115. $115 tested twice in the last year.....
might've got ahead of myself, gold dipping toward $1,240 overnight. GLD low was $114.50 on 12/19/13 when gold bottomed at $1,195 +/-. Macro factors brewing that could send gold to new lows this year, maybe on the hunt for <$1,000. Or not.

Anyway, GLD Sep $100 puts are only $0.28....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,851
  • Jun 2, 2014 2:16am Jun 2, 2014 2:16am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} might've got ahead of myself, gold dipping toward $1,240 overnight. GLD low was $114.50 on 12/19/13 when gold bottomed at $1,195 +/-. Macro factors brewing that could send gold to new lows this year, maybe on the hunt for <$1,000. Or not. Anyway, GLD Sep $100 puts are only $0.28....
...ratio spread short Jul $106p (2x), long Sep $100 is no cost net +/-, will look tomorrow....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,852
  • Jun 2, 2014 1:20pm Jun 2, 2014 1:20pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} This short ng trade has been tough sledding. Maybe we can finally get some downslope next week, holding on for now.
Didn't try to spread back on Jul UNG $24 puts & just bailed with a $0.10 loss. UNG build numbers rising are there but the total storage is well under last year's, ...or something. Staying away from short natgas until I see UNG in the high $20's....maybe...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,853
  • Jun 2, 2014 2:54pm Jun 2, 2014 2:54pm
Sideways market, I'm content to watch accounts flatline, except for TLT/TBT spreads where I am still tipped short the long bond...^TNX up 8 bps today, ^TYX up 6.... hope to see that trend continue in the new month...

SPY volume < 1/2 of average. Fireworks being set up now, get your lawn chairs ready for the show.....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,854
  • Jun 3, 2014 10:01am Jun 3, 2014 10:01am
Seems like the market is cautiously treading water until Draghi makes his position known! I've still got my call positions which expire Friday 6/6. I'm holding off any new positions until post Draghi and (depending on the market reaction) the NFP's on Friday!

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101726798
  • #3,855
  • Jun 3, 2014 11:58am Jun 3, 2014 11:58am
Quoting njr
Seems like the market is cautiously treading water until Draghi makes his position known! I've still got my call positions which expire Friday 6/6. I'm holding off any new positions until post Draghi and (depending on the market reaction) the NFP's on Friday! http://www.cnbc.com/id/101726798
If Draghi disappoints and the NFP comes in very low it would totally release the Kraken. On stawks, that is.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,856
  • Jun 3, 2014 12:02pm Jun 3, 2014 12:02pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} If Draghi disappoints and the NFP comes in very low it would totally release the Kraken. On stawks, that is.
If the ECB caves to QE and the NFP is strong stawks will rise and gold will fall. In my sweet trader fantasies I see a huge gold takedown making me much richer.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,857
  • Jun 3, 2014 2:02pm Jun 3, 2014 2:02pm
bastards....

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101724273

Excerpted from "The Secret Club That Runs the World: Inside the Fraternity of Commodity Traders,"
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #3,858
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:27am Jun 4, 2014 11:27am
No pressure Mr Draghi....

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101728136

I keep reading how the 'expectations are high' and that the market wants some form of QE! The 'experts are saying this probably won't materialize and that the market will be disappointed resulting in a nice little pullback.

Either way, his approach should push the market nicely in one direction or another.
  • #3,859
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:34am Jun 4, 2014 11:34am
Quoting The Fool
bastards.... http://www.cnbc.com/id/101724273 Excerpted from "The Secret Club That Runs the World: Inside the Fraternity of Commodity Traders,"
Lol TF - If you believe the conspiracy theorists, this is supposedly where the real deals are done!!!

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101713621
  • #3,860
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:47am Jun 4, 2014 11:47am
Quoting njr
The 'experts are saying this probably won't materialize and that the market will be disappointed resulting in a nice little pullback. Either way, his approach should push the market nicely in one direction or another.
yeah, I have a hard time buying the idea of something radical out of the ECB, but I'm not placing any bets until the smoke clears. I am well hedged on my positions but thinking today of making hay on the most profitable ones, going into cash....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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