US Crude Oil with smart VSA and Dark Seasons [only] | Forex Factory

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US Crude Oil with smart VSA and Dark Seasons [only]

  • #1
  • First Post: Edited Jun 11, 2014 12:08am May 29, 2014 11:04pm | Edited Jun 11, 2014 12:08am
Few Rules:

  1. No Jacking or Fights or blame games.
  2. Only Neutral sharing of your views & positions if you feel like. If possible, please publish chart / theory to support your call / view.
  3. Please share only Crude related news, views, charts & positions here
  4. Dear Rookies, no noise please. No offense to anyone
  5. For Dark Seasons, please read next (2nd) post.

Hello World!
  • #2
  • May 29, 2014 11:06pm May 29, 2014 11:06pm
As visible in the chart the buying time is around Dec / Jan and Crude is bullish in summers i.e. in May and June.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: us_oil_seasons.png Size: 57 KB
Hello World!
  • #3
  • May 29, 2014 11:13pm May 29, 2014 11:13pm
1st..
  • #4
  • May 29, 2014 11:57pm May 29, 2014 11:57pm
Pentagon spokesperson Kirby says "majority" of Russian forces withdrawn from Ukraine border
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  • #5
  • May 29, 2014 11:58pm May 29, 2014 11:58pm
*Subscribed*
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  • #6
  • May 30, 2014 12:38am May 30, 2014 12:38am
Quoting Dafonz
*Subscribed* {image}
Quoting dindang2win
1st..
Thanks for populating this place :-)

I will post my view using Seasons + Smart VSA today
Hello World!
  • #7
  • May 30, 2014 1:09am May 30, 2014 1:09am
Quoting ClockTrader
{quote} {quote} Thanks for populating this place :-) I will post my view using Seasons + Smart VSA today

Nice... Thanks for starting the thread....

I wish it becomes as successful as your Gold thread!

Cheers
  • #8
  • May 30, 2014 1:22am May 30, 2014 1:22am
Quoting waleed.khan
{quote} Nice... Thanks for starting the thread.... I wish it becomes as successful as your Gold thread! Cheers
Yup good job. I never trade crude oil before. Hope to get more info about this.
  • #9
  • May 30, 2014 1:25am May 30, 2014 1:25am
WTI crude futures trade lower amid light newsflow (down USD 0.21 at USD 103.37) but look set to post their first monthly gain since February, after surging over 0.8% in yesterday’s session. Of note, the Seaway Pipeline is shut for tie-work which is seen as one reason for the WTI-Brent recent spread tightening. The installation of cooling towers at the damaged Garyville refinery is also seen as bearish for WTI.
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  • #10
  • May 30, 2014 1:39am May 30, 2014 1:39am
Quoting Dafonz
*Subscribed* {image}

Lol! I like that -- there will be blood -- aptly put!
  • #11
  • May 30, 2014 1:58am May 30, 2014 1:58am
another good work there, keep the flame of a good mentor burning.............
  • #12
  • May 30, 2014 2:27am May 30, 2014 2:27am
Quoting waleed.khan
{quote} Nice... Thanks for starting the thread.... I wish it becomes as successful as your Gold thread! Cheers
As for my analysis, I'll be relying on volatility (spikes / pin bars) using smart VSA under seasons, will keep ya all posted with my views.
Hello World!
  • #13
  • May 30, 2014 2:39am May 30, 2014 2:39am
Good Stuff... Have never traded it.. will post some charts.. would like yr comments..All the BEST GREAT idea
  • #14
  • May 30, 2014 3:23am May 30, 2014 3:23am
thanks for starting a thread related crude...
it will be helpful to all............
  • #15
  • May 30, 2014 3:36am May 30, 2014 3:36am
Thanks for the thread CT, hope to learn something here since I am totally new to Crude.
The only winner is the one who survive the longest...
  • #16
  • May 30, 2014 4:00am May 30, 2014 4:00am
HI CT, good to see that you have started new thread i have been trading cude since a while its hard to trade as compare to other commodities i had 0.5 lot sell from 103 yesterday crude oil inventries were high than the forcast but crude kept going high and high yesterday and hit my stop loss yesterday which was at 103.80 and today it came back to 103.10 bad luck man any way that will be good help for the traders who are doing crude here is not a good thread for crude oil some people started crude oil threads but gone dead i hope that you will keep it alive as ONLY GOLD thread.

thanks

malik,
MRMALIK1
  • #17
  • May 30, 2014 6:39am May 30, 2014 6:39am
Good to see the thread. I do trade Oil but only rarely, when I see a very tempting entry. Would love to learn and share my views here. Hope we all can contribute for a better understanding and analysis.

Once again, well done Clock, I see you are a bit less active on Gold thread, would like to see more your analysis there as well !
  • #18
  • Edited 7:11am May 30, 2014 7:10am | Edited 7:11am
Quoting workingforex
Good to see the thread. I do trade Oil but only rarely, when I see a very tempting entry. Would love to learn and share my views here. Hope we all can contribute for a better understanding and analysis. Once again, well done Clock, I see you are a bit less active on Gold thread, would like to see more your analysis there as well !
Quoting kinspk
Thanks for the thread CT, hope to learn something here since I am totally new to Crude.
Quoting devang
thanks for starting a thread related crude... it will be helpful to all............
Quoting danc
Good Stuff... Have never traded it.. will post some charts.. would like yr comments..All the BEST GREAT idea
I am working on H1 chart, studying pin bars, will post it in few hrs.

Quoting mrmalik1
HI CT, good to see that you have started new thread i have been trading cude since a while its hard to trade as compare to other commodities i had 0.5 lot sell from 103 yesterday crude oil inventries were high than the forcast but crude kept going high and high yesterday and hit my stop loss yesterday which was at 103.80 and today it came back to 103.10 bad luck man any way that will be good help for the traders who are doing crude here is not a good thread for crude oil some people started crude oil threads but gone dead i hope that you will keep...
Crude is in Bull season, last decade+ would vouch for that. Its not a very good to sell Crude in May and June.
Hello World!
  • #19
  • May 30, 2014 7:39am May 30, 2014 7:39am
Seasonal Trend and my sentiment: Bullish

I would be analyzing crude on H1 as in the chart, where BO stands for bottom out and PO stands for peak out. I see solid support evolving in the 101 - 102 range. Target remains in the North.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ss.PNG Size: 28 KB
Hello World!
  • #20
  • May 30, 2014 7:45am May 30, 2014 7:45am
Quoting ClockTrader
Seasonal Trend and my sentiment: Bullish I would be analyzing crude on H1 as in the chart, where BO stands for bottom out and PO stands for peak out. I see solid support evolving in the 101 - 102 range. Target remains in the North. {image}
The PO effect can be negated with decline in price, its easy to be negated when the Bulls are in OR when the season supports.

PO / BO can be fake, so how do I figure that out?

  1. When I see BO / PO taking place, I would wait for about 24 - 48 hrs. That gets me better price to sell / buy.
  2. When Crude is bullish, I might ignore certain peak outs.

Hello World!
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