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  • #21
  • May 18, 2014 11:18pm May 18, 2014 11:18pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
Im liking this setup to favor aud strength & euro weakness as in the weekly open report. {image}
Got stopped out at 1.4665. Just went long UsdJpy at 101.35. There's a large option expiration being reported which contained half-billion $$ worth of Put options to be exercised (bought) under 101.35 so taking advantage of their bids.

USDJPY – Well-supported today by importer and option-related bids. Large option level at 101.55 ($377M) to draw in price; Larger level of Puts($550M) set for today’s expiration at 101.35.
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  • #22
  • May 19, 2014 2:44am May 19, 2014 2:44am
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} Got stopped out at 1.4665. Just went long UsdJpy at 101.35. There's a large option expiration being reported which contained half-billion $$ worth of Put options to be exercised (bought) under 101.35 so taking advantage of their bids. USDJPY – Well-supported today by importer and option-related bids. Large option level at 101.55 ($377M) to draw in price; Larger level of Puts($550M) set for today’s expiration at 101.35. {image}
Exited for -15 at 101.20, got out ahead of other's sell stops. I'm sure price will go higher but wasn't ready to see how far price could fall down upon breaking 101.20
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  • #23
  • May 19, 2014 5:12pm May 19, 2014 5:12pm
Looking at EurAud again for another short off of 1.470 towards the 1.4560 level. A break lower triggers entry, with stop at 1.4720

Aud down yesterday on S&P rating worries. Today, S&P cleared up and said there's a very small chance that Australia's gov debt rating would change. Hoping to play some Aud strength against the prevailing Euro weakness.
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  • #24
  • May 19, 2014 7:50pm May 19, 2014 7:50pm
Eur/Aud never broke lower, no trade taken. Watching Usd/Cad though, this a few hrs ago:
USDCAD – Approaches 1.0880 offers, more at 1.090 & 1.0925. Bids remain at 1.0840/50, corp. acct bids at 1.0835
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  • #25
  • May 19, 2014 7:52pm May 19, 2014 7:52pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} Exited for -15 at 101.20, got out ahead of other's sell stops. I'm sure price will go higher but wasn't ready to see how far price could fall down upon breaking 101.20 {image}
yep, 101.50+
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  • #26
  • May 21, 2014 1:52pm May 21, 2014 1:52pm
Trying another EA short. Missed my first entry at the break of the white line. Short entry on break of 1.48 (purple) gunning for the lows..
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  • #27
  • Edited May 26, 2014 12:23am May 25, 2014 5:11pm | Edited May 26, 2014 12:23am

  1. USDJPY – Breaks above 102.0 upon Tokyo open; met with sellers.
  2. Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy Meeting minutes from April 30th (pdf)...
  3. Tokyo Open; Nikkei 225 set to open around +1% off a strong equity move seen in Friday’s US session. UsdJpy just under the 102.0 lvl which was hit upon the start of this week’s trading.
  4. USDJPY – Options set for expiration today at 102.0($200M) & 102.30($612M) to pull in and add selling on breaks above.

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Based on this flow info off the News Feed, especially on the options, + thin trading on US holiday; I sold above 102.0, stop at 102.20 & TP @ 102.80

---------
*update; closed for +5 pips. UJ showing signs of a re-visit to 102.0 on Euro open today. Wanted price to keep continuing through price I outlined in the purple box.
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  • #28
  • May 26, 2014 10:56pm May 26, 2014 10:56pm
Eur/Gbp potential short upon a break below 0.8097 looking for a break of 0.8080. Trapped longs off the pin would exit if price drops in to the red circle's area. Stop just above the pin high at 0.8112:
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  • #29
  • May 29, 2014 2:24pm May 29, 2014 2:24pm
Are you full now?

What's going on with the OFT site? For some reason it won't pull up. Maybe its just me...
  • #30
  • Edited 8:26am May 30, 2014 8:13am | Edited 8:26am
Quoting FXMasterSK
Are you full now? What's going on with the OFT site? For some reason it won't pull up. Maybe its just me...
No, think there's 4. Lmk if you want in. Sometimes the servers get over ran. Try a refresh, if its down its never too long. Orrr.. try a different pc/browser. Could be your router.
  • #31
  • May 30, 2014 8:17am May 30, 2014 8:17am
17:15 05/29 EURCHF – Running in to 200HMA offers at 1.2217
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  • #32
  • Edited 2:43pm May 30, 2014 1:42pm | Edited 2:43pm
Quoting EmeraldEyes
{quote} No, think there's 4. Lmk if you want in. Sometimes the servers get over ran. Try a refresh, if its down its never too long. Orrr.. try a different pc/browser. Could be your router.
Sign me up!

Btw I'm looking at the COT report from the CTFC and was wondering if you could help me out. In it I see categories for: Dealer Intermediary, Asset Manager/Institutional, Leveraged Funds, Other reportables, and Nonreportable positions. Out of them, which categories matter to us? I am assuming it's leveraged funds, asset and institutional, and other reportables?

Also, I get the long and short positions. What does the spreading mean?

Hope you can clear these things up for me man. Thanks!
  • #33
  • May 31, 2014 9:37am May 31, 2014 9:37am
Quoting FXMasterSK
{quote} Sign me up! Btw I'm looking at the COT report from the CTFC and was wondering if you could help me out. In it I see categories for: Dealer Intermediary, Asset Manager/Institutional, Leveraged Funds, Other reportables, and Nonreportable positions. Out of them, which categories matter to us? I am assuming it's leveraged funds, asset and institutional, and other reportables? Also, I get the long and...
Sweet, shoot me an email as that's how I'm going to contact all of us.I don't follow the Commitment of Traders as much as I should, but there's COT reports & fx positioning reports that other bloggers analyze on the new feed/news archive with explanations. We can go over it over chat or something though.
  • #34
  • Last Post: Jun 1, 2014 9:08pm Jun 1, 2014 9:08pm
Quoting FXMasterSK
{quote} COT report
COT Analysis for Reporting Date May 27th, 2014
http://www.orderflowtrading.com/Fore...27th-2014.aspx
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