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  • #421
  • May 25, 2014 1:28am May 25, 2014 1:28am
Quoting Bones
Hi R how do you arrive at % number ? and then what is the % for cable ? {quote}
Bones, GBP is neutral overall 46% bull and 43% bear. Prob system is my own proprietary system.
  • #422
  • May 25, 2014 1:32am May 25, 2014 1:32am
Quoting Bones
id wait for break ,i really think it will pull back ,and weekly is unreliable bull signal , d1 suggest down , {image}
B, GBP AUD next week prob is as follows: 77% BULL, 25% BEAR. So I'm only taking LONG trade setups.
  • #423
  • Edited 1:45am May 25, 2014 1:33am | Edited 1:45am
Quoting Bones
Hi R how do you arrive at % number ? and then what is the % for cable ? {quote}
B you know where I publish my numbers. see prob matrix thread.
  • #424
  • May 25, 2014 3:11am May 25, 2014 3:11am
updated trade setups for new week.
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  • #425
  • May 25, 2014 3:29am May 25, 2014 3:29am
Ok R ill take a look ,a lot of things you know are def beyond me ,I'm not good at waves for example at all ,


Quoting ruffryders
{quote} B you know where I publish my numbers. see prob matrix thread.
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #426
  • May 25, 2014 6:14am May 25, 2014 6:14am
Quoting Bones
Ok R ill take a look ,a lot of things you know are def beyond me ,I'm not good at waves for example at all , {quote}
It's cool, I'm currently testing a minor 20K real account with new strat on GU crosses. So far looks very promising, I'll keep you posted. Close to 90% win ratio with little DD. Got myself a decent broker with 2-3 points spread on all G crosses, which is more than decent.
  • #427
  • May 25, 2014 6:16am May 25, 2014 6:16am
Quoting ruffryders
{quote} GBP CAD + 127 points running PL
keep this trade open move SL to breakeven.
  • #428
  • May 25, 2014 6:16am May 25, 2014 6:16am
Quoting ruffryders
{quote} EUR USD running P/L + 72 points keep position
keep this trade open. move SL to BE.
  • #429
  • May 25, 2014 6:20am May 25, 2014 6:20am
Quoting Bones
Ok R ill take a look ,a lot of things you know are def beyond me ,I'm not good at waves for example at all , {quote}
Bones, RE waves, I'm also no good with that stuff. That's why I bought EW software (won't disclose the name - since more than once I was called commercial for posting this). If you need the name - send PM to me elsewhere. EW overall I found not very reliable. For instance, EW still shows 7200-7400 on GBP USD, which I have a hard time believing in (bailed out of my GU in timely fashion!)

I think WW and some harm patterns do work very well in the markets, you have to only learn a few of them and you will start spotting them fairly soon. Can practice on history also. The way it kinda worked for me is constantly posting/saving charts and reviewing them.
  • #430
  • May 25, 2014 6:26am May 25, 2014 6:26am
B, for instance, this WW I posted in EU thread early April it was fairly obvious also. Played out just fine, although it did take a DB top to confirm it.
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  • #431
  • May 25, 2014 11:39am May 25, 2014 11:39am
gbp jpy trade setup explained on H4 chart.
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  • #432
  • May 25, 2014 1:02pm May 25, 2014 1:02pm
GBP NZD PROBS THIS WEEK - 80% PROB + 100 POINTS - 64% PROB + 150 POINTS AND 56% PROB 200-250 POINTS.
  • #433
  • Edited 2:07pm May 25, 2014 1:57pm | Edited 2:07pm
S&P DAILY we are pretty much done with the rally. Point 5 of wolfe wave comes @ 127 fibo and expected to come @ 1930-40, upon reaching that level, expect S&P to sell off.

1650-1750 is initial targets for S&P on the downside, once we reach 1930-40.

10% correction possible on US stocks? Yeah, sure, why not?
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  • #434
  • May 26, 2014 12:38am May 26, 2014 12:38am
Quoting ruffryders
{quote} keep this trade open move SL to breakeven.
GBP CAD out @ BID 8298 + 84 points total.
  • #435
  • May 26, 2014 2:21am May 26, 2014 2:21am
Guys, don't get tricked into short selling GBP AUD / GBP NZD. Today US/UK holiday, so it's range bound.
Rest of the week direction is CLEAR - it's UP!.
  • #436
  • May 26, 2014 5:25am May 26, 2014 5:25am
Updated chart review of EUR USD. TL was broken on daily charts and we are headed for 3460-3520, when EU will likely break below and reach 3000 area.
Currently, looks like we can retrace towards 3720-60 area and then continue to sell off. I don't expect a major retrace though.
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  • #437
  • May 26, 2014 6:45am May 26, 2014 6:45am
no doubt its a support area R ,but so far tl respected ,
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #438
  • May 26, 2014 9:31am May 26, 2014 9:31am
Quoting Bones
no doubt its a support area R ,but so far tl respected , {image}
B, fair enough, just don'l like the PA on GCAD, sure fire things are GBPNZD/AUD longs this week, better R:R.
  • #439
  • Edited 10:09am May 26, 2014 9:38am | Edited 10:09am
any word on the Pfizer deal ? cut off is in an hour or so I think
edit -checked 10pm in uk ,


Quoting ruffryders
{quote} Bones, I don't think much of a surprise, most currencies will get hit against greenback. GBP USD will surprise in a sell off, because 25th May is latest for Pfizer to submit new bid for AZN, which is highly unlikely, so markets will react on GU Monday - Tuesday with a sell off. The USDX weekly chart below. It's very strong. I think we rally towards 83-84 shortly. Meaning 3300 EUR USD, 6300-6400 GBP USD, 8000-8200 NU and 8800 on AU. I actually changed my positioning, sold part of NU options and replaced with AU options and increased position...
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #440
  • May 26, 2014 10:13am May 26, 2014 10:13am
def made me worry about position a bit the way weekly closed could easy b bullish ,not going to be fully happy till lower support goes will trade defensively ,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
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