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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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  • #14,401
  • May 18, 2014 5:25am May 18, 2014 5:25am
Quoting khafan
any one trade brent crude oil ?
in crude oil we do have record long positions of the large specs and record short positions of the commercials.

Add to that, that the daily sentiment index shows a record value of over 91% bulls, and it will lead to the conclusion, that crude may be in its final stages of its upmove.
  • #14,402
  • May 18, 2014 5:43am May 18, 2014 5:43am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} in crude oil we do have record long positions of the large specs and record short positions of the commercials. Add to that, that the daily sentiment index shows a record value of over 91% bulls, and it will lead to the conclusion, that crude may be in its final stages of its upmove.
i hope so, i have huge sell from 108 !!
  • #14,403
  • May 18, 2014 6:28am May 18, 2014 6:28am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} in crude oil we do have record long positions of the large specs and record short positions of the commercials. Add to that, that the daily sentiment index shows a record value of over 91% bulls, and it will lead to the conclusion, that crude may be in its final stages of its upmove.
Count me in for short, I have a short entry near 102 with a T/P 101.
  • #14,404
  • May 18, 2014 5:51pm May 18, 2014 5:51pm
Lest not forget......


............................Fukushima


very scary

Fukushima Seawater Radiation Rises To New All Time High

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-0...-all-time-high
  • #14,405
  • May 18, 2014 6:35pm May 18, 2014 6:35pm
Quoting infinitus
Lest not forget...... ............................Fukushima very scary Fukushima Seawater Radiation Rises To New All Time High http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-0...-all-time-high
Uuurrgh... so bad... anyway Markus,


Just pray for japanese who living there,
  • #14,406
  • May 19, 2014 1:02am May 19, 2014 1:02am
Murrey Math levels and direction (VWAP assisted)
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  • #14,407
  • May 19, 2014 1:04am May 19, 2014 1:04am
Quoting smilemiz
{quote} Uuurrgh... so bad... anyway Markus, Just pray for japanese who living there,


I am praying for the whole world - this is a global problem, made by a corrupt and ignorant company and government
  • #14,408
  • May 19, 2014 1:08am May 19, 2014 1:08am
EU volume profiles

3650 is the divider for up and down, it seems

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  • #14,409
  • May 19, 2014 1:14am May 19, 2014 1:14am
Ron Paul Explains Why "They" Hate Peace

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-0...hey-hate-peace
  • #14,410
  • May 19, 2014 1:27am May 19, 2014 1:27am
EU


the recent up-move over the last hours seems to look more like a corrective move than an impulse

maybe we have this:


from the low @ 3647

impulsive wave A (or 1) up

now in a broader ABC-flat down

in this ABC-flat, we are in wave B up

in this wave B we are in wave C up

this wave C may terminate around 3718 to 3725


after that an impulsive move down to 3687, 3672


after that up with an impulsive movement
  • #14,411
  • May 19, 2014 1:30am May 19, 2014 1:30am
http://www.learntotradethemarket.com...19th-23rd-2014
  • #14,412
  • May 19, 2014 1:33am May 19, 2014 1:33am
EU

on 5 and 15min TF we might have seen now some stopping volume, havn't we?
  • #14,413
  • May 19, 2014 3:02am May 19, 2014 3:02am
Quoting infinitus
EU the recent up-move over the last hours seems to look more like a corrective move than an impulse maybe we have this: from the low @ 3647 impulsive wave A (or 1) up now in a broader ABC-flat down in this ABC-flat, we are in wave B up in this wave B we are in wave C up this wave C may terminate around 3718 to 3725 after that an impulsive move down to 3687, 3672 after that up with an impulsive movement
Same view ... pip up, pip down ...
  • #14,414
  • May 19, 2014 3:44am May 19, 2014 3:44am
Quoting infinitus
EU on 5 and 15min TF we might have seen now some stopping volume, havn't we?
Yeh we did. No entries for me though, market structure has no higher lows neither higher highs, its a pass.
Time for AU to go down in next few days, it will rally EA which should have bull impact on EU, dollar highs will help decide aswell on UCHF.

GJ, this sucker will go down, time for shorts on supply areas of m5.
http://prntscr.com/3kktve
  • #14,415
  • May 19, 2014 3:54am May 19, 2014 3:54am
Quoting janpec1000
Tipity top over the plop? Just speculation on direction, entries presented on monday if given. http://prntscr.com/3jzzaw GA http://prntscr.com/3k009f GCHF, no meeting of sellers at all, could be break of top if buyers are still there (weakend but still there) http://prntscr.com/3k00iv GJ, strong buyers came, and then shorters took them over, down should it go. http://prntscr.com/3k00vr GCAD, will meet current bottom, demand line (1.8234) will not hold, it will test 1.82 http://prntscr.com/3k019h...
Well not all went yet as expected but at least "easy one" played nicely.
  • #14,416
  • May 19, 2014 5:04am May 19, 2014 5:04am
Quoting Khafan
{quote} i hope so, i have huge sell from 108 !!

Hi Khafan,

OIL current value :
WTI (US) is 102.72 --- Brent (UK) is 110.12


Since I trade WTI i will use WTI value for count, so probably you would like to make adjustment for Brent.

I think reversal area for WTI is around 102.70 - 103.20 if trade on Daily chart and it seem PA want to stay at that area for a while maybe 1-3 days.
  • #14,417
  • May 19, 2014 6:27am May 19, 2014 6:27am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} I am praying for the whole world - this is a global problem, made by a corrupt and ignorant company and government
sweet man
  • #14,418
  • May 19, 2014 6:29am May 19, 2014 6:29am
Quoting andexQ
{quote} Hi Khafan, OIL current value : WTI (US) is 102.72 --- Brent (UK) is 110.12 Since I trade WTI i will use WTI value for count, so probably you would like to make adjustment for Brent. I think reversal area for WTI is around 102.70 - 103.20 if trade on Daily chart and it seem PA want to stay at that area for a while maybe 1-3 days.
hi
i trade brent how i say i have hug sell from 108 !! rightnow im in bad moment , if up to 111 i lose all my money
  • #14,419
  • May 19, 2014 7:46am May 19, 2014 7:46am
Quoting khafan
{quote} hi i trade brent how i say i have hug sell from 108 !! rightnow im in bad moment , if up to 111 i lose all my money
Hi Khafan,

sorry to hear that..........

I think it was a very dangerous trade. Look at the monthlyh chart. Since early 2011 Brent is in consolidating modus.

From an EW point of view, the bigger picture view favors a long lasting move down.

But we can hardly determine with higher probability, if we will see more up beforehand.


My "gut"-feeling is, that the 111 could be easily taken out, only to reverse thereafter to the south.


Maybe some of the other guys here have a good idea for you.

I would recommend to bring the leverage down, but I fear, that your position is "overleveraged" in such a way, that your then remaining position will not be sufficient enough to account for the losses you already had, at least not for the short term.

What was your target with the position?
  • #14,420
  • May 19, 2014 7:59am May 19, 2014 7:59am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi Khafan, sorry to hear that.......... I think it was a very dangerous trade. Look at the monthlyh chart. Since early 2011 Brent is in consolidating modus. From an EW point of view, the bigger picture view favors a long lasting move down. But we can hardly determine with higher probability, if we will see more up beforehand. My "gut"-feeling is, that the 111 could be easily taken out, only to reverse thereafter to the south. Maybe some of the other guys here have a good idea for you. I would recommend to bring the leverage down, but I fear,...
when i get this position 108.60 its the higher move in past week ! for TP 107.60 !!! i dont know why this happen move up and uper ! without any down !!
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