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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #14,221
  • May 5, 2014 10:24am May 5, 2014 10:24am
The White BOOK: Violation of human rights in Ukraine (April 2014). Only facts. In cyrillic only.
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Hunting High and Low
  • #14,222
  • May 5, 2014 1:44pm May 5, 2014 1:44pm
Good evening traedorians peace and pips be upon all of you
I was absent for a long time,hope that everyone(not mentioning names,don't want to forget anyone) is doing well
i admit that many things have changed,trading eur/usd is one of them
well to begin i am planning to sell nzd/usd around 8716 sl around 873x tp still not clear for me
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #14,223
  • May 6, 2014 12:17am May 6, 2014 12:17am
Buy OIL ?!?
  • #14,224
  • May 6, 2014 3:33am May 6, 2014 3:33am
Quoting janpec1000
Upper short missed by 3 pips. Added market short now, in more risk due to non triggered upper one, lets see. No SL or TP yet will follow lower tf PA development. http://prntscr.com/3gelzy GCHF target, risk market should be CHF long. http://prntscr.com/3gemp3 Heh funny thing RT stoped airing Crosstalk show , was thinking that its becouse they paused show due to Russian invasion, however looks like they have break from 27 April to 08 March acording to last year.
Closed GJ -35.
  • #14,225
  • May 6, 2014 4:43am May 6, 2014 4:43am
Quoting bzzz
Good evening traedorians peace and pips be upon all of you I was absent for a long time,hope that everyone(not mentioning names,don't want to forget anyone) is doing well i admit that many things have changed,trading eur/usd is one of them well to begin i am planning to sell nzd/usd around 8716 sl around 873x tp still not clear for me


Hi my friend,

welcome back
  • #14,226
  • May 6, 2014 4:44am May 6, 2014 4:44am
Murrey Math levels and proposed direction (volume profile assisted)

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  • #14,227
  • May 6, 2014 4:48am May 6, 2014 4:48am
Tail risk is clearly emerging
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  • #14,228
  • May 6, 2014 4:50am May 6, 2014 4:50am
Will they test the around 3980-4080 no-business zone?
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  • #14,229
  • May 6, 2014 5:00am May 6, 2014 5:00am
Quoting janpec1000
My this weeks analysis for EU and GU comes simply from dollar , which points to further strenght of EU and GU. Supply areas on dollar are very strong even if there is some turn on upside those areas wont be breached easily and will react as bounce up on EU and GU. This leads to aprox max drop on EU of about 30-50 pips (20 on UCHF) which is exactly demand area on EU a strong one. Same analysis can be confirmed from UJ as additional dollar signal, where target is . Additionally signal is backed by gold strenght on upside of highs are taken backing...
All confirmed, UCHF reached target on weakness of dollar, EU and GU also strenghtened further. No further analysis for now.
  • #14,230
  • May 6, 2014 5:07am May 6, 2014 5:07am
Today we have eliminated one daily and one weekly virgin POC

Now one daily virgin POC is still open at 3949 which is prone to getting hit

Still have a monthly virgin POC open at 4407, but do not know, if it is still one of attraction because it is very old one
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  • #14,231
  • May 6, 2014 6:21am May 6, 2014 6:21am
Quoting infinitus
Will they test the around 3980-4080 no-business zone? {image}
1.3972-1.4043 it's my 'resting' zone ... will take proffit there
  • #14,232
  • May 6, 2014 7:16am May 6, 2014 7:16am
Love it when markets are dollar driven, it makes everything trade so easy, heh if there is one good side about further US dominance and petrodollar expansion, its that. Took 24 pips on AU long, 12 on UJ short, small scalps on EU and GU, holding UCAD short for 33 pips target is 1.087.
  • #14,233
  • May 6, 2014 8:39am May 6, 2014 8:39am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Hi my friend, welcome back
good afternoon traedorians
thank you captain i trust you're doing well
i thought you were submerged under the snow when you received my bombing gift at your birthday while climbing the moutain
i c you survived,ehem like we say here when you're a cat you have 7 souls
anyway my sell order got trigered while working and i'm 60 pips underwater coze i didn't set a sl like mentionned before,i'm lowleveraged but this is not a good start
i don't understand this move is it a dollar weakness?or a price in movement before unemployment rate?
anyone can explain please?
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better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #14,234
  • May 6, 2014 8:49am May 6, 2014 8:49am
Quote
i don't understand this move is it a dollar weakness?or a price in movement before unemployment rate?
anyone can explain please?

The move is pure dollar weakness, it was on radar few days ago if you follow my posts. Doesnt matter if it was fundamental driven or not, it was pure technical setup to tank dollar from what i see, someone else might add into fundamental view.


Was just doing some research on Iranian sanctions from USA, they keep adding things for sanction plan to never end, which means that USA obviously does not want Iran to end its programm and use it as attack reason. The question is when will we see false flag in Syria again i think it could be soon, Syria should be main entry point for land army into Iran so hard to imagine not landing into Syria first. I would imagine that next Syrian false flag even has to be brutal one, not staged one like chemical attack but something big, most likely on USA. The most obvious signal for all false flag events are options selling ahead of it but i havent managed to find any site where you can access options displayed data for something that isnt just forex. Anyone has some info?
  • #14,235
  • May 6, 2014 9:22am May 6, 2014 9:22am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} The move is pure dollar weakness, it was on radar few days ago if you follow my posts. Doesnt matter if it was fundamental driven or not, it was pure technical setup to tank dollar from what i see, someone else might add into fundamental view. Was just doing some research on Iranian sanctions from USA, they keep adding things for sanction plan to never end, which means that USA obviously does not want Iran to end its programm and use it as attack reason. The question is when will we see false flag in Syria again...
was absent 4 or 5 months ago didn't checkanyone's posts including yours thankyou for your explanation
however idon't think usa is planning to attack iran at least in the st hey janpec this will cost them their balls ,my 2 cent
.c you later
better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #14,236
  • May 6, 2014 11:07am May 6, 2014 11:07am
Quoting infinitus
Today we have eliminated one daily and one weekly virgin POC Now one daily virgin POC is still open at 3949 which is prone to getting hit Still have a monthly virgin POC open at 4407, but do not know, if it is still one of attraction because it is very old one {image}
Hm i am not sure what validation really can be made from levels that are years old like 4407. To me personally as supply and demand trader they make 0 signal sense (becouse there is so little chance any supply was left from that area due to already closed short positons), dont know but they still be traders willing to defend those levels if enough of them keeps eye on them, or if by any chance there are still positions opened from that level which is unlikely.
But if you have different view i am all ears

@bzzz Attack on Syria is not just attack on Syria. Thats all i will say.
  • #14,237
  • May 6, 2014 11:23am May 6, 2014 11:23am
Quoting infinitus
based on MTF Murrey Math ( Volume profile assisted) chances are very high, that price may reverse in the 3885 to 3916 area VWAP analysis shows a good chance around 3894 An extended move may lead us to 3947 to 3977, but not without kind of sustained ranging beforehand When we try to find justification for this higher targets via EW, then Wednesdays up-move was wave 1, Fridays down-move wave 2 and now we are in wave 3 up. This wave 3 may end somewhere near 3930 or 3960, extended eventually around 1.40 On the other hand I...


OK, we had the sustained ranging, and we had the 3947

Upside per the following analysis short term seems limited

downside risk is building up

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  • #14,238
  • May 6, 2014 11:26am May 6, 2014 11:26am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} OK, we had the sustained ranging, and we had the 3947 Upside per the following analysis short term seems limited downside risk is building up {image}
Bingo!
FXcube
  • #14,239
  • May 6, 2014 11:27am May 6, 2014 11:27am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Hm i am not sure what validation really can be made from levels that are years old like 4407. To me personally as supply and demand trader they make 0 signal sense (becouse there is so little chance any supply was left from that area due to already closed short positons), dont know but they still be traders willing to defend those levels if enough of them keeps eye on them, or if by any chance there are still positions opened from that level which is unlikely. But if you have different view i am all ears @bzzz Attack on Syria is not just...

I tend to agree with you

On the other hand: there is the theory of market memory. Advantage for us two is here, that the events, who are older, do not bear so much significance than the one more recently

And on the other hand: what are around 3 years into history in light of eternity?
  • #14,240
  • May 6, 2014 11:31am May 6, 2014 11:31am
Quoting Forexcube
{quote} Bingo! FXcube
recently the VWAP systems work pretty well. This is attributed to the fact of the more or less ranging market and the participants playing it purely technical.

When markets start to trend strongly, we will see more often sigma 4 or sigma 6 events, for example.

Then it will be much more difficult to play this system
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