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Oktoberfest Nightclub

  • #4,901
  • May 2, 2014 7:53am May 2, 2014 7:53am
lol..
Patience is a virtue...
  • #4,902
  • May 2, 2014 7:57am May 2, 2014 7:57am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} Yes Larry, what worries me most is the amount of confidence and the outcome of the trade, so still learning no matter how confident you are play it save.... We see the same move in US-Treasuries which makes it kind of global, UJ a pair normally heavily dependent on interest-rate differentials US versus Japan. On current differentials it should quote below 101, think will concentrate on possible downturn there...

feck missed it, anyone got that fall?
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #4,903
  • May 2, 2014 8:00am May 2, 2014 8:00am
Quoting hadox
{quote} bastards.. atm 1.381x is the last S before the bulls from 1.379x, a daily close above 1.381x would help the bulls in my charts..
bulls stepped in at 1.381x - so back to the original plan again..

Quoting hadox
{quote} getting an intraday rejection atm.. if bulls dont step in, I have some S at 1.381x, and still some R at 1.393x - a daily close above 1.386x would make it easier to reach the R I guess-- its friday - shit happens..
Patience is a virtue...
  • #4,904
  • May 2, 2014 8:02am May 2, 2014 8:02am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} UJ daily: I've got 103 as a 61.8, and 103.09 as a larger mid, next major level 103.2. Last one would be a short for me, the rest I'd just watch and try to understand the reaction. I'm still thinking this has to test way lower, at least 101, but when to enter for that target. And: Ken wrote about betting against major japanese politics, and he's absolutely right in my view. Very cautious when shorting, not so when buying...
nice one Larry..
Patience is a virtue...
  • #4,905
  • May 2, 2014 8:03am May 2, 2014 8:03am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} feck missed it, anyone got that fall?
nope. to quick for me. Now: how to get in? Waiting for monday for the dust to settle.

EU/AU longs: partials taken, stops at b/e. Gator is short EU, but I can't do that after this zigzag.
Fail better.
  • #4,906
  • May 2, 2014 8:04am May 2, 2014 8:04am
Quoting hadox
{quote} nice one Larry..
worth exactly 0.00 EUR, for I didn't take it...
Fail better.
  • #4,907
  • May 2, 2014 8:06am May 2, 2014 8:06am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} worth exactly 0.00 EUR, for I didn't take it...
fuck it, sometimes its good for confidence to be in sync, with or without a position ..
Patience is a virtue...
  • #4,908
  • May 2, 2014 8:10am May 2, 2014 8:10am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} nope. to quick for me. Now: how to get in? Waiting for monday for the dust to settle. EU/AU longs: partials taken, stops at b/e. Gator is short EU, but I can't do that after this zigzag.
looks best to me, running behind the moves never works for me.
Treasuries puzzle me, good data behavior puzzles me, got to solve those puzzles before risking anything.
Maybe data isn't so good as it looks:

http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2014/0...al-looks-like/
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #4,909
  • May 2, 2014 8:43am May 2, 2014 8:43am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} feck missed it, anyone got that fall?
Exactly to the 61.8 Fib of the last down move of the daily chart btw. Then dropped like a piece of lead in the water.
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #4,910
  • May 2, 2014 9:23am May 2, 2014 9:23am
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...96#post7444496

The great end of a trading week with some entertainment. Happy weekend everybody!
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #4,911
  • May 2, 2014 10:41am May 2, 2014 10:41am
Ok people, has been nice with you, have a nice weekend!
Schönen Feierabend und schönes Wochenende.
LD
Fail better.
  • #4,912
  • May 3, 2014 1:08am May 3, 2014 1:08am
Quoting hadox
{quote} getting an intraday rejection atm.. if bulls dont step in, I have some S at 1.381x, and still some R at 1.393x - a daily close above 1.386x would make it easier to reach the R I guess-- its friday - shit happens..
close enough I guess, anyway only level I'm interested in is 1.393x, if bulls can break that area, next level is at 1.408x, if not, bears might revisit bulls from 1.379x.. next week could be crucial with ecb thursday, so the reaction at that area could prolly give some important clues for the direction, we can't stay in a range forever..

anyway, the reaction at 1.381x makes me think the bulls from 1.379x are pretty strong, I mean, that was a pretty convincing bounce.. atm I'm on the bullside, but if I see some weakness at 1.393x I could easily join the bears.. but again, lets see if we can test 1.393x first..

catch you next week - enjoy the weeknd
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Patience is a virtue...
  • #4,913
  • May 4, 2014 10:39pm May 4, 2014 10:39pm
Good morning.

I hope you all had a nice weekend, I did... Tradewise nothing new on the plate, the UJ/xxxJpy-move maybe, but I don't know how to get into that short. Concentrate on catching the knife maybe, or waiting for the pullback to get short. Anyway, closed my po short at 103.2. If it gets there shortterm, that bear is over I think.

Holding my long EU and AU with stops at be. Looking to get out of a partial EU after the break of the range. There might be a chance to add in the 3853/43-area, but probably to risky for me.

Quoting hadox
we can't stay in a range forever..
Yes, my motto as well.
Fail better.
  • #4,914
  • May 4, 2014 10:42pm May 4, 2014 10:42pm
Quoting Hickson
Shorting this irrational big blue candle from the red line has been the trade of the day for me.
Btw, nice one. Where exactly did you place it, the logical place would have been at those candle open/closes, but then you wouldn't have been filled. (Don't know if you know, but you can drag done trades from your trade history on the chart by holding the left mousebutton)
Fail better.
  • #4,915
  • May 5, 2014 12:18am May 5, 2014 12:18am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Btw, nice one. Where exactly did you place it, the logical place would have been at those candle open/closes, but then you wouldn't have been filled. (Don't know if you know, but you can drag done trades from your trade history on the chart by holding the left mousebutton)
Hi Larry, ok I dragged the done deal into the chart. Exited way to early I guess, but I guess nobody ever went broke by taking profit.
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Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #4,916
  • May 5, 2014 12:26am May 5, 2014 12:26am
Quoting Hickson
nobody ever went broke by taking profit. {image}
Exactly. It's possible to take partials, of course, but in this pair, trading against the SNB, I wouldn't either.
Fail better.
  • #4,917
  • May 5, 2014 3:11am May 5, 2014 3:11am
dax testing some S at 941x - might be a chance for a bounce to 962x/4x again, if not, then I have some S around 934x ish..
Patience is a virtue...
  • #4,918
  • May 5, 2014 3:27am May 5, 2014 3:27am
Quoting Hickson
Are we the only ones grinding here today?
Bankholiday in Japan and UK, with London being the fx capital of the world, NY the equities one: nothing till 14.30...
Fail better.
  • #4,919
  • May 5, 2014 4:42am May 5, 2014 4:42am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Bankholiday in Japan and UK, with London being the fx capital of the world, NY the equities one: nothing till 14.30...
True, I did not check the news this morning. Could be a very lame ranging day.
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #4,920
  • May 5, 2014 7:24am May 5, 2014 7:24am
Quoting hadox
dax testing some S at 941x - might be a chance for a bounce to 962x/4x again, if not, then I have some S around 934x ish..
a daily close above 954x would "confirm" the bulls a bit more in my charts, but so far a pretty decent bounce.. lets see..
Patience is a virtue...
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