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Oktoberfest Nightclub

  • #4,761
  • Apr 29, 2014 12:59am Apr 29, 2014 12:59am
Quoting hadox
{quote} ahh got it - gl with your short then..
Thanks, GL with your trade too..
  • #4,762
  • Apr 29, 2014 1:04am Apr 29, 2014 1:04am
my gbpjpy short got stopped out yesterday for 0 at BE. trying a long here for a test of top, stops below 171.90 area.

Lets c

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hope everyone is fine

Best,
J
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #4,763
  • Edited 1:23am Apr 29, 2014 1:13am | Edited 1:23am
Good morning.

This day finds me at my usual default: clueless... Only thing I'm looking at is EA, first short positions triggered yesterday evening and tonight, full load would be reached at 1.54, so some space to cover. But, I do expect max. 1.51 for now, and then maybe 1.475. Let's see. Interestingly I've got a trigger with the BB-project there as well, but of course didn't take it, don't want to double the risk.

UJ: lost a short trade yesterday for 12 pips risk at 102.35, don't know if shorts are done for the time being. Might try again at 102.68 for a few pips risk, not clear atm.

Quoting hadox
{quote} IMO cable is still sitting in a pretty tight range from 1.677x - 1.683x, the best option would prolly be on the sideline until one of the edges go, and then wait for a pullback - or ofc sell the top / buy the bottom of the range, but atm the RR isn't the best for that in my charts..
I agree, cable is a headache... got a BB trigger yesterday at 6849 and got out at 6806, but sideline seems to be the right thing to do.

Quoting deltaone
long usdrub
Could you elaborate, where did you enter, target, s/l? Just curious. I had a long signal (I didn't take, don't know that pair at all) at 3498, and a short target at 3486, which still isn't hit. Technically I'd say a test of 33.56 is still in the cards. I guess you've taking this out of fundamental reasons, right?

Edit: nice read on the stockmarket in this weeks' economist: http://www.economist.com/news/financ...-sound-retreat

The stockmarket has been remarkably resilient in the face of these setbacks. In 2012 global equities rose by 13%; last year they managed 24%. In part, that is due to optimism about the economy’s future trajectory. The euro-zone crisis has disappeared from the headlines while the American economy has been showing signs of returning to healthy growth.

But it is also down to supportive monetary policy. Short-term interest rates have not budged for the past two years (in the developed world) and government-bond yields have been close to historic lows. Investors have accordingly turned to the stockmarket in search of higher returns. Low interest rates have also played their part in keeping profits high, by reducing borrowing costs and by encouraging companies to use their spare cash to buy back stock, thereby increasing earnings per share.
However, buying back shares suggests a certain lack of imagination on the part of chief executives, or a lack of profitable projects to back. That remains an odd aspect of the profits boom: in theory, if the return on capital is high, one would expect a lot of capital to be invested. The resulting competition would eventually cause profits to fall. The process acts as a natural check on profits growth, but has yet to occur this cycle.

Instead, chief executives are turning to that old device for boosting sluggish profits: takeovers. According to Thomson Reuters, the global value of mergers and acquisitions in the first quarter was 36% higher than in the same period of 2013. The right takeover can result in cost cuts through economies of scale—although in the long run, the academic evidence in favour of takeovers is mixed.

A takeover boom is a classic signal of the final stages of a bull market, a sign that financial engineering has taken over from genuine business expansion. And that is hardly a surprise: the current rally isalready the fourth-largest and the fifth-longest-running since 1928.
Fail better.
  • #4,764
  • Apr 29, 2014 1:28am Apr 29, 2014 1:28am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Because I am net short JPY (Kidding). Seriously, who in their right mind (those managing $ billions) to buy JPY knowing Abe San is shaping worlds largest pension fund? Of course there's always exception to FF traders who manage $ trillion who can change the trend There are other alternative for safe haven EUR, AUD, NZD, Gold, etc Have a look at CHF then tell me why.
time to shorting USD/AUD again ken..?
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Peace Yo!
  • #4,765
  • Apr 29, 2014 1:56am Apr 29, 2014 1:56am
Quoting LarryDarrell
Good morning. This day finds me at my usual default: clueless... Only thing I'm looking at is EA, first short positions triggered yesterday evening and tonight, full load would be reached at 1.54, so some space to cover. But, I do expect max. 1.51 for now, and then maybe 1.475. Let's see. Interestingly I've got a trigger with the BB-project there as well, but of course didn't take it, don't want to double the risk. UJ: lost a short trade yesterday for 12 pips risk at 102.35, don't know if shorts are done for the time being. Might try again at 102.68...
I'm starting to follow the yen a bit, and agree about 102.6x.. but there's still some bulls from 102.0x/1x, so either the bears steps in at 6x , if not, then bulls are prolly going to aim for the next R at 103.9x I guess..
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Patience is a virtue...
  • #4,766
  • Apr 29, 2014 1:57am Apr 29, 2014 1:57am
Quoting andexQ
{quote} I just saying that I have seen the clean-up... not calling for short will short at .6823
cancelled short candle doesn't look good.
  • #4,767
  • Apr 29, 2014 2:01am Apr 29, 2014 2:01am
Quoting andexQ
{quote} cancelled short candle doesn't look good.
manual short at 1.68277
  • #4,768
  • Apr 29, 2014 2:08am Apr 29, 2014 2:08am
both Yen and GBP are pushing strongly this time, no shorts for me

GJ H1:
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Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #4,769
  • Apr 29, 2014 2:19am Apr 29, 2014 2:19am
Quoting PhAnTi'
my gbpjpy short got stopped out yesterday for 0 at BE. trying a long here for a test of top, stops below 171.90 area. Lets c {image} hope everyone is fine Best, J

Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #4,770
  • Apr 29, 2014 2:22am Apr 29, 2014 2:22am
Quoting PhAnTi'
{quote}
congrats, nice catch
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #4,771
  • Apr 29, 2014 2:30am Apr 29, 2014 2:30am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} congrats, nice catch
lucky in timing...anyway 4th trade on geppy last 7 days, 3 stopped for 0...this one worked ;p
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #4,772
  • Edited 2:45am Apr 29, 2014 2:33am | Edited 2:45am
Quoting mrluckystar
{quote} time to shorting USD/AUD again ken..? {image}
Nope, relax and wait for .92 - Tokyo bank holiday a bit unpredictable.

Waiting to long AUD/EUR (1.505x) and (waiting for E/U to hit 1.39x) hoping to get a weekly set up - fed up with scalping. Yesterday was stopped out because my notebook battery drained. After getting a new one followed by wireless connection

NZD/USD .85
  • #4,773
  • Apr 29, 2014 2:37am Apr 29, 2014 2:37am
Silver fell quite nicely there through 19.5.........
edit: hell I've got a 25 pip spread on it - think I need to find a bullion dealer.....
  • #4,774
  • Apr 29, 2014 2:41am Apr 29, 2014 2:41am
BUNDS on the run?

BUND H1:
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Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #4,775
  • Apr 29, 2014 2:47am Apr 29, 2014 2:47am
Quoting USD-Bear
BUNDS on the run? BUND H1: {image}
looking good bear..
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Patience is a virtue...
  • #4,776
  • Apr 29, 2014 2:49am Apr 29, 2014 2:49am
Quoting jonnypants
Silver fell quite nicely there through 19.5......... edit: hell I've got a 25 pip spread on it - think I need to find a bullion dealer.....
Gold might go for 1278 current at 1290.61
  • #4,777
  • Apr 29, 2014 2:56am Apr 29, 2014 2:56am
Quoting hadox
{quote} looking good bear.. {image}
lol hadox, just the way I feel
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #4,778
  • Apr 29, 2014 2:57am Apr 29, 2014 2:57am
Quoting USD-Bear
BUNDS on the run? BUND H1: {image}
Nice catch

Risk-on day
  • #4,779
  • Apr 29, 2014 3:11am Apr 29, 2014 3:11am
EA: not complaining, first tp coming up?
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Fail better.
  • #4,780
  • Apr 29, 2014 7:04am Apr 29, 2014 7:04am
Quoting hadox
a daily close above 1.384x in the euro and I would look for a bounce around 1.381x (the closest level I have before bulls from the bottom at the range / 1.379x)..
waiting for some clues..
Patience is a virtue...
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